- Joined
- Aug 22, 2020
Armenia is declaring to Russia that it is very unhappy and wants the asspats it believes it is due from Moscow as a member of the CSTO. Withdrawal is very unlikely no matter how much the Armenian PM says "welllllll, we could leave..."Leonid Nersisyan, an Armenian security analyst, told RFE/RL that Yerevan is unlikely to quit Moscow's security umbrella without "a real alternative for balancing out the negative consequences of that decision."
Such consequences, he said, would include the threat of "full-scale invasion" by an emboldened Azerbaijan and its staunch ally Turkey, for whom Armenia's CSTO membership is still a deterrent, as well as the very real prospect of retribution from Russia.
"Russia is not providing help to Armenia," Nersisyan told RFE/RL. "But it can still do a lot of harm if Yerevan leaves the CSTO.""
Pulled this from an article from yesterday. It says they are aren't leaving the CSTO and for the reason I implied. There is no one else. Do you have something different?
Two most likely outcomes are Russia reaffirms its commitment, or Armenia's membership in the CSTO slowly becomes more of an on paper only thing