US Joe Biden News Megathread - The Other Biden Derangement Syndrome Thread (with a side order of Fauci Derangement Syndrome)

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Let's pretend for one moment that he does die before the election, just for the funsies. What happens then? Will the nomination revert to option number 2, aka Bernie Sanders? Or will his running mate automatically replace him just the way Vice-President is supposted to step in after the Big Man in the White House chokes on a piece of matzo? Does he even have a running mate yet?
 
It's amazing how much of a fucking dumpster fire this presidency is, and how all of it is purely self-inflicted.

The Afghanistan pullout was already in progress and could have been done slowly over the course of two more years with no problem. But Joe wanted a September photo-op and rushed it, and created a massive military failure.

Oil and gas were at a decent price, but Joe decided it would look good for him to shut down fracking and the keystone pipeline, and prices spiked to levels not seen since the Bush years.

Covid was winding down by the time he got in, but because he's basically a dead fish he didn't close the ports in time when delta showed up and it started all over again.

Inflation was pretty much the only thing that was a problem from the last administration, but it also had the world's easiest solution: "turn the money printer off." But Biden is fucking brain dead and sat in his high chair drooling, and now it's at a 40 year high.

Trump was a clown, but he knew how to not fuck with things that were working. Joe is too stupid to even do that right.
 
Just off the top of my head, the Floyd nonstop peaceful riots of 2020 led to the narrative that Blormpf had lost the plot. It one of the biggest factors that led to Orange Hitler's decisive and undeniable defeat. Probably not that important but we live in a time with no sense of history so it seems like the biggest deal ever.

I'd also include that it changed the way your average NPC honkey looked at kneeling niggers. When Kaepernick did it, it was widely unpopular. A couple years later after George Floyd's OD, you have sportsball teams not playing the national anthem and playing the Black National Anthem instead. You had seemingly unmelenated sane people prostrating themselves before any black they could find to formally absolve them.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that the effects are/were cultural.
Oh that knee shit still happens here in Britain, just the other day in a football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa the players took a knee before kick-off. It's been like 3 years now guys you ca nstop doing it.
 
It's amazing how much of a fucking dumpster fire this presidency is, and how all of it is purely self-inflicted.

The Afghanistan pullout was already in progress and could have been done slowly over the course of two more years with no problem. But Joe wanted a September photo-op and rushed it, and created a massive military failure.

Oil and gas were at a decent price, but Joe decided it would look good for him to shut down fracking and the keystone pipeline, and prices spiked to levels not seen since the Bush years.

Covid was winding down by the time he got in, but because he's basically a dead fish he didn't close the ports in time when delta showed up and it started all over again.

Inflation was pretty much the only thing that was a problem from the last administration, but it also had the world's easiest solution: "turn the money printer off." But Biden is fucking brain dead and sat in his high chair drooling, and now it's at a 40 year high.

Trump was a clown, but he knew how to not fuck with things that were working. Joe is too stupid to even do that right.
You have Afghanistan exactly backwards. It was on a strict timeline and was supposed to occur months prior. Biden delayed it, causing the disaster. Still self-inflicted, but you had it backwards.
 
Gallup released a new quarterly party preferences poll today.
1642464067670.png

As Gallup themselves say, it's rare that a party has a 5% advantage. The last time the GOP had an advantage of this level - going just by Gallup's own work - was in 1995. The only time the GOP had an advantage higher than they do right now was in the first quarter of 1991 after the US fought and won the Gulf War during Bush's presidency. Gallup's monthly data for December however suggests that things are starting to even out as the GOP moved back to a 4% advantage.

Gallup concludes by saying that the Democrats and Republicans have basically equal levels of strength, but this is still bad for Democrats because they usually have an advantage in strength.
 
Gallup released a new quarterly party preferences poll today.
View attachment 2895973
As Gallup themselves say, it's rare that a party has a 5% advantage. The last time the GOP had an advantage of this level - going just by Gallup's own work - was in 1995. The only time the GOP had an advantage higher than they do right now was in the first quarter of 1991 after the US fought and won the Gulf War during Bush's presidency. Gallup's monthly data for December however suggests that things are starting to even out as the GOP moved back to a 4% advantage.

Gallup concludes by saying that the Democrats and Republicans have basically equal levels of strength, but this is still bad for Democrats because they usually have an advantage in strength.
That article is made of pure cope, and one need go no further than their own numbers.

Screenshot 2022-01-17 18.12.37.png


This is... apocalyptic. It may have leveled out, but let's break this down. A three-point drop in Democrats holding steady as a trend. A three-point gain by Republicans, again remaining steady. That indicates a shift, not from Democrat to Republican but from Democrat to Democrat-leaning and from Republican-leaning to full on Republican. Every single one of those voters who dropped off Democrat are -incredibly- unlikely to vote and meanwhile, the reverse is true for those who hoped onto Republican.

But it gets worse.

A steady chunk of the Democrat-Leaning dropped into Non-Leaning. That alone isn't terribly surprising, but what is surprising is where the turbulence is that makes up the swings in identification.

Its -entirely- between Non-Leaning and Republican-Leaning. The Democrats -don't even factor in-. It's purely people deciding "Do I want to sit out, or go Republican".

Meaning it didn't stabilize with people reconsidering whether to Vote Dem, they just jumped off, stayed jumped off, and are deciding whether they want to vote or not for the other side. That is -truly- fucked for the Democrats.
 
Lets do some simplified math.

From the core period we have a drop in Democrat and Democrat-leaning which combines for a total of -7. We also have a +4 in Non-Leaning.... and then +2 in Republican-Leaning and Republican.


Well they shift from somewhere, but what does that -mean-? Well, simply put, that +4 Non-Leaning is actually +7... from Democrat-Leaning. It lost 4% to Republican-Leaning, which itself lost about 2% to Republican. So what does this mean when we consider Likely Voters?

Any - is not going to vote. So we subtract the minuses from the percentages that come after. So -3% from Democrat-leaning and -7% from Non-Leaning. Any positives are kept the same, as any person who shifts towards one side is more likely to be energized. Then Non-leaning are split evenly.

So what do we get? 38.5D / 49.5R

So what does this mean? Well, it means there is effectively an 11 point differential between the likely vote turnout of D and R voters.


Correction: Accidentally forgot to subtract a number.
 
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Oh that knee shit still happens here in Britain, just the other day in a football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa the players took a knee before kick-off. It's been like 3 years now guys you ca nstop doing it.
The entire Premier League does it along with the FA. I think the French (lol) FA and a few others do it too. The whole world wants in on the Derek Chauvin knee of love gesture. Do any britbongs even care about MLK?
 
Oh that knee shit still happens here in Britain, just the other day in a football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa the players took a knee before kick-off. It's been like 3 years now guys you ca nstop doing it.
Didn't one of the leagues in the UK tell a star player to shut up about the Uighurs in China?
 
No, they'd have tears in their eyes seeing the country they founded be reduced to this political nonsense.

Dumb bitch. I swear to God. Why can't people read a goddamn history book?
The most popular history book that history teachers like to dole out, is that one book by Howard Zinn, and its filled with proto woke or 1990s era style of wokeshit. Before the 1619 project decided to emulate his book on steroids.
 
Nancy Pelosi is proof that the Bible is correct that women should never be political leaders, that the founders rightfully believed women don't have a role in politics and that Islam is right about women.
The Pelosis, and Harrises, the AOCs and Squads, the Maces, and the Haleys.

Every time I look at these political broads, I have to agree more with a thought I recently saw:

We are in a pandemic of underfucked women.
 
Lets do some simplified math.

From the core period we have a drop in Democrat and Democrat-leaning which combines for a total of -7. We also have a +4 in Non-Leaning.... and then +2 in Republican-Leaning and Republican.


Well they shift from somewhere, but what does that -mean-? Well, simply put, that +4 Non-Leaning is actually +7... from Democrat-Leaning. It lost 4% to Republican-Leaning, which itself lost about 2% to Republican. So what does this mean when we consider Likely Voters?

Any - is not going to vote. So we subtract the minuses from the percentages that come after. So -3% from Democrat-leaning and -7% from Non-Leaning. Any positives are kept the same, as any person who shifts towards one side is more likely to be energized. Then Non-leaning are split evenly.

So what do we get? 38.5D / 49.5R

So what does this mean? Well, it means there is effectively an 11 point differential between the likely vote turnout of D and R voters.


Correction: Accidentally forgot to subtract a number.
Meaningless unless you can apply it in battleground states.
 
Shut up you fucking alcoholic hagraven. If Washington and Jefferson had seen what sentient sacks of shit like yourself would be pulling less than 300 years later they'd have both switched sided and Washington would have fought for the British alongside Cornwallis.
They probably would have included an amendment to ban Papists from this nation given how Nancy and Cuomo and other cunts are all Italian originated nigger lovers. Include the Irish as well and they were right about the Irish being niggers if niggers weren't a thing in America.

Massholistan being run by hiberians, Jew York run by papists and California getting a double dose of both.

Also would have made sure to keep the Nordic folks out of America looking at the state of Minnesota.
 
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Meaningless unless you can apply it in battleground states.
That's the thing... you kinda can. National polls tend to be useless.... but why is important here. Democrats enjoy a massive population within their strongholds. This naturally pulls numbers on national polling towards them. After all, if you have the most people and the poll is of 'What do most people think?" you enjoy an outsized impact.

So consider what it means for a national poll to decidedly go against their favor.
 
That's the thing... you kinda can. National polls tend to be useless.... but why is important here. Democrats enjoy a massive population within their strongholds. This naturally pulls numbers on national polling towards them. After all, if you have the most people and the poll is of 'What do most people think?" you enjoy an outsized impact.

So consider what it means for a national poll to decidedly go against their favor.
If the pollsters aren't gibbering retards, they control for that.

Mighty big 'if', though.
 
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If the pollsters aren't gibbering retards, they control for that.

Mighty big 'if', though.
How do I put this nicely...

They 'control' for it, but almost never to the actual extent. You ever hear the phrase "Reality has a left-wing bias"? Well, they use it a lot to justify why they don't ever fully account for the difference.
 
Didn't one of the leagues in the UK tell a star player to shut up about the Uighurs in China?
That was actually the club i support. Arsenal, they distanced themself away a player called Mesut Ozil who at the time was our best player and one of the best attacking midfielders in the world after he talked about the genocide.
 
Also, to add more context to why that particular number of 11 is so important. While the national polling is all kinds of fucked for the raw numbers, trends can still be seen clearly through them. Now, Democrats usually do actually trend behind Republicans for voter enthusiasm. But it's normally mixed in with Republicans dying off and a very strong independent caucus that goes towards Democrats.

Normally, the difference is about 1-2 for Republicans and using the same polling, with the independents breaking for Democrats rather than the 50/50 the numbers assume.

But 11? That's insurmountable. Even if every single Non-Aligned broke Democrat it wouldn't even come close.
 
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