Russian Invasion of Ukraine (2022): Thread 1 - Ukrainian Liars vs Russian Liars with Air and Artillery Superiority

How well is the combat this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 46 6.6%

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ A well planned strike with few faults

    Votes: 45 6.5%

  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 292 42.1%

  • ⭐⭐ Worse than expected

    Votes: 269 38.8%

  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 42 6.1%
  • Total voters
    694
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MugolEx said:
Light red is what the Russians have taken so far. This was just updated.
View attachment 3015819
Seems like there a little slow to me.
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I think the major reason the invasion was botched so far is because their initial launch was delayed by a week, and I think Putin wanted to push up the timetable of the invasion to stay on track. Russian actions run contrary to their established military doctrine of overwhelming enemy emplaced positions with rocket and cruise missile strikes. There was virtually no large scale strikes to soften up the defenders, when Russia has the largest rocket artillery force on the planet. I also think that Putin and Russian ground commanders underestimated the capabilities and willingness of the Ukrainian troops. The best evidence of this is a battalion of VDV being surrounded and wiped by Uke nasty girls and SSO. Ukraine is losing, however at a much slower rate than expected.

I also have reason to believe that Russia is running extremely low on PGMs. They exhausted their PGM stockpile in support of Syria and had to resort to dumbfire rockets and dumb drop iron bombs, and the lagging Russian economy and shitbox tech industry I think impeded their replenishment of that stockpile. Right now it's a race to the bottom. One of two things will happen: Uke forces will have their organization smashed and be rendered combat ineffective, or the Russian logistics will give out totally. I am going to assume the Ukes lose, probably in less than a week, however if I'm wrong and the Ukes continue to offer this level of resistance, the Russians likely only have the resources to sustain this incredibly high op tempo for another 3-4 weeks.

Regardless of what happens, it's extremely interesting. I'm very impressed with the performance of the NLAWs and Javelins. Russian countermeasures like Kontakt-5 seem to be unable to provide any protection from current generation US and UK MANPATS.
 
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www.youtube.com

Live Camera from #Ukraine #Kyiv

#Live #Cam #Ukraine #Russia #Invation #Kyiv #KievSupport Ukraine - https://uacrisis.org/en/help-ukraine
www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
There are a few traffic cams that the stream switches to and I just wanna say
God bless the Ukes who still obey red traffic lights when your city is about to be under siege (and the streets are mostly empty)
I would just step on it and GTFO but I admire your patience
 
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A Cardboard Box said:
There isn't an incentive to end the war in Georgia or Ukraine, because a prerequisite for joining NATO is stable borders and no active military conflicts. An eternal low intensity conflict and occupied territory guarantees they'll never join NATO.
Click to expand...
I don't think Kiev will be so keen on NATO in the foreseeable future, as long as Russia maintains that there'll be consequences.
Beatings will continue until morale improves.
 
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Don't know if this has been posted before but this seems like a good tool to get updates without sifting through the MSM or twitter.
liveuamap.com

Ukraine Interactive map - Ukraine Latest news on live map - liveuamap.com

Live Universal Awareness Map Liveuamap is a leading independent global news and information site dedicated to factual reporting of a variety of important topics including conflicts, human rights issues, protests, terrorism, weapons deployment, health matters, natural disasters, and weather...
liveuamap.com liveuamap.com
 
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A Cardboard Box said:
I think the major reason the invasion was botched so far is because their initial launch was delayed by a week, and I think Putin wanted to push up the timetable of the invasion to stay on track. Russian actions run contrary to their established military doctrine of overwhelming enemy emplaced positions with rocket and cruise missile strikes. There was virtually no large scale strikes to soften up the defenders, when Russia has the largest rocket artillery force on the planet. I also think that Putin and Russian ground commanders underestimated the capabilities and willingness of the Ukrainian troops. The best evidence of this is a battalion of VDV being surrounded and wiped by Uke nasty girls and SSO. Ukraine is losing, however at a much slower rate than expected.

I also have reason to believe that Russia is running extremely low on PGMs. They exhausted their PGM stockpile in support of Syria and had to resort to dumbfire rockets and dumb drop iron bombs, and the lagging Russian economy and shitbox tech industry I think impeded their replenishment of that stockpile. Right now it's a race to the bottom. One of two things will happen: Uke forces will have their organization smashed and be rendered combat ineffective, or the Russian logistics will give out totally. I am going to assume the Ukes lose, probably in less than a week, however if I'm wrong and the Ukes continue to offer this level of resistance, the Russians likely only have the resources to sustain this incredibly high op tempo for another 3-4 weeks.

Regardless of what happens, it's extremely interesting. I'm very impressed with the performance of the NLAWs and Javelins. Russian countermeasures like Kontakt-5 seem to be unable to provide any protection from current generation US and UK MANPATS.
Click to expand...
I was wondering if the Russians were using the Tu-95s to soften up targets but I haven't heard anything about them.
 
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