Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

How well is the war this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 249 10.6%

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ I ain't afraid of no Ghost of Kiev

    Votes: 278 11.8%

  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 796 33.7%

  • ⭐⭐ Stalemate

    Votes: 659 27.9%

  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 378 16.0%
  • Total voters
    2,360
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BaldAndMorallyBankrupt said:
Nothing is going to pop off in the balkans for some very simple reasons.

1. A lot of powerful people (including politicians) are running rackets and money laundering schemes in that region and they'll make sure those don't get disrupted.

2. Everyone is getting foreign gibs and a war would again disrupt that. No one wants that.

3. Everyone would get their shit pushed in period because everyones armed forces are garbage in the region. Serbia has been "modernizing" with chinashit and russoshit, and i'm sure their modernization efforts or on paar with russian modernization where they give the new stuff to a couple battalions and call it a day. Greece is still using soviet shit they haven't even bothered modernizing but they have conscription so at least they'd have numbers. Romania is a joke. Macedonia is a joke. Albania has attempted multiple modernization efforts that have failed with a few exceptions in small arms. No active armor units, no active jet units, questionable AA capabilities and the inactive equipment they do have has been in storage since like the 00' with no one trained in them probably unless they start pulling 60 year olds out of retirement. Croatia and Bulgaria have had more successful modernization efforts but i'd still consider them sub paar. Kosovo has the kosovo security force which has probably the most modern infantry in the region, but thats it, just infantry.

4. Too many hidden weapon depos and national spirit for any land grab to not result in years long insurgent action or partisans if you want to be nice.

5. Foreign powers would get immediately involved.
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Good points, but with the current state of the EU economy the gibs and schemes may start to dry up soon. As for the military being shit, that never stopped Yugoslavs from slaughtering each other before. As for foreign powers being involved, that's pretty much a requirement for the shit to pop off there, need someone big to throw their support behind some faction with grievances. Some joint exercises, maybe a defensive treaty (for a non-NATO nation), etc. Ripe grounds for a proxy war.
 
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A_throwaway_name62919 said:
The second is that Russia's losses are much closer to the estimates done by the US - or worse the estimates done by Ukraine - than the small number of casualties that Russia's been willing to admit to thus far.
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How do you know this?

I consider all of the numbers bullshit, as they always are in the midst of a war. Why do you have confidence in ANY of the estimates?
 
4cuck /pol/ is basically now a circlejerk for, (pardon me for using this word abused by redditors) incels and spergs who want to circlejerk about how enlightened they are.
Many of them are reddit rapefugees, and if not for the censorship, they would be posting cringe, false and homosexual pro-russia shit in the same way redditors do to ukraine (And for free!)
 
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Spicey McHaggis said:
It's not even just 4 chan, it's the whole damn internet that's gone to shit.
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MPd8DpS.jpg

2007 and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race.
 
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Die Dunkle Maus said:
How do you know this?

I consider all of the numbers bullshit, as they always are in the midst of a war. Why do you have confidence in ANY of the estimates?
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1) I'm speaking of possibilities, not certainties in that post. I'm suggesting "maybe this", and you're asking "why are you certain of this?"
2) There's enough video and satellite evidence alone to make some educated guesses, and the US is certainly going to have credible sources on the ground as well, as well as other countries. That's enough to make informed estimates and judge some estimates as more credible than others. That we'll need to wait for the shooting to stop and the dust to settle to get firm final estimates is not a reason to entirely disregard interim estimates when speculating.
 
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Fougaro said:
View attachment 3155878
2007 and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race.
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I think it was either Metokur, or Raging goldan Eagle that said the 2010s is more of the long 2010s ( a play on the term historians use the long 19th century which went from the French revolution 1789 to 1918 end of WW1) began in 2007 and is still going, far as I can tell.
 
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Fougaro said:
View attachment 3155878
2007 and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race.
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It baffles me how consistently weird and gross tumblr has been since inception. I go there for untranslated pages to a manga I'm following... and regardless of the tag you are guaranteed to get limitless fanart of interracial lesbian gender-swap fetishes. It's just bafflingly consistent shit.
 
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LillWeeb said:
I think it was either Metokur, or Raging goldan Eagle that said the 2010s is more of the long 2010s ( a play on the term historians use the long 19th century which went from the French revolution 1789 to 1918 end of WW1) began in 2007 and is still going, far as I can tell.
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2007 was also the year Chris was discovered by the Internet...
 
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