- Joined
- Jul 25, 2016
New video:
Key takeaways:
- The Russians have definitely abandoned the Kevin theatre and they claim that they have achieved their goals there. VOR disagrees and says that the Russian operation around Kevin was a high risk high reward SpedOp that ultimately failed. The Russians basically gambled high but instead of getting the jackpot, they ended up staring at the felt.
- In regards to what happened in Bucha, VOR said that while that place is definitely a crime scene, he recommends to withhold any final judgements and/or emotional outbursts. Given how painfully full of shit both the (pro-)Russian and especially (pro-)Ukrainian side has been, we probably won't know what happened until a conclusive third party investigation. It is questionable if said investigation might even happen and we may or may not know the truth (akin to Yugoslavia) on what actually happened years later after poeple have long moved on. What we know for a fact is that the gloves have definitely come off in regards to this war. One ticket to Mister Bones' Wild Ride please...
- VOR suggests that the Russians should put their main focus on stabilising the north eastern front as it is now very vulnerable to Ukrainian counter-attacks. If the point of the north eastern Front was to support the assault on Kevin, it may be in the Russians' interest to abandon that front too and redeploy these troops in the south or the Donbass.
- The Russians continue to strike Ukrainian fuel depots, among those in Odessa.
- VOR speculates that the most defining factor for the Russian war effort is going to be their tactical aircraft. He also believes that the Russian tactical aircraft's ability to interdict Ukrainian ground forces has been rather lackluster so far. They did however a decent job at levelling fixed installations. The Ukrainian troops are pretty decent at dodging Russian aircraft (more or less to how the Serbs dodged NATO aircraft in 1999 but not as creative).
- Western material support continues to positively affect Ukrainian war effort. It would be in Russia's interest to find a way to stop this.