I'll put it at 60% glowies, 30% Zelensky, and 10% conscripts. The conscripts aren't good at what they do, but it has more to do with them being poorly utilized. They'd probably do their best as territorial defenders. They aren't good at fighting, but the reasons why is largely out of their control. The Zelensky government is middle management grifters trying to prosecute an offensive campaign with poorly trained conscripts, but they're not the ones in charge. It's the West's leadership and surprisingly shitty logistics network that is the reason why Ukraine is losing.
They are going to suspend the elections.
Then we will get to watch the MSM and NAFO types try and explain how Zelinkseyy is stunning and brave for doing so. Because canceling elections is protecting democracy or something.
He won't need to cancel any elections. They're already extremely fortified, half the people who would have voted against more war have already seceded and joined Russia, and the rest won't dare go to the voting locations because of the army recruiters verifying everyone's votes and conscripting the ones who didn't vote correctly.
More like fight to a standstill while accomplishing dick all, then declaring ourselves victorious and going home...only for the "Westernized" governments and militaries that we'd spent years and trillions of dollars propping up to fold like a house of cards in the face of a bunch of medieval barbarians riding in on cheap technicals and motorbikes.
We were in Iraq for 7 years and Iraq didn't fall in 90 days like Afghanistan did. Iraq never stopped existing although it did fight a civil war from 2014-2019.
Afghanistan was run by thieves and retards from essentially Day 1, and if they weren't retarded thieves they were warlords waiting to start fighting again. Should have left Afghanistan in 2011/2012. If they couldn't get their shit together in 10 years they'll never be able to.
I'll say it again, the US is too squeamish to do what needed to be done in Afghanistan, aka colonization and extermination OR let the warlord allies run wild and fucking punish Pakistan for their bullshit (finally happened after 2011)
I don't know about the old Reich. They had some major strategic blunders and indecision from the leadership of the famed Austrian painter. The Soviet Union was fine mostly though. Maybe a bit too fond of purges in the early days.
Honestly, comparing the Hohol maffia state to the Reich or the CCCP is an insult. They made blunders but not on this scale and this regularly.
I am not sure how much of the Hohol lack of success is to be credit to Zelensky, the mutt glowies (Hi Bella), or simply the hohols just not having veterans and needing to rely on fresh gang pressed conscripts, who lack the experience, training amd motivation.
Taliban were fighting a holy war, these guys are dying for oligarchs to guzzle Bidenmoney.
You have to remember Ukraine has lost multiple key commanders over the past few weeks, along with glowie and NATO advisors getting shredded in Russian strikes. There's really a complete lack of leadership and what Ukraine is doing is throwing its most expendable troops out first in these 'probing' attacks and capturing these 'villages' (which are really just several buildings and farms), in a desperation move to try and capture as much as they can
This is the dumbest fucking shit in the world. Niggers get fucking paid for this. NO SHIT, WAR IS BAD FOR THE ENVIRONMENT YOU DUMB FAGGOTS. TURNING FORESTS AND FARMS INTO MOON CRATERS WITH UNEXPLORED BOMBS EVERYWHERE IS NOT GOOD. What study do you need to fucking conduct here? God. Holy fucking shit.
This was posted in the Wall Street Urinal, on 06/17: View attachment 5170181
KInda raised an eyebrow but since there was nothing corroborating, I just didn't think much of it.
Honestly, I'm not sure the proooobing is any less over the past few days, though, is it?
This is honestly really fucking stupid. An offensive needs constant momentum and push from preventing the enemy to stand fast. So you're taking a break to 'take stock' and what, let Russia attack and regain the territory you slogged for and put up defenses in its weaker points you exposed? Ukranian OPSEC is so bad I don't even think Russia will believe this.
The reason why their offensive stalled in the first place is because the Ukies were using riflemen to 'bunnyhop' from building to building allowing them to capture these settlements but stalling out because shocker, using riflemen over open terrain with no cover doesn't work. Its why they could take these 'villages' but paused on making real progress. Now that the Russians are basically just eradicating these villages with massed strikes since re-taking them would be more effort than they're worth, the commanders don't know what to do.
This is an absolute disaster and it continues to be one. The lack of care of Ukranian and NATO commanders is fucking astonishing.
NATO nations were working on the assumption that the US would bankroll everything and they didn't have to contribute. Then Biden pulled out the pot and demanded an actual potluck. So, they chipped in and it's all kinds of weird gear that doesn't link up with each other.
We were in Iraq for 7 years and Iraq didn't fall in 90 days like Afghanistan did. Iraq never stopped existing although it did fight a civil war from 2014-2019.
Still doesn't change the fact that the Iraqi national army we spent so much time, money, and effort training and equipping, giving them shit like Abrams tanks and F-16s, completely cut and run when they faced a bunch of ISIS barbarians in pickup trucks. All the effective Iraqi counter-offensives against ISIS were done by Kurdish and Shia militias.
At this point I am cautiously optimistic for a peace deal this year. The Ukrainian offensive has so far provided zero results ( a couple of villages in the security zone don't count). For the first offensive to feature a trailer that has surely been a letdown. NATO talking about improving Ukraine's position at the negatioating table also points towards the fact that they are under no illusions that they can push Russia back to the borders. Delivering F16 also makes sense from that point of view because while they are not going to be a game changer they can provide some additional headache for Russia. There also needs to be something in it for Russia after all.
Velyka Novosilka-Vremivka Offensive - Ukraine Captures 2 More Villages but Offensive Stalls
Makarivka, Donetsk Oblast - 16 km from the first Russian defensive line
Russian Ka-52 Alligator Attack Helicopters repelling a Ukrainian attack near Vremivka
To recap, on June 10-11, the 35th Marine, 37th Marine, and 68th Jaeger brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) launched a large assault from their town of Velyka Novosilka that made Russian marines and Donetsk Special Forces OBTF Kaskad retreat towards Staromaiorske and Urozhaine, allowing the Ukrainians to capture the villages of Neskuchne, Storozheve, Blahodatne, and Makarivka, and advanced south towards the two Russian-held villages. The Russians strengthened the defenses of Makarivka and launched a counter-attack on the same day towards Makarivka.
On June 12, Ukraine launched large-scale assaults in these front:
Marines of the AFU advanced towards the Russian-held village of Urozhaine from the northern flank, capturing a portion of the village, while Russia launched a counter-attack to recapture Makarivka from the Ukrainians. Heavy fighting occurred in Makarivka and Urozhaine, effectively making them grey areas.
West of Makarivka, Ukrainian marines have captured the village of Novodarivka from the Russian forces and have launched assaults on the Russian-held village of Rivnopil, which is between Makarivka and Novodarivka, but were repelled. Subsequently, the Russians have withdrawn from the village of Levadne southwest of Novodarivka, with the village occupied by neither Russia or Ukraine.
East of Makarivka, AFU marines have seized some fields south of the Shaitanka River towards the Russian-held village of Novodonetsk, establishing a beachhead. The Ukrainians previously have captured the village from the Russians in an offensive from June 4 but Russian counter-attacks reverted most, if not all, of their gains, but turning some areas into grey areas.
Fighting remained intensive in the village of Makarivka but the Ukraine managed to capture it at the end of the day, but are unable to advance further south due to the Russians controlling the heights west and south of the village. History Legends report that the some marines have withdrawn to resupply, gradually being replaced with the 128th and 129th Territorial Brigades, which are basically non-elite Ukrainian units.
In the west, Ukraine managed to capture the farmhouse of Levadne on June 13. Following the Ukrainian capture of the villages, pro-Russian reporter Remylind23 reported that units of the AFU advanced towards the Russian-held village of Pryyutne in the southeast but were repelled by the Russian defenses.
On June 14, Russia launched a counter-attack using reinforcements of Russian Army reserves, and managed to push back the AFU from Staromaiorske, Novodonetsk, and parts of Urozhaine, though fighting is still intensive in the northern parts of Urozhaine. From this attack, Ukraine lost two APCs, one tank and four other armored vehicles. As a result, Ukraine is unable to advance in this front on that day.
The AFU command has regrouped their forces and are pulling up reserves to strengthen their operations, but has halted their offensive due to losses. Remylind23 reported that Ukraine have incurred very heavy losses in manpower and equipment due to their offensive to seize Makarivka.
Ukraine launched another assault on June 18, but this was repelled by the Russians and their air force following the destruction of Ukrainian-operated armored vehicles and a D-20 howitzer according to pro-Russian reporter voin_dv.
Marines of the Russian 60th Naval Brigade captured fighters of the 35th Naval Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Makarivka.
Fallen soldiers of the 37th Marine Brigade of the AFU
A Ukrainian-operated MaxxPro trying to evacuate a tank. However, they released the tank when the Russians start shelling them and the tank crew, in panic, ran over the two vehicle.
The fighters of the OBTF Kaskad once again make it clear to the enemy that they have nowhere to hide from our “Lancets”. Tank is hit in the northern Part of Makarovka. - Remylind23
Another angle of view of the broken armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Levadne region on the Vremievsky ledge.
Vasylivka Offensive - Ukraine Bogged Down in Pyatykhaki with Reportedly Very Heavy Losses
Lobkove-Pyatykhaki, Zaporizhzhia Oblast - 10 km from the Vasylivka defensive lines, 11 km from first Russian defensive line
The Russian 429th Regiment with the Assault Ossetia Battalion doing a flag ceremony after their recapture of Pyatykhatki after Ukrainian withdrawal, June 19
To recap, on June 10, Ukraine launched an offensive to take the village of Lobkove from their village of Stepove, which succeeded on June 11. They would then launch towards the Russian-held village of Luhove in the southwest but were repelled by the Russian Armed Forces to the point where they evacuated from Lobkove back to Stepove.
In the morning of June 14, Ukraine launched an offensive towards the Russian-held village of Verkhnyaya Krinitsa on the eastern shores of the Dnipro River, in which they shelled Russian trenches and captured Lobkove. Following the capture of Lobkove, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) launched an assault with the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade onto the Russian-held village of Pyatykhaki, as well as launched probing operations to find more areas to attack so they can easily advance to Vasylivka.
On June 16, units of the Russian Army (58th Army) managed to push back some of the Ukrainian assaults inside village of Pyatykhaki with the help of Ka-52 attack helicopters and the TOS flamethrower system, with Ukraine incurring losses of 2 tanks and 2 IFVs. With the assistance of ATGM and artillery, Russia managed to repel the Ukrainian assault and have fully secure control over the village of Pyatykhaki.
Ukraine has regrouped its forces and have launched an assault to take Pyatykhaki via waves of infantry formations and armored vehicles to seize Pyatykhaki in the next couple of hours.
The Russian 58th Army repelled the first Ukrainian wave, in which the AFU has lost some manpower and equipment. The AFU struggled to retreat due to being constantly shelled due to Russian artillery and ATGM.
Russian forces repelled a second wave with the help of artillery.
However, on June 17, the third Ukrainian wave managed to seize Pyatykhaki from the Russian forces, pushing the 58th Army out of the village. However, they are unable to advance south due to the Russian-controlled heights.
Hours later, 116 Russian-operated TOS rockets leveled the village of Pyatykhaki into rubble, turning the village into a grey area. It was reported by Remylind23 that the AFU lost a platoon of infantry fighting two tanks, up to five armored cars and about 50 people killed. The total losses compared to the previous week have seriously increased and exceeded several hundreds people per day killed and wounded.
Ukrainian soldiers finally withdrew from the destroyed village of Pyatykhaki on June 18, and are attempting to regroup again with more reserves.
On June 19, units of the AFU re-entered the ruins of Pyatykhaki, and Russia launched aerial and artillery strikes onto them, with Ukraine according to pro-Russian sources losing 10 pieces of equipment and personnel. Russian forces consisting of units of the 429th regiment, which includes the Assault Ossetia battalion, assaulted the village of Pyatykhaki and managed to expell the Ukrainian garrison. AFU struggled to retrieve the wounded due to heavy Russian shelling.
Losses of the entire Ukrainian counter-offensive to seize Pyatykhaki have been estimated by Remylind23 to be over 1,000 infantrymen.
Video of units of the 128th Mechanized Brigade of the AFU having a flag ceremony to signify the capture of Pyatykhatki (not sure about date). In the video, they have also trampled on the flag of the Russian Assault Ossetia battalion, which has been fighting in the village.
Orikhiv Offensive - No Progress for Ukraine Except Heavy Losses
Mala Tokmachka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast - 5 km from the first Russian defensive line
Ukraine has not launched a large-scale assault since June 9, 2023, in which the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) sent waves of forces from their town of Orikhiv towards the Russian-held village of Robotyne with many armored vehicles including Leopard 2 tanks and Bradley IFVs and incurred heavy losses. Since that timeframe, Ukraine has opted to send in small infiltration squads to probe the strength of the Russian defensive line between Robotyne and another Russian-held village Verbove in the south, while at the same time, advanced in no man's land towards the Russian-held village
Due to the AFU's hesitation to launch another assault towards Robotyne these past days, the Russian Armed Forces took advantage of the situation by launching small offensive operations to retake terrain captured by the Ukrainians from their June 9 offensive on June 13. This resulted in the AFU launched two attacks as reported by pro-Russian reporter Remylind23, of which both were repelled by the Russian Army.
Ukrainian offensive:
On June 14, the AFU started mobilizing their forces consisting of the 47th and 118th Mechanized Brigades around Orikhiv, in which Remylind23 believes will be used to break through the Russian lines in the south in the upcoming 1-2 days. I'm not sure if it's on the 15th or 14th of June but Ukraine launched an two small assaults towards Russian lines, but both were repelled, in which the AFU has lost 10 servicemen, a truck, and two pickups.
The AFU launched a small assault on the afternoon of June 15, but were repelled by the Russian Army. Following this small assault, Ukraine launched a larger offensive south of Mala Tokmachka, with tanks and heavy artillery of both sides firing at each side, with Ukraine hoping for a breakthrough.
Throughout June 16-17, Ukraine has still attempted to launch assaults to capture the defensive line between Robotyne and Verbove, as well as the two villages, with losses in APCs and tanks reported. On June 17, the AFU have decided to step up offensive operations towards the Robotyne-Verbove defensive line, in which they are now rushing in armored vehicles after charging Russian positions with infantrymen. However, this offensive seen minimal success with the Ukrainian capture of Russian positions around the region Balka Uspenivska and the AFU regrouped their forces again for another assault.
Pro-Russian reporter Voin_dv Ukraine lost 11 tanks, 15 IFVs, and 10 armored fighting vehicles and 550 casualties (400 wounded) from their offensive towards Robotyne in June 17.
Russian counter-attack:
On June 18, Russia launched a counter-attack consisting of 291st and 70th regiments, 22nd special forces brigade, 417th orb, artillerymen, and mobilized infantry from Moscow and Moscow Oblast after midnight. The Russians managed to seize positions around Balka Uspenivska lost to Ukraine yesterday, driving out the AFU while capturing scouts of the Ukrainian 65th Mechanized Brigade and destroying 20 pieces of equipment. Russian troops also attempted to assault positions near the Ukrainian-held village of Novodanylivka south of Orikhiv but with no success.
It is reported that ours in the direction of Orekhov captured a forest belt. Those who survived fled. - Remylind23
Donetsk Front - Ukrainian attacks followed by larger Russian assaults
Donetsk, Donetsk Oblast
TOS Rockets striking Ukrainian-held Avdiivka
DPA on June 12 reported that Ukraine has launched counter-attacks on the Russian assaults in Marinka in the northern and southern flank, though pro-Russian reporter Rybar reports that these assaults have failed. Marinka is a suburb southwest of Donetsk that is 80% controlled by the Russian Army, and due to the town being heavily contested between the Russians and Ukrainians for a year or so, Marinka is nothing but rubble and ruins.
On the same day, DPA reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) launched assaults into the Russian-held villages of Krasnohorivka and Novobakhmutivka, as well as the heavily contested village of Pervomaiske, to push back the pincers that surround their stronghold of Avdiivka, in which the Ukrainians use it to shell the city of Donetsk in the south. However, there is no reports of their succeses.
Back to Marinka, on June 15, Rybar reported that after shelling of Ukrainian positions in Marinka, Pobeda, and Konstantinovka, the Russian Armed Forces under Yug Command launched an assault towards the Ukrainian-held town of Novomykhailivka in the south. Units of the Russian Army (20th Motorized Rife Division) managed to seize two Ukrainian positions and the northern positions to the town following Ukrainian withdrawal (79th Special Brigade). If the Russians capture Marinka, Pobeda, and Konstantinovka, they will be able to cut off supplies towards the Ukrainian-held fortress town of Vuhledar, of which Russia launched a failed offensive back in January 2023.
Ukraine managed to push the Russian forces back in the north of Avdiivka in positions around Vesele that the Russians seized weeks ago in June 17.
In June 19, the Russian Army seized the fortified position southeast of Marinka called "Menagerie," a ruined farmhouse," after months of assaults due to having to go through Ukrainian mine fields and artillery shelling. According to pro-Russian source Rybar, the Russian forces need to capture Menagerie to keep their advancements into Marinka and Pobeda safe, and will probably emboldened the Russians to make more ambitious assaults into Marinka and Pobeda.
June 15
June 17
June 19
Bakhmut Front
Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast
Ukrainian armor burning in the direction of Bakhmut
For a month, Ukraine has been assaulting the northern flank of the Russian-held destroyed city of Bakhmut. In June 16, Ukraine suffered >11 casualties. The day after, a AFU-operated ammunition depot near the city blew up. Finally, on June 18, a separate Russian motorized rifle brigade of the Northern Fleet attacked the AFU in the rear areas before they have time to attack in addition to artillery fire.
11 infantrymen of the AFU that have unfortunately perished.
Kupyansk-Kreminna-Svatove Front - Russia Launches Offensive
Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast - Kreminna-Svatove, Luhansk Oblast
Russian troops advancing in Kremensky Forest (near Kreminna)
On June 19, according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense. the Russian Army utilized reserves and launched an offensive towards the Ukrainian-held cities of Lyman and Kupyansk in Kharkiv Oblast. Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Hanna Malyar stated that the situation is difficult and the Russians are intending to capture the borders between Luhansk Oblast and Donetsk Oblast/Kharkiv Oblast. Russian troops are now advancing towards the Ukrainian-held settlements of Torske and Kupyansk.
Helmet cam footage of Ukrainian soldiers advancing in Kremensky Forest & coming under precise weapon fire (presumably artillery or drone bomb munitions)
Ukrainian soldiers defending against the Russian assault in the Kremensky Forest.
Wagner PMC head Yevgeny Prigozhin will go back to the front on August 5
Wagner PMC returns to the front on August 5th
According to Yevgeny Prigozhin, the "musicians" left on June 5 and, according to forecasts, will be able to perform the assigned tasks on August 5 in full combat readiness.
P.S: Always remember nobody would say the exact date publicly. - Remylind23
I can presume that the Wagnerites will enter the frontlines before August 5th, so realistically Wagner Group PMC will be deployed in late June and July knowing that what Prigozhin says is mostly maskirovka. The Russian Ministry of Defense have previously stated that the Wagnerites will be deployed to Belgorod Oblast in Russia, much to the chagrin of the pro-Russian crowd, believing that Wagnerites will be put on border guard duty.
However, Belgorod Oblast borders Kharkiv Oblast in Ukraine, and I am predicting a potential Russian offensive to retake land that they lost back in 2022 September to the Ukrainian counter-offensive, as well as an assault towards the city of Kharkiv, which is the 2nd largest city in Ukraine.
Don't focus on the meaning of the names too much; the names of the Russian command groups don't corroborate with their actual locations and directions.
Zapad (Запад, West; controls the Russian Armed Forces at the Kupyansk Front in Kharkiv Oblast)
Tsentr (Центр, Center; controls the Russian Armed Forces at the Kreminna Front in Luhansk Oblast/northern Donetsk Oblast)
Yug (Юг, South; controls the Russian Armed Forces at Bakhmut and Andiivka/North Donetsk) - the most competent and efficient of the five, including the most elite of the Armed Forces, the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV; Vozdushno-Desantnye Voyska)
Vostok (Восток, East; controls the Russian Armed Forces at Zaporizhzhya Oblast, west Donetsk Oblast)
Dnipro (Днепр; Dnieper River; controls the Russian Armed Forces at Kherson Oblast)
Private Military Companies
Wagner Group (unknown, potentially Kharkiv Oblast)
Konvoy (operates in Kherson Oblast)
Special Forces
Akhmat (operates in Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast) - pro-Russian Chechen special forces
OBTF Kaskad (operates in Zaporizhzhia Oblast) - pro-Russian Donetsk militia special forces
I hate the current administration as much as is legally possible (and even more than that in my heart), but the One China policy dates back to Nixon and is at least partially codified by the Taiwan Relations Act which exists specifically to stop the executive branch from making changes to US policy on Taiwan.