Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

[The Other Baldwin]

Take that back! You know how many young lives were wasted for the glory of this anthem?
And besides, if I'm not mistaken, it uses the Russian national type of guitar, balalaika. It adds this pleasant slavic charm to it.

Never. It's shit. Post some awesome Red Alert tunes.

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This little nigga fled his country so he wouldn't die in a pointless war for oligarchs, but continues the fight on Kiwi Farms by neg-rating anti-Ukrainian points of view.

Let him be. I find it hilarious.

Little does he know that dislike isn't even a neg-rating and doesn't even affect the already meaningless reaction scores. It's futility stacked on top of futility.

Who cares about ratings....this is the farms. Fuck it.

 

[Richardface]

Ok, so back to begging:
1. Why are commodity prices high? Because of limited supply.
2. What happens when peace is struck and gazprom will keep selling gas to EU? Supply increase.
3. What happens when supply increase? Price goes down.

Commodity pricing is heavily influenced by futures markets, so not just spot demand and supply but also the markets estimate of future demand and supply and all the related factors like geopolitical risk. Peoples get PhDs in this shit nigga I ain't taking the time to educate you fully

 

[Elbereth]

Commodity pricing is heavily influenced by futures markets, so not just spot demand and supply but also the markets estimate of future demand and supply and all the related factors like geopolitical risk. Peoples get PhDs in this shit nigga I ain't taking the time to educate you fully

Let's agree that selling more is not always profit maximizing. Then why should Russia sell less gas than before?

Did Russia sold amount of gas that was not profit maximizing before invasion?

 

[kuuu]

Balalaikas are ridiculous, have a high-pitched tinny sound and should be relegated to the dusbin of history together with banjos and ukuleles.

I bring a highly specific example, but still.

 

[White_N]

Remind me who is supposed to be the Hitler in this slapfight again?

Hitler committed an unforgivable sin, he took gold from the Jews!



But I laugh really hard at this communist-larper who wants to sieze means of production and the guy right next to him says "better dead than red"
Both are united in hating Russia.
2 minutes of hate and all that. It's like 1984, amiright?

 

[Elbereth]

Commodity pricing is heavily influenced by futures markets, so not just spot demand and supply but also the markets estimate of future demand and supply and all the related factors like geopolitical risk. Peoples get PhDs in this shit nigga I ain't taking the time to educate you fully

Well, well, well mister PhD, if you want to include geopolitical risk in your examples, shouldn't Russian gas be cheraper?

You know, they already used it as a leverage in their politics and shut down in winter 2021, so wouldnt rational actor want it to buy it cheaper to justify potential risk?

 

[The Other Baldwin]

Good to see the Ukrainian contigent enter the thread and immediately dispel all those propaganda myths about Ukrainians being a bunch of low-iq credulous rustics

It keeps the fight alive. You aren't wrong.

Truth be told, I didn't even know we had reaction scores until I looked it up. lol.

If this forum ever installs downvotes that shadowbans people it will be dead to me. Just like Twitter.

 

[White_N]

Never. It's shit. Post some awesome Red Alert tunes.

No, get depressed, get nuked.

 

[Richardface]

Let's agree that selling more is not always profit maximizing. Then why should Russia sell less gas than before?

Did Russia sold amount of gas that was not profit maximizing before invasion?

Probably. The profit maximising point depends on aggregate demand and supply at a given point, both of which are difficult to measure, and this only applies to spot markets, which are probably on a minor part of Russia's sales the majority of which would be subject to long term contracts. Further, Russia has its own contracts with gas transit hubs which means the cost of supply is different for different regions. Then you have currency, regulatory, geopolitical risk etc which impacts futures pricing which impacts the spot market. Then you have indirect costs (I.e. parts for your gas plants) that also fluctuate. This is a huge complicated piece of corporate management.

Anyway, for our purposes this simple example is what matters: if you sell half as much as you did before, but sell it for twice as much are you better off?

The answer is yes because your earning as much revenue but your marginal costs have probably gone down, offset by your fixed costs which don't change.

Of course we are not Gazprom's CFO and we don't know what their fixed or marginal costs are.

But hopefully I've got my point across that selling more of thing does not necessarily mean more profit, and the practical example of that is the existence of OPEC

 

[Borscht]

I bring a highly specific example, but still.

Added to my playlist! Thank you. I still prefer Estas Tonne, but this guy is a virtuoso.

2 minutes of hate and all that. It's like 1984, amiright?

Why, why do we always take the worst things from dystopias and never the cool things? Not talking about 1984, it doesn't have any, but I could use a new pair of Zeiss cybereyes.

Back to the topic, ladies and gentlemen. Ukraine refuses to sign any treaties until the Russian army takes its ball and goes home.

 

[Elbereth]

The answer is yes because your earning as much revenue but your marginal costs have probably gone down, offset by your fixed costs which don't change.

Of course we are not Gazprom's CFO and we don't know what their fixed or marginal costs are.

But hopefully I've got my point across that selling more of thing does not necessarily mean more profit, and the practical example of that is the existence of OPEC

Russia right now is still bounded to past agreements when selling to EU countries for prices agreed before, so they are not selling for twice as much money.

In short, cope.

 

[Richardface]

Russia right now is still bounded to past agreements when selling to EU countries for prices agreed before, so they are not selling for twice as much money.

In short, cope.

No because they just broke all the contracts and demanded they pay in rubles. This means the price in rubles needs to be set.

 

[The Last Boyscout]

Back to the topic, ladies and gentlemen. Ukraine refuses to sign any treaties until the Russian army takes its ball and goes home.

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back to the grind it is, then. because if Russia did accept this, then all of ther boos wouldn't have a leg to stand on anymore lol.

 

[Derka Derka]

ZZ Top, Zanussi and Zelensky will never be the same again.

The biggest fuel retailer in Kiwiland is called Z Energy

 

[The Other Baldwin]

Back to the topic, ladies and gentlemen. Ukraine refuses to sign any treaties until the Russian army takes its ball and goes home.

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That isn't going to happen and we all know it.

 

[Elbereth]

No because they just broke all the contracts and demanded they pay in rubles. This means the price in rubles needs to be set.

If they insist on paying in rubles it is break in contracts and means they will lost arbitrage in future and need to pay contractual penalties.

And if they stop pumping gas, it means that biggest component of Russian budget (approx. 36% of revenue) is now gone, in already struggling Russian economy.

 

[kuuu]

Chechens are painting a picture of them being born to war.

 

[Sexual Chocolate]

Retard update:

Um yeah, I saw that mate that's why I made the post... His comment was "ALEXEI FUCKADOGCHO: "Alyo it is me, Alexei Fuckadogcho, your beloved son. I have stolen this cellphone from a Ukrainian grandmother who I also brutally murdered three times. Anyway, Ukraine is great and Putin (more like 'Poo-tin' amirite?) is a cockroach. Gotta go, the Ghost of Kyiv is here to kill me now. Bye, Mom!"

One sounds a bit exaggerated right? Can you guess which one?

No way of telling, bro

Ok, so back to begging:
1. Why are commodity prices high? Because of limited supply.
2. What happens when peace is struck and gazprom will keep selling gas to EU? Supply increase.
3. What happens when supply increase? Price goes down.

Let's agree that selling more is not always profit maximizing. Then why should Russia sell less gas than before?

Did Russia sold amount of gas that was not profit maximizing before invasion?

A-logging an entire country over gas and grain prices

 

[Wy4M]

It seems that the Russian Forces destroyed a bunch of S-300 installations with their precision strikes.

https://southfront.org/ukrainian-s-300-systems-are-blown-up-by-russian-missiles-amid-diplomatic-obscurity/

https://archive.ph/y9PI7

 

[Oakland1]

We've seen with Grozny that Russia has no problem rebuilding cities it blew up. Give a couple of years and you'll be jealous of Mariupol, the prettiest city in DPR.

Unless of course it falls into the hohol's hands somehow, then it'll be uninhabitable for centuries to come.