Ok so. Based on what's happened so far, with the SWIFT ban, insane amount of sanctions, the unexpected amount of resistance the Ukrainians are holding, and the list of countries pledging military assets and soldiers building, what are the chances this is actually literally unironically without a doubt kicking off a massive war? Maybe not WW3, maybe no nukes, just a large scale battle with death tools in the hundreds of thousands?
Because it feels a bit like this whole debacle is being staged to have excuses to shore up money and set up talking points for the 2024 election