Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

[Geranium]

I heard some faggot talking about trannies from the other room, and i walk in to my living room and who do i see on PBS newshour but Erin Reed himself.

Parents concerned as new state laws restrict rights of transgender children | PBS NewsHour (archive)

To give a flavour of the tone of the whole segment:


Here's a video containing just Tony's part, starting at 05:08 in the full segment.

Transcript:

William Brangham: So, those families are clearly watching these laws and are deeply concerned with what they might mean for their children.

For more on what the various states are doing, I'm joined now by Erin Reed. She's a researcher who tracks transgender legislation around the country and advocates for trans rights.

Erin Reed, thank you so much for being here.

There are so many states that are proposing these different kinds of laws. Broadly speaking, can you explain, what are these laws generally trying to target?

Erin Reed, Erin in the Morning: Yes, thank you for having me on.

There are over 400 bills that I'm tracking that target the LGBT community primarily, the trans community. And a good third of them target the medical care of transgender youth and, in some cases, transgender adults.

They essentially will ban things like puberty blockers, hormone therapy, and, in some cases, surgery from this population. And, in many cases, they will tell doctors precisely how they should medically detransition these transgender youth by withdrawing them from their medications systematically.

And so that's what I'm tracking. And that's what's moving around the country right now.

William Brangham: And, generally speaking, some of these have passed into law. Some of them are still just in the legislature.

What are the penalties for people who break those laws, for doctors or families or individuals?

Erin Reed: Yes, so they tend to vary.

In some cases, it's a revoker of licensure. In other cases, they are felony bans, like in Alabama. In some cases, there have been times where they floated child abuse provisions, where, like, for instance, in Texas, last year, whenever Governor Greg Abbott began investigating the parents of trans teens for child abuse.

And so we have got a broad range the way that the community is targeted by this legislation.

William Brangham: We should say, for the record, that this is care that is widely accepted by most major medical organizations, pediatric organizations, that study this.

But what are the arguments that these legislators are making as to why they want to pass these bans?

Erin Reed: The arguments that I tend to see within the actual legislative hearings tend to be around, the kids are too young to choose and things like that.

And I think that, also, they tend to float surgeries. And we often hear a lot about transgender surgeries done on minors. And there's often very little time spent by the proponents of this legislation on puberty blockers and hormone therapies. And I believe that that's intentional.

Surgeries are perhaps a little bit more extreme and, therefore, easier to sell than puberty blockers and hormone therapies.

William Brangham: In fact, one of my colleagues, Laura Barron-Lopez, spoke with a legislator in Tennessee.

This is Speaker of the House Cameron Sexton. He supports one of these laws, and I want to play a clip of what he has to say. He equates gender reassignment surgery with child abuse, and argues that people who undergo that surgery, 80 percent of them later regret it.

Here's a little bit more of what he had to say.

State Rep. Cameron Sexton (R-TN):

There's a difference between a child who is younger than 18 making that decision compared to someone who's an adult making that decision.

And so we're going to err on the side of saying, if you're an adult, and that's what you want to do, go at it. But, as a child, you're telling me that a 10-, 11- and 12-year-old child absolutely knows what gender that they want to be. I do not believe that. That decision should be left later in adult life.

William Brangham: Erin Reed, what do you make of that argument?

Erin Reed: The idea that transgender youth are being treated abusively by their parents, I think, is — stands in stark reality to some of the clips that you had played earlier as well as the testimony that I have seen at these hearings.

I'm — I watched a testimony in Nebraska where the mother of a transgender teenager spoke about how, for years, she was worried that she would come home and find her child dead. And then, after allowing transition, by going through an intensive medical process with therapists, doctors over the course of a few years, she stated, while pleading for her medical care for her child, that she went from having a depressed, suicidal teenage boy to a happy, thriving, successful teenage girl, a daughter.

And this particular representative mentioned something like 80 percent of people detransitioning. And these are the kinds of things that we hear that just are not borne out by reality. These numbers are often based off of data that are decades-old from back in the '80s and '90s, whenever transgender people could not be in public, we could not exist in public safely.

And so, yes, of course, rates of detransition were so much higher back then because we were not allowed to be ourselves. And the idea that we would treat these parents as abusers and take their kids away from them, it's heart-wrenching.

William Brangham: Why do you think we are seeing all of these laws occurring across the country?

Erin Reed: There has been a sustained fear campaign waged against the transgender community and the LGBTQ community as a whole.

For the better part of two years now, we have heard the groomer slur. We have heard that we are dangerous around kids, that children should not be exposed to LGBTQ people, LGBTQ topics, identities, that we're dangerous in bathrooms, that — and I think that this fear campaign that has been waged has gotten through and has been utilized in a political manner.

And it's unfortunate, because it's targeting families that very clearly care deeply about their kids, that are following the best medical guidelines that they know how, that are working with their care teams, doctors and therapists, and that are seeing the results in their kids, that are seeing the improved lives and the ability of these kids to express themselves and be themselves.

William Brangham: All right, Erin Reed, thank you so much for being here.

Erin Reed: Thank you for having me.

@NewsHour, tweet 1631074617409273858 (archive)

Spoiler: LQ archive of full segment

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

This is worst thing Tony has ever posted.

Also holy shit at asking it to revise by the AP stylebook. This dude has a fucking masters!


He announced a permanent boycott of Montana, then a year later has traveled there every single time he's gone in his life.

I didn't watch but it looks like Tony starts at 5:30 if anyone wanted to just clip him out.

It is simply astonishing that no media outlets take pause at Tony's insistance on an absolute right to be in a bathroom, unsupervised, with someone else's kids and that nobody fact checks him with the 11th Circuit bathroom ruling.

 

[AirdropShitposts]

Notice how different Tony's rhetoric was from what he says all day every day on Twitter and in his Substack posts. Even on detransitioners he skirted away from what he normally posts. And on the motivations of his enemies he borderline suggested they might have a reasonable concern.

The interviewer would have never challenged him on anything but just the position of being questioned caused Tony to fold.

 

[ForDarks3id]

Tony's new polish really puts the focus on his big manly hands. He's becoming quite famous on Twitter. Especially his post of hin stealing the name of a 8 year old girl.

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

What does Jesus think about you chopping your dick off and prancing around the ladies room in a dress?

 

[AirdropShitposts]

Why didn't he mention he's the first trans deacon in history?

 

[Geranium]

Tony's insistance on an absolute right to be in a bathroom, unsupervised, with someone else's kids

To be fair, there's been no indication that Tony wants to physically molest children.

In some ways it's worse, as all day every day he's doing the cult indoctrination online, convincing vulnerable children that life-long self-harm is the only alternative to suicide, and that they should cut themselves off from their family and friends if they fail to agree entirely. Hell, let's not forget that he was a moderator on the egg_irl subreddit, telling confused people that all of their problems stemmed from actually being trans.

Tony is rainbow Scientology to the various pastel blue-and-pink Gary Glitters.

Notice how different Tony's rhetoric was from what he says all day every day on Twitter and in his Substack posts. Even on detransitioners he skirted away from what he normally posts. And on the motivations of his enemies he borderline suggested they might have a reasonable concern.

The interviewer would have never challenged him on anything but just the position of being questioned caused Tony to fold.

He toned down the histrionics but I don't think he really changed the substance of his positions. He even literally played the "better a live daughter than a dead son" card.

As Tony was on national TV being irresponsible about suicide, it gives me an excuse to post Leor Sapir's recent thread about the evidence for suicide rates among trans-identified people.

First tweet to half-way: @LeorSapir, tweet 1631030576198086659 (archive)
Second tweet to end: @LeorSapir, tweet 1631030613686865922 (archive)

We're told that "gender affirming care" is life-saving, as kids who identify as trans are at high risk of suicide if not given their desired drugs and surgeries.
Another thread about the gender industry's most politically potent assertion.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

As I and others have pointed out, two fatal problems with this narrative are:
1. It conflates correlation and causation. There is more evidence that suicidal kids are ID-ing as trans--perhaps seeing gender transition as a way to solve their problems--than the other way around.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

2. Suicide among trans-IDing kids is extremely rare. In the U.K. between 2010 and 2020, 0.03 percent of kids seeking medical transition committed suicide. And we don't know if it was "because of gender."

Suicide by Clinic-Referred Transgender Adolescents in the United Kingdom - Archives of Sexual Behavior

link.springer.com

Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

But there is a third piece of evidence that isn't discussed enough: the missing suicide epidemic.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Let's assume the high rate of trans ID among youth today is not the result of social influence but rather an organic development--meaning "trans kids" have always existed, and existed at current levels (albeit they were "in the closet").
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

This "organic development" theory is what activists mean whey give the analogy to left-handedness (never mind that left-handedness "grew" 3-fold in 60 years, versus the 30- to 40-fold increase in trans ID among youth in a space of a single decade).
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Polls have found that trans ID among Gen Z ranges from 2.1 to up to 9.1 in some places.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34006616/ (9.1%)
https://news.gallup.com/poll/389792/lgbt-identification-ticks-up.aspx (2.1%)
https://www.realityslaststand.com/p...e=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share (find at least 6% trans ID in Davis, CA)
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

If even one tenth of these kids are at serious risk of suicide without hormones, that means that between 0.21 and 0.91 percent of all teenagers in the U.S. were at serious risk of suicide before "gender affirming care" was rolled out around 2009.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Let's assume, further, that within this category of serious risk, only 1/4 (or 1 in 40 of all "trans kids" between 2000 and 2007) actually killed themselves.
That means the hypothesized suicide rate for gender-related suicide among all teens 2000-2007 is 0.0525% to 0.2275%.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

According to published data, however, the actual rate of suicide in teenagers ages 15-19 (prime risk category for this age cohort) between 2000 and 2007 was... 8 in 100,000, or 0.008 percent.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

An actually recorded rate of 0.008 suicide means between 6.5 and 28 times fewer deaths than we'd expect to see if the "transition or suicide" narrative were true.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Keep in mind: this assumes that *every single teen suicide* between 2000 and 2007 (0.008 percent) was a "trans kid" who couldn't get hormones--a wildly implausible assumption.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

If you're wondering why activists never cite any evidence of an epidemic of suicide among "trans kids" before sex change drugs and surgeries became available, that's because there isn't any.
This is the missing suicide epidemic.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

But that doesn't mean that, under present conditions, kids who ID as trans aren't at high(er) risk for suicide and suicidality. They are. The question is why.
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

A more likely explanation is that adult activists have planted in their heads a powerful script: "being suicidal is inherent to being trans, your very existence is always under threat (in fact, it can be legislated away), and not getting drugs will make you take your own life."
Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Here is a paper explaining this phenomenon in more depth:

Gender-Affirming Treatment of Gender Dysphoria in Youth: A Perfect Storm Environment for the Placebo Effect-The Implications for Research and Clinical Practice - PubMed

Gender-Affirming Treatment of Gender Dysphoria in Youth: A Perfect Storm Environment for the Placebo Effect-The Implications for Research and Clinical Practice

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Here is Finland's top gender doctor, chief psychiatrist at Tampere University pediatric gender clinic, calling the "transition or suicide" narrative "purposeful disinformation" and its dissemination "irresponsible."

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/finland-youth-gender-medicine

Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Here are CDC guidelines explaining how [s]uicide is never the result of a single factor or event” and warning against “presenting simplistic explanations for suicide” (such as “trans kids kill themselves when not given hormones”).

Suicide Contagion and the Reporting of Suicide: Recommendations from a National Workshop

Mar 1, 2023 · 8:36 PM UTC

Forgot to add the citation for the 0.008% stat:

Suicide Rates in Adolescents and Young Adults, 2000 to 2017

This study uses Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data to characterize trends in suicide rates among adolescents and young adults aged 15 to 24 years in the United States and to determine if the increase in suicide rates observed in years 2000-2016 is continuing.

jamanetwork.com

Mar 1, 2023 · 8:45 PM UTC

TLDR; The main point Sapir makes in this thread is that: activists claim increasing rates of trans-identification are a function of social acceptance (the left-handedness meme) and not a change in underlying numbers; activists claim trans-identified youth are at high risk of suicide without "gender-affirming care"; we should expect to find higher rates of suicide in the period before "gender-affirming care" was widely available; we don’t. (Tony has made both of these foundational claims.)

Here's the most relevant bit as it concerns Tony, first bit paraphrased: Why don’t activists cite evidence of an epidemic of suicide among "trans kids" before sex change drugs and surgeries became available? There isn't any. “That doesn't mean that, under present conditions, kids who ID as trans aren't at high(er) risk for suicide and suicidality. They are. The question is why.”

“A more likely explanation is that adult activists have planted in their heads a powerful script: "being suicidal is inherent to being trans, your very existence is always under threat (in fact, it can be legislated away), and not getting drugs will make you take your own life.”

I knew about the suicide stat from GIDS (the now-closing UK pediatric gender clinic) but hadn't seen that Michael Biggs had written about it. Suicide by Clinic-Referred Transgender Adolescents in the United Kingdom | SpringerLink (archive). SEGM wrote a useful summary with some additional information: Suicide by Adolescents Referred to the World’s Largest Pediatric Gender Clinic | SEGM (archive)

The short of it is that while suicide rates among trans-identifying adolescents are elevated compared to adolescents as a whole, the actual rates are still very low (0.03% of the GIDS cohort 2010-2020). That the rate is higher is not surprising given what we know about GIDS, where treating mental health problems was disregarded in favour of a focus on trans-identification, and UK child and adolescent mental health services more generally (falling apart due to underfunding).

Why didn't he mention he's the first trans deacon in history?

Spoiler: Deacon

(For the confused.)

 

[AirdropShitposts]

Here's the most relevant bit as it concerns Tony, first bit paraphrased: Why don’t activists cite evidence of an epidemic of suicide among "trans kids" before sex change drugs and surgeries became available? There isn't any. “That doesn't mean that, under present conditions, kids who ID as trans aren't at high(er) risk for suicide and suicidality. They are. The question is why.”

“A more likely explanation is that adult activists have planted in their heads a powerful script: "being suicidal is inherent to being trans, your very existence is always under threat (in fact, it can be legislated away), and not getting drugs will make you take your own life.”

The only reason someone would say this is because they want to genocide all trans people. Him denying this fact is proof that he doesn't want trans people to have the right to exist.

 

[Vi0l3t]

I love the stink-eye he’s giving the camera. Looks like he’s skeptical that the child he’s captured is naughty enough to flavour his stew.

Right why is he talking and looking at the camera off center, fucking weird. I dont know much about this dude. Does he always do that?

 

[Geranium]

Right why is he talking and looking at the camera off center, fucking weird. I dont know much about this dude. Does he always do that?

That my friend is "The Angle". Tony appears to believe that he has a good side (his right) that makes him look more feminine. Personally I just think it emphasises that Tony's "facial feminisation surgery" made his chin look much bigger.

 

[Vi0l3t]

That my friend is "The Angle". Tony appears to believe that he has a good side (his right) that makes him look more feminine. Personally I just think it emphasises that Tony's "facial feminisation surgery" made his chin look much bigger.

Like the wicked troon of the west

 

[White-Kettle Shufflepunk]

It's a bit like how a lot of cartoons rarely actually show their characters head-on. For example, take Pearl from Steven Universe , because kweer:

Her model sheet doesn't even have a front-view, because, as it turns out, she looks really weird when viewed that way:

Tony is basically trying to invoke an animation design trick in real life. Spoilers, doesn't work.

 

[Geranium]

Seeing that Tony was up late again, I was curious to know how often this year he's been up late tweeting. All times below are EST; he was in Montana the weekend of January 14 but didn't tweet late then.

These were found by finding the latest tweet on each day this year after midnight EST but before 6am (being charitable that he might get up early).

Tony has his 7-year-old son during the week (and I think one weekend a month) - Tony has been tweeting in the early hours of the morning 30 weekdays so far this year.

Spoiler: Table

Date	Time
Thu Mar 2	1.05am
Wed Mar 1	2.04am
Tue Feb 28	1.56am
Thu Feb 23	2.45am
Wed Feb 22	2.19am
Tue Feb 21	3.12am
Mon Feb 20	2.07am
Sun Feb 19	12.19am
Thu Feb 16	12.21am
Wed Feb 15	12.21am
Mon Feb 13	1.37am
Fri Feb 10	1.36am
Thu Feb 9	2.36am
Wed Feb 8	12.59am
Tue Feb 7	3.11am
Mon Feb 6	2.13am
Fri Feb 3	2.04am
Thu Feb 2	2.02am
Wed Feb 1	12.25am
Tue Jan 31	1.09am
Fri Jan 27	12.55am
Thu Jan 26	1.01am
Wed Jan 25	2.55am
Tue Jan 24	3.24am
Mon Jan 23	1.15am
Sat Jan 21	2.12am
Fri Jan 20	12.45am
Thu Jan 19	3.12am
Sat Jan 14	12.33am
Fri Jan 13	1.13am
Fri Jan 6	1.50am
Thu Jan 5	4.07am
Tue Jan 3	1.37am
Sun Jan 1	1.59am

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

Kate and Tony have similar difficulty with basic reading comprehension.

The Bill does not ban anything for adults. It merely says that if you want the treatment you have to pay for it yourself.

 

[White-Kettle Shufflepunk]

Tony has his 7-year-old son during the week (and I think one weekend a month) - Tony has been tweeting in the early hours of the morning 30 weekdays so far this year.

And then Hagrid bursts in and regrows Tony's dick in a fit of sorcerous rage.

"I was trying to turn him into a dick, but well..."

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

No, you haven't Tony.

 

[White-Kettle Shufflepunk]

From what I’ve read, many have criticised the Girl Scouts for being an exploitive, profit drive organisation that cares more about selling shit cookies than providing a good scouting experience for little girls. So of course Tony’s all into them.

Also, buying cookies from a boy in a Girl Scout uniform is rapidly becoming a Tony sacrament on par to dragging your kid to a drag show.

 

[Thomas Eugene Paris]

Tony's being using ChatGPT in an attempt to improve his writing.
View attachment 4670094

ErinInTheMorning comments on I built a chrome extension to turn chatGPT into "grammarly", letting me see what changes it made to my content and allowing me to accept and reject the revisions (archive)

This actually explains so much.

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

And yet there is not a single corroborating news story.

Notice how it is always an unverifiable claim? I was told about.... I heard about ........ but no specifics. Notably missing are any funeral fundraisers etc.

The only thing I can find is this which was a murder - suicide that likely involved another troon.

Latinx Trans Woman Killed in Houston in Apparent Murder-Suicide

 

[Ivan Daniloff]

And yet there is not a single corroborating news story.

Notice how it is always an unverifiable claim? I was told about.... I heard about ........ but no specifics. Notably missing are any funeral fundraisers etc.


View attachment 4682097

The only thing I can find is this which was a murder - suicide that likely involved another troon.

Latinx Trans Woman Killed in Houston in Apparent Murder-Suicide

This is one of Tone's favorites. He said that LoTT's tweets triggered 300 (iirc--it was definitely in the 100s) threats. No sources, no verification, just a claim that he dresses up as activism but which is actually just terrorizing the people he's pretending to advocate for. The suicide stuff is an ugly escalation of this tactic. I hope Tony has peaked and the collapse is soon.