Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

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I haven't bothered to backread, I'm just here to drop off a coupe cow crossover tweets from my long ass post about Kevin Gibes's revision surgery, which included some offtopic tweets, such as these:

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And I almost forgot about the Rioley crossover that I managed to post before the downtime:

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I know they're kinda late, but I figured I might as well crosspost them anyways.
I am lol'ing hard over here at good ol Rioley Ravioli thinking that biker lesbians are on the side of trannies. I personally know several members of a dyke bike gang, and they hate trannies more than I do (enbies especially, like Riled-uply claims to be, because enbies are erasing lesbians). Those ladies on the bench would prob be nicer to Nutsack than lesbian bikers would.
 
Ben Shapiro did a Mother's Day video about Tony

Meet The World’s MOST Self Centered Man
I am not a Ben Shapiro fan by any stretch (his voice, ugh), but I did skip through and laughed when he said "NOPE" after Big Tony declared that transwomen can be mothers too.

I don't want to watch this in its totality, but I am glad he's turning more eyes on our pet granite-jawed narcissist. Tony was OG peaking material before Dylan Mulvaney opened a ton of eyes (Thanks, Bud Lite!). People experiencing Tony in his lispy, breathy falsetto can only mean good things for the movement against troon insanity.
 
In Tonyland, inherent bias and conflicts of interest do not count when you reach the "right" conclusions.

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Gasp, there's politics going on in the political branches??? Thank you Yale researchers!

Love our "legislative researcher"/"independent journalist"/"former politico"/"future housewife of successful politician"/etc. aghast, just aghast that politicians only publish reports that give them the findings they want. I bet he really thinks fascists obsessed with bringing about a genocide would publish a report that says the opposite and change their minds. I know he thinks politicians he agrees with probably work this way even though he can't name a single one that has changed their mind on something, especially not away from cohort consensus.

Tony, do you think Zooey would ever introduce into the legislative record a report questioning any area of trans science? Just her good morals to only introduce things she knows are facts, right?
 
Gasp, there's politics going on in the political branches??? Thank you Yale researchers!

Love our "legislative researcher"/"independent journalist"/"former politico"/"future housewife of successful politician"/etc. aghast, just aghast that politicians only publish reports that give them the findings they want. I bet he really thinks fascists obsessed with bringing about a genocide would publish a report that says the opposite and change their minds. I know he thinks politicians he agrees with probably work this way even though he can't name a single one that has changed their mind on something, especially not away from cohort consensus.

Tony, do you think Zooey would ever introduce into the legislative record a report questioning any area of trans science? Just her good morals to only introduce things she knows are facts, right?

I'm amused by Tony's delusion that 0.01% of the population are going to flip a seat or primary someone at the state or federal level or there is enough interest or support for that same 0.01% of the population to remove an incumbent. Tony's math skills are about as good as his reading comprehension skills.
 
In Tonyland, inherent bias and conflicts of interest do not count when you reach the "right" conclusions.

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Actually, I need to go back to this yet again because this idiot has a Masters and tried to get a PhD.

No, we do not "know it was now" because the "correctly suspected" is still a suspicion. They have no proof at all, they're making an argument that it was done. We might all agree that it was done, but we can't know that it was done just because some "Yale researchers" argued that it was. Accusations about intent, however well founded, are not evidence of guilt.
 
I'm amused by Tony's delusion that 0.01% of the population are going to flip a seat or primary someone at the state or federal level or there is enough interest or support for that same 0.01% of the population to remove an incumbent. Tony's math skills are about as good as his reading comprehension skills.
Actually, I need to go back to this yet again because this idiot has a Masters and tried to get a PhD.

No, we do not "know it was now" because the "correctly suspected" is still a suspicion. They have no proof at all, they're making an argument that it was done. We might all agree that it was done, but we can't know that it was done just because some "Yale researchers" argued that it was. Accusations about intent, however well founded, are not evidence of guilt.
He makes all these big grandiose statements about how he wants the world to be, not how it is, and tries to gaslight and intimate people with popular opinion of twitter into thinking it's his way. It's embarrassing.
 
In Tonyland, inherent bias and conflicts of interest do not count when you reach the "right" conclusions.
No, we do not "know it was now" because the "correctly suspected" is still a suspicion. They have no proof at all, they're making an argument that it was done. We might all agree that it was done, but we can't know that it was done just because some "Yale researchers" argued that it was. Accusations about intent, however well founded, are not evidence of guilt.
Ah, back to the Florida review again. OCR'd version of the original document attached.

Tony's Twitter thread:
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@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1658196164452421632 (archive)
Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:42 PM UTC
Bombshell from court documents...
Florida's AHCA and Surgeon General manipulated research to ban gender affirming care.
They tapped a conversion therapy advocate to do it.
An internal chart shows an end goal of "ban care"
Subscribe to support my work.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:43 PM UTC
The flowchart, released in court documents and uncovered by @ZJemptv, shows that before the new Florida "Standards of Care" were produced, they were already ready to ban the care, and that the "research" the state commissioned would be purposefully directed to that goal.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:44 PM UTC
This "research" has already caused contagion over gender affirming care. It has been cited by European agencies. It even was cited in the recent journal article in the British Journal of Medicine.
It was all purposefully manipulated.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:45 PM UTC
In an email, they tapped a conversion therapy advocate, Dr. Van Mol, to lead the effort. He used documents from the American College of Pediatricians, a misnamed group that supports conversion therapy, to help create the "research."

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:45 PM UTC
Dr. Van Mol has often advocated for sexual conversion therapy. In this video here, for instance, he calls on pastors to repent for accepting LGBT lifestyles.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:58 PM UTC
Yale researchers, after debunking the new standards concluded, "So repeated and fundamental are the errors in the June 2 Report that it seems clear that the report is not a serious scientific analysis but, rather, a document crafted to serve a political agenda.”

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 7:59 PM UTC
You can find the Yale review here. This covers the specifics of all of the selective omissions and manipulations.
They correctly suspected that the entirety of the research itself was improperly manipulated to a political end.
We know it was now.

Tony's Substack article: Florida Agencies Manipulated Research To Ban Trans Care And Coverage (archive)

Tony's overreaching with his claim. Horse-cock-dildo enjoyer Zinnia Jones alleges to have documents that show that Florida appointed a known anti-transition medic to shepherd the process. But then Tony claims that this therefore means that the research commissioned from two experts at McMaster University in Canada is inevitably biased.

(Tony likes to claim that the review was written by a dentist, which is only true in that one of the authors has a DDS alongside a doctorate in health research methods.)
Both PhDs in health research, what quacks! Only 23 years of evidence review experience between them. Charlatans.

Tony leans heavily on a document written by several people at Yale which claims to rebut the research by the two McMaster experts. SEGM did a good thread about the document, and its lead author Meredith McNamara, last year.
One thing that the Yale group attacks the paper for is that it doesn't adhere to the standards of a systematic review — where researchers re-analyse and assess existing research and synthesise the results. In my posts mentioning it here I've also called it a systematic review — but it's not, it's an overview of systematic reviews. This is one of the points SEGM makes below.

So instead of doing the reanalysis as, eg, NICE did in England, the two McMaster academics synthesised the results of the existing systematic reviews (from England, Sweden and Finland). Because there's no reanalysis of the source research, the "best practice" guidelines that apply to systematic reviews are not applicable to the overview of existing systematic reviews.

Hope that makes sense!

Here's the thread with the included images and videos archived here.
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@segm_ebm, tweet 1590182979086987264 (archive)
SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Last week, child & adolescent physician Dr. McNamara pledged in front of Florida’s Medical Board to provide a “truthful account" of pediatric gender medicine. She then falsely claimed that a key evidence report the Board relied on was invalid, as it was written by a "dentist.” /1

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Dr. McNamara failed to mention that the author of the FL analysis (who does have a DDS) holds a PhD in Clinical Epidemiology & Health Care Research & published 140+ peer-reviewed publications on evidence evaluation & clinical practice guideline methods./2

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Not only did the FL evidence analysis author train with the "father" of evidence-based medicine, but she now teaches and advances research methods at McMaster's leading center in systematic reviews & clinical practice guidelines development. The Board noted this. /3



SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
When misrepresenting the authors' credentials didn’t work to discredit the FL analysis, McNamara changed tactics. She asserted that the reason the analysis was invalid because it was done by a Canadian team who “violated” the U.S. standards. This, too, is demonstrably false. /4

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
The "violated standards" McNamara is referring to are in the table below, from a 2011 Institute of Medicine document. These recommended standards are for “systematic reviews of evidence”—not for the "OVERVIEW of systematic reviews" commissioned by FL. /5
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SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
An "overview of systematic reviews,” aka an “umbrella review,” assesses the systematic reviews (SR) themselves, rather than assessing individual studies. By synthesizing findings from multiple SRs, "overviews" mitigate the risk of relying on a single and possibly misleading SR./6

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
While “systematic reviews of evidence” are still the gold standard for evidence evaluation (as we explained in a recent thread), FL commissioned a different analysis: an evaluation and synthesis of the 𝙖𝙡𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙮 𝙚𝙭𝙞𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 systematic reviews. /7

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
The purportedly violated "standards" don't apply to the type of review FL commissioned because it was not a "systematic review of evidence." Further, the author of the analysis is a methodologist with significant "pertinent clinical content area expertise" which she disclosed./8

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SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Public health authorities often commission methodologists, not practicing clinicians, to perform evidence evaluation & even lead guideline development. Not having a vested interest is the field allows methodologists to remain impartial, minimizing bias./9

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
The NHS England asked NICE, not WPATH, to review the evidence for a reason. Both individual "field experts" and specialty medical societies can introduce bias into evidence evaluation, ranging from unduly firmly-held intellectual positions, to financial conflicts of interest./10

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Like all research, the FL evidence analysis has limitations. What matters is if they are significant enough to alter the conclusions. The FL analysis conclusion of low quality of evidence (for both benefits & risks) mirrors the conclusions of every systematic review to date./11

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SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
McNamara agreed with the report’s “low quality evidence" grading, but insisted that the term “low quality” is inappropriately used to scare "nonexperts." She used the example of low quality evidence leading to a "strong" recommendation to eat fruit to combat childhood obesity./12



SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
To explain why the fruit analogy is not an apt one, we first must explain the GRADE definitions of “very low/low evidence,” which are not hard to grasp. These "grades" signal that the results from the studies that comprise the evidence may not be valid./13

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
McNamara is right that “low quality" evidence CAN result in a “strong” treatment recommendation. This can happen when the treatment is low-risk (such as eating fruits &veggies). However, puberty blockers & cross-sex hormones have a different risk profile than apples & carrots./14

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Low quality evidence can also result in a strong "recommendation AGAINST" when the treatment is associated with severe risks. McNamara's example of a strong recommendation NOT to use aspirin for kids, based on low quality evidence, illustrates this type of situation well. /15



SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
McNamara's discussion on rating the strength of 𝙚𝙫𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙚 vs the strength of 𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨 however is moot.𝘽𝙤𝙩𝙝 the quality of evidence AND and the strength of recommendations for puberty blockers & cross sex hormones are rated as “𝙡𝙤𝙬/𝙬𝙚𝙖𝙠.”/16

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
Other claims made by McNamara during her testimony were also questionable. As an expert in caring for gender-dysphoric youth, she asserted that mastectomies are as rare as "bottom surgery" & assured the Board she’s NEVER met a single patient <25 who wanted—or—got a mastectomy./17



SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
This assertion was met with skepticism from the Board. It also contradicts reports of the rapidly rising rates of hospital-based mastectomies in minors 12yrs+. These numbers are an undercount, since plastic surgeons often use their own surgical centers./18 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2797439

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
A recent analysis raised questions whether McNamara sees many gender dysphoric youth given her assertions of never having seen a single minor wanting a mastectomy. Her overall expertise in the field of pediatric gender medicine is also in question./19

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
McNamara and colleagues’ written submission to the FL Board recycled a legal submission in another state. In it, the esteemed “Yale” team accused SEGM of using an “undefined term” “GIDs” (which they had to google), along with displaying an “unverifiable graph” from "GIDS."/20
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SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
"GIDS" is the largest pediatric gender clinic in the world in the UK. Its graph was the first to demonstrate the recent sharp rise of gender dysphoria in youth (esp. teen females). GIDS is set to shut down in 2023 in large part due to failures of the "affirmative care model."/ 21

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SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:22 AM UTC
McNamara's lack of familiarity with the term "GIDS" puts into context the credibility of her assertion that the recent European changes in youth gender transitions are "minimal." For those interested, the summary of England's changes can found below./22

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:23 AM UTC
McNamara’s testimony pleased the crowd but did not impress the Medical Board. Her inability to articulate how one conducts differential diagnosis or determines medical necessity of surgery (beyond a teen's wish), revealed the "Wild West" state of US pediatric gender medicine./23



SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:23 AM UTC
McNamara’s inability to explain or defend pediatric gender transition can be excused by her lack of experience. What's unclear is why the Endocrine Society, the AAP, and WPATH—the three pillars of pediatric gender affirmation worldwide—failed to show up to defend their work. /24

SEGM (@segm_ebm) · Nov 9, 2022 · 3:23 AM UTC
Dr. McNamara is entitled to her opinion on the Florida Boards' of Medicine decision to curb gender transition of minors. What she is not entitled to is her own version of facts. Sadly, misrepresenting facts has become a go-to tactic for many in the field of gender medicine./25
TLDR; the Yale group didn't even know what GIDS (the largest pediatric gender clinic in the world) was, Meredith McNamara claims to never have met a trans-identified female under 25 who had or even wanted a double mastectomy. Utter jokers.

Edit: Here's the Ben Shapiro video about Tony's 2022 Mother's Day TikTok video. Meet The World’s MOST Self Centered Man - YouTube (archive)
 

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I'm amused by Tony's delusion that 0.01% of the population are going to flip a seat or primary someone at the state or federal level or there is enough interest or support for that same 0.01% of the population to remove an incumbent. Tony's math skills are about as good as his reading comprehension skills.
Like he said, it's a D80+ district. Unless someone pulls an AOC and knocked on every door in the district to get her knocked out in the primary she's easily going to win reelection. Incumbent privilege is real. Most voters, myself included, don't really pay attention to who votes for what during a session. Especially not at the state level, because that gets next to no media attention.

Given that a majority of people don't think children should transition (thanks WaPo) I highly, highly doubt even an AOC-type hustle in the district would get her primaried. It would probably get her more votes in the primary.
 
Weren't Tony and Big Al Spazzing out over the New York Times just five minutes ago? Especially with the incessant false refrain that Andrew Bailey "cited the Times" for the emergency rule? Now that someone has espoused Tony's favorite misinformation, they are back to being the paper of record.

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Even troon friendly Jack Turban rejects Tony's detransition claims.

Turban 2021

Results: A total of 17,151 (61.9%) participants reported that they had ever pursued gender affirmation, broadly defined. Of these, 2242 (13.1%) reported a history of detransition. A total of 15.9% of respondents reported at least one internal driving factor, including fluctuations in or uncertainty regarding gender identity.

Factors Leading to “Detransition” Among Transgender and Gender Diverse People in the United States: A Mixed-Methods Analysis
 
Weren't Tony and Big Al Spazzing out over the New York Times just five minutes ago? Especially with the incessant false refrain that Andrew Bailey "cited the Times" for the emergency rule? Now that someone has espoused Tony's favorite misinformation, they are back to being the paper of record.
This is a tactic of cluster B disorders in general. If they agree with you, you're brilliant and wonderful. If you disagree with them in any fashion, even something as small as not taking your coffee the same way they do, you're an awful person who should just diaf already.

Borderliners are more dramatic when that happens, but narcissists can fly into a sudden rage upon being disagreed with too.
 
Weren't Tony and Big Al Spazzing out over the New York Times just five minutes ago?
Previously in this genre, from January 25 2023:
"Unsubscribe from the New York Times if you care one bit about trans people."
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"I spoke with NYT's Maggie Astor."

Even troon friendly Jack Turban rejects Tony's detransition claims.
This is particularly hilarious because that survey (USTS) only asked questions of people who currently identified as transgender. Tony and his ilk do not give two shits about detransitioners, legit makes me MATI if I think about it too much.

Regret getting your tits chopped off / vag cut out / dick flayed? lol sucks to be you; skill issue.
 
TLDR; the Yale group didn't even know what GIDS (the largest pediatric gender clinic in the world) was, Meredith McNamara claims to never have met a trans-identified female under 25 who had or even wanted a double mastectomy. Utter jokers.
The "disinformation" reporters explain how this works all the time, it takes SEGM and Jesse Singal and the Kiwi Farms (but I repeat myself) and all the other fascists far too much time to debunk everything while the people on the right side of history can just throw any claim they want out and say any single report or paper is DEBUNKED because they consider there to be no bad tactics and their audience will never read their "debunking" to see if it even makes sense in the first place.

Dear gap tooth,
The emergency rule was abrogated by the bill the legislature passed. Once the legislature acted, the AG emergency rule making power became unnecessary. That's it. I am however, fascinated by your crazed delusion that there was an enforcement issue.

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I went to see how long ago it was that Tony, independent journalist and legislative researcher, tweeted about Missouri's legislature passing that bill and was struck by two things:
1. He sure tweets a lot for someone moving away from Twitter.
2. In his tweet about the ban passing the legislature he did not confidently proclaim it would be struck down in court but did mention the fight against it:
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At this point I'm starting to worry about Kiddo and Zac considering Tony's increasing disassociation from reality for his narcissistic fantasy "headspace" that's completely incoherent. And I'm not even talking about his troon shit here.
 
Although it's probably not the most impactful bill to pass this one in Nebraska is particularly important.
Gaptooth has been holding Cavanaugh up as some sort of idol because she was filibustering the entire session because of an anti trans bill.
It was pretty important that the GOP actually got that bill passed as it would've emboldened the Democrats if they'd managed to filibuster the bill for the entire session
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The GOP snuck it through by making it an amendment of a totally different bill, here's Cavanaugh coping and seething about it.
The voice quiver, the seething, glorious.
Abortion after the 10th week is also banned.

She has now vowed to filibuster the entire 2024 session in response so she's not taking it well. :story:
 
Its hard to even articulate how condescending it is for Tone to say this female senator is "channeling" Nutsack Rash here. Abortion, even if you disagree with it as a "choice" is also a lifesaving medical procedure for many women who could very well die if they're refused a D&C because their doctor is worried they might get sued. And they're dying of sepsis or hemorrhage not necking themselves.

Even if "blood on your hands" wasn't an obscenely popular and overused idiom for people playing martyr - not at all unique to Tony's Dobby from Harry Potter looking fianthhhay - this woman is not channeling shit. Women don't need men in dresses to teach them or lead them or inspire them to stand up for their beliefs.

ETA: the phrase "let's dig in" turns my stomach now because of how much Tony overuses it. It's also condescending as fuck, talking to his audience like they're primary school children. I can't help but picture him doing his autistic hand gestures while I read it.

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Gaptooth has been holding Cavanaugh up as some sort of idol because she was filibustering the entire session because of an anti trans bill.
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@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1658663046443679744 (archive)
Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 17, 2023 · 2:36 AM UTC
Solidarity with @NebraskaMegan and @senatormachaela who filibustered for 80 days, one of the longest filibusters ever, to block a gender affirming care ban in Nebraska.
Republicans had to cheat to get it through with an anti-abortion bill.
We stand with you, this isn't the end.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 17, 2023 · 2:37 AM UTC
Regardless of the outcome, you showed the country and the party how to fight against these bills. We will kill these bills in the courts, we will kill them in the legislatures one day, and we will kill these bills in our communities where we will look out for each other.
"You showed the country and the party how to fight against these bills"
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Edit, an hour later.

What is it with Tony not being able to spell?
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Also, since he did a TikTok wearing it, what do people think of Tony's makeup that he wore to GLAAD and couldn't be arsed bear to wipe off that night?
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@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1657920254331199488 (archive)
Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · May 15, 2023 · 1:26 AM UTC
I couldn’t bear to wipe the makeup off and kept it an extra day 💜

Personally I like the contrast between his Simpsons-yellow face and his corpse-coloured neck.

Edit, even later.

Here are some sanpaku eyes from the video for the connoisseurs.
 
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