Bank Run Watch 2023 after Silicon Valley Bank shutdown - Over 97% of SVB's assets were not FDIC insured

I wonder how big the can they need to kick down the road is now. Threadly reminder that I warned you about the bond market bro. I warned you bro!

They have steel-toed boots bought and paid for by the taxpayer so they don't have to worry about hurting themselves.
it's not a bailout, it's additional funds being available
A distinction without a difference and you know it.
 
Important to note that this isn't a bailout, this only affects depositors. If you hold equity in either of these banks, you're fooked.
Youre right, depositors are going to be taken care of shareholders and the likes.....nope. Stocks worth zero now for SBV and Signature I assume?
 
Youre right, depositors are going to be taken care of shareholders and the likes.....nope. Stocks worth zero now for SBV and Signature I assume?
Not entirely true. Deposits being covered means the assets are (going to be) there, which means there’s a currency base to make loans against, which means there’s a reason to acquire assets (read: accounts) in the FDIC sale. So there is value for shareholders.

E: it also means we are fucked. This is the federal government not guaranteeing the dollar, but also guaranteeing that there is never any risk in loans. And we all saw what happened when that model was applied to college loans.
 
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So how fucked is Chase bank? I have a checking and savings and no outstanding debt.
 
Second bank shuttered

The sheer fucking cope going on right now on cnbc is unreal.

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Its always fun to speculate how often they can do that before they run out rugs.
They plan on stuffing it under the rug until the Republicans come into office.
They also plan on never letting the Republicans take office again after Trump happened.

No, these things aren't completely contradictory. Why do you ask?
So how fucked is Chase bank? I have a checking and savings and no outstanding debt.
Likely not fucked unless they were more exposed than they led on, though banking as a whole is a whole lot of bankers playing fuck-fuck games with your money. Sure would be nice if there was a stop to that idea! Glass-Steagall stopped the fun for the financial industry though and it had to go in the 90's.
 
They plan on stuffing it under the rug until the Republicans come into office.
They also plan on never letting the Republicans take office again after Trump happened.

I mean just let a republican president get elected, and hold the house and Senate. None of the power all of the blame
 
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Depositor protection was expected at minimum, but it doesn't really do anything to assuage the market come tomorrow. The second bank failure tells the tale: there's going to be several more failures, and the only question is how long the Fed and Biden admin both can hold out before having to make the politically suicidal decision of direct bailout for the sake of stability and avoiding devastating employment figures. I give it a week.
 
Here I was thinking it was going to be Auto loan backed securities. Or terrible debt. I still can't believe it was fucking treasury bonds though.
The issue is the Banks were not using the T-Bonds for their intended purpose. As a store of value independent of their own fractional reserves. You hold the T note because it has a guaranteed return. That return is what you should count as value on your books, not the entire value of the note itself. But in todays hyper fast economy, the idea of waiting 10-30 years for a Note to mature just had too little financial incentive. So they packaged their bonds, resold them, counted them in their entirety as assets held to back the accounts payable that they were using to loan money with and the explosive charge was set.

While this made perfect sense in 2021 (when I wrote the "issues" thread). The value of the bonds were increasing because inflation was low and interest rates were stable. The problem though was those Bonds were being used to back up incredibly risky market speculation. Speculation like investing billions of dollars in Silicon Valley Start Ups. Eventually inflation WOULD hit and the Fed would have to start raising rates. Which in turn has caused the value of the bonds to drop. Which is a problem if those bonds have been securitized to back up existing obligations.

The issue was there, plain as day to see. I saw it 2 years ago. But I guess I am just a simple retard on a fruit farming forum. Not some high speed new york banker.
 
Likely not fucked unless they were more exposed than they led on, though banking as a whole is a whole lot of bankers playing fuck-fuck games with your money. Sure would be nice if there was a stop to that idea! Glass-Steagall stopped the fun for the financial industry though and it had to go in the 90's
Well I'm somewhat relieved, I know chase can be fucky but they're also huge; hopefully they can survive this and I chose a battleship instead of a raft. Also Glass-Steagall?
 
Is there a chance that this fiasco will end reaching Evergrande-levels of fail? And I think the CCP didn't bail them out at the time, or did they?
 
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Well I'm somewhat relieved, I know chase can be fucky but they're also huge; hopefully they can survive this and I chose a battleship instead of a raft. Also Glass-Steagall?
So long as your account is below 250,000 dollars and your Bank is part of the FDIC, you don't have to worry about anything, even if your bank tomorrows. If the Government has to literally print 100 dollar bills and mail them to you, they will do just that. The problem is FDIC backed accounts are chump change compared to the accounts that are not FDIC insured.

Is there a chance that this fiasco will end reaching Evergrande-levels of fail? And I think the CCP didn't bail them out at the time, or did they?
China did in the end Bail Out Evergrande, but in true Commie fashion they also rounded up the executives and nobody has heard from them since. They also gave the small time investors the shaft. All those people who bought apartments never got them, and were never reimbursed. The only thing the CCP cared about was the macro level stability. They can do that because they are an authoritarian state not answerable to anyone but themselves.

At the moment its not AS bad as Evergrande, but it could rapidly get much worse depending on how next week goes.
 
Not entirely true. Deposits being covered means the assets are (going to be) there, which means there’s a currency base to make loans against, which means there’s a reason to acquire assets (read: accounts) in the FDIC sale. So there is value for shareholders.

E: it also means we are fucked. This is the federal government not guaranteeing the dollar, but also guaranteeing that there is never any risk in loans. And we all saw what happened when that model was applied to college loans.
The fed backstopping deposits just means that there's not a liquidity crunch. The main goal is still to sell to another bank, who are going to lowball the shit out of it since the FDIC doesn't really have any incentive to do anything other than covering depositors.
 
So long as your account is below 250,000 dollars and your Bank is part of the FDIC, you don't have to worry about anything, even if your bank tomorrows. If the Government has to literally print 100 dollar bills and mail them to you, they will do just that. The problem is FDIC backed accounts are chump change compared to the accounts that are not FDIC insured.
Uh, that limit will be no issue. And it's Chase, so yes, I am insured. This is one of the few times being a scrub has advantages. At least I have no loans or investments.
 
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