Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

[White-Kettle Shufflepunk]

I'm sure that 1000 year old abbey Tony visited is thinking "I haven't seen 2 bigger faggots since those Greek delegates visited in 1500."

I missread that as "abbess" and thought "Yes, I imagine Tony and Zach are not fun at the bi-centennial vampire gatherings. Like Nosferatu who think they're Daeva."

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

View attachment 5233609
(t, a (whole thread))

View attachment 5233610
Tony, see that text at the bottom of your oh-so-authoritative graph? That relates to something called the 'sample size' (a concept which you seem to understand when you want to 'debunk' a study on detransition, for example).
View attachment 5233611
It's kinda important because otherwise any number, even a very, very small one (like 3 or 5 or 1,254 in a country as populous as the US) can be made into a 'massive' percentage

Of course Snaggle Tooth doesn't tell his readers that this bullshit came from a far left "think tank"

 

[AirdropShitposts]

Perhaps, but I don't think so:
View attachment 5232246

And I'm fairly certain it's not the case for his reply guys:
View attachment 5232247

I would think that the apex of the "female experience" is pregnancy or maybe specifically birth. I know we aren't supposed to say that because it was initially misogynistic and now transphobic but I imagine it remains true no matter what we think. If we did make a spectrum like all these people claim sex is then one end would be pregnancy and the other would be being funny. (That joke is the apex of the male experience.)

View attachment 5233609
(t, a (whole thread))

View attachment 5233610
Tony, see that text at the bottom of your oh-so-authoritative graph? That relates to something called the 'sample size' (a concept which you seem to understand when you want to 'debunk' a study on detransition, for example).
View attachment 5233611
It's kinda important because otherwise any number, even a very, very small one (like 3 or 5 or 1,254 in a country as populous as the US) can be made into a 'massive' percentage

Sample size is fine, larger problem for Tony is the question. It doesn't ask if they oppose the bans, people simply favor legislation being on a single topic, the bulk of the Republican and Independent support is reflecting that. People aren't saying YAY LGBTQ they're saying military spending bills should be about military spending. (I understand that you can make a case that these are about military spending but that's not what the question asked and not what the pollsters were looking for so they didn't tell the people being polled.)

 

[Geranium]

People aren't saying YAY LGBTQ they're saying military spending bills should be about military spending.

I think there's probably also an element of force-teaming here as well. I wonder if the results would have been different if the question had read "anti-trans" rather than "anti-LGBTQ+" (though "anti-trans" is loaded as well).

More of Tony's "my enemies are a homogenous, tightly-aligned force, so any dispute among them means they're falling apart" nonsense:

@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1683899177875431424 (archive)

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Jul 25, 2023 · 5:57 PM UTC
Real leopards eating faces hours lately for the “gender critical” crowd.

Reminded me of this:

@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1427672973574541313 (archive)

and this:

[Jesse Singal dunks on] Tony as having "a level of understand of how politics and dishonesty work that you find in a five-year-old watching cartoons",

Can't wait for Tony's Substack exposé that the Taliban also aren't feminists. Subscribe to support his work!

 

[AirdropShitposts]

What's the "leopards eating faces" part of this?

 

[luigismanslave]

Of course Snaggle Tooth doesn't tell his readers that this bullshit came from a far left "think tank"

View attachment 5233901

i truly don't think they'd give a shit

 

[AnOminous]

Womanhood itself is effortless to women, and as much as these guys pretend to bitch about muh patriarchy they sure as shit think womanhood is when you shave your legs, shower every day, and declare yourself submissive.

These faggots are the experts of topping from the bottom, though. They declare themselves "submissive" and then have a giant list of demands as to how you're supposed to dom them. Fuck them. They aren't women, they're men.

What's the "leopards eating faces" part of this?

"I voted for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party but they weren't supposed to eat MY face!"

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

Here is a good blog topic for ole Tony,

21 State Attorney Generals are suing for access to the sources materials for WPATH standards. WPATH is doing everything in their power to hide the ball. Things are about to get interesting.

Republican Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall led 21 other state AGs in an amicus brief defending the state’s ban on child sex changes and blasting the World Professional Association of Transgender Health’s (WPATH) guidance for transgender-identified youth.

The AGs come from Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and West Virginia.

Transgender activists have sued the Attorney General of Alabama over a 2022 law that banned sex change surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers on patients under 19. The law, which went into effect May 8 of that year, was blocked by U.S. District Judge Liles Burke.

During arguments on the case, plaintiffs repeatedly referred to WPATH’s medical guidance for transgender people. Judge Burke granted defendants a subpoena of WPATH’s internal documents related to the process by which WPATH came up with their guidance for transgender people, especially minors.

“One could scarcely dream up a more radical organization to outsource the regulation of medicine to than WPATH,” the AGs write in the brief.

In 2022, WPATH set standards of care for those with a “eunuch” gender identity, recommending hormone suppression, orchiectomy (removal of the testicles) to stop production of testosterone, the possibility of a penectomy to alter the body to match the patient’s self-image and hormone replacement with testosterone or estrogen. WPATH even cited information from the Eunuch Archive, an online forum which contains stories of child castration, pedophilia and sexual torture

AGs Defend Child Sex Change Bans

 

[AirdropShitposts]

Transgender activists have sued the Attorney General of Alabama over a 2022 law that banned sex change surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers on patients under 19. The law, which went into effect May 8 of that year, was blocked by U.S. District Judge Liles Burke.

During arguments on the case, plaintiffs repeatedly referred to WPATH’s medical guidance for transgender people. Judge Burke granted defendants a subpoena of WPATH’s internal documents related to the process by which WPATH came up with their guidance for transgender people, especially minors.

Remember what I said the other day about how they all think the law works. It's especially a good idea to find out how it actually works before you go ahead with a lawsuit.

Do I want to see if Tony listed this as one of those 6-0 wins?

edit: I broke, I do:


Alabama is controlled by Nazis btw, as are Texas and Florida:


I already knew this though, not because of troon stuff but because of those states seizing the warehouses and establishing the death penalty for anyone who charges interest:

 

[Sir Chubbis the Turd]

What's the "leopards eating faces" part of this?

It was a Tweet that became a running "gotcha" phrase on Reddit. After Trump won it was used against groups or regions that should have "known better" than to vote for Trump since he was clearly against their interests due to his racism/homophobia/misogyny/whatever. Then during COVID, it was used extensively against Boomers and Republicans who (according to Redditors) contributed to their own demise due to their political affiliations or other convictions against blindly taking an experimental vaccine.
TLDR: its a stupid Reddit-ism

 

[luigismanslave]

It was a Tweet that became a running "gotcha" phrase on Reddit. After Trump won it was used against groups or regions that should have "known better" than to vote for Trump since he was clearly against their interests due to his racism/homophobia/misogyny/whatever. Then during COVID, it was used extensively against Boomers and Republicans who (according to Redditors) contributed to their own demise due to their political affiliations or other convictions against blindly taking an experimental vaccine.
TLDR: its a stupid Reddit-ism

calling it a stupid reddit-ism implies that all reddit-ism isn't stupid. i'm surprised anthony never got a narwhal bacons at midnight tattoo to go with the reddit one

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

No, it does not Snaggle Tooth. First and foremost, this is an activist op-ed (journal comment) and not an actual study. Gender-affirming care is preventative care Second, the author is an epidemiologist, and thus not really qualified to make these claims. Arjee Restar . Third, just like every other article or paper you troons bleat about, the author never established "causation" in any meaningful way.

 

[Geranium]

First and foremost, this is an activist op-ed (journal comment) and not an actual study. Gender-affirming care is preventative care Second, the author is an epidemiologist, and thus not really qualified to make these claims. Arjee Restar . Third, just like every other article or paper you troons bleat about, the author never established "causation" in any meaningful way.

I wondered if Tony was going to post this after I saw Leor Sapir mention it.

I don't feel that "the author is is an epidemiologist, and thus not really qualified to make these claims" is a strong point — some of the best analyses of transgender-related research are by people whose expertise is in other fields, but who are intellectually honest and able to critically assess papers (like Jesse Singal, Leor Sapir, and JL Cederblom). As Tony is fond of pointing out, plenty of US doctors who would be considered "qualified to make these claims" support positions that are not supported by the evidence.

Archive of Tony's tweet, and then Sapir's tweet. I do recommend that people read Sapir's assessment. He points out that the article repeats the farcical claim that under-18s aren't getting surgery, and leans on the notorious Chen et al 2023 study, whose authors said they would report on particular outcomes, only to ignore them when the results didn't show what they wanted.


@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1684232953784684545 (archive)

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Jul 26, 2023 · 4:03 PM UTC
New paper in the Lancet confirms gender-affirming care is preventative care.
Confirms:
- GAC is linked to improved quality of life
- GAC is an integral determinant of well-being
- GAC increases positive psych outcomes
- GAC must be considered preventative mental healthcare

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Jul 26, 2023 · 4:03 PM UTC
Article can be found here:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667193X23001187

Sapir's assessment:

@LeorSapir, tweet 1684261410887303184 (archive)

Leor Sapir (@LeorSapir) · Jul 26, 2023 · 5:56 PM UTC
I'm reposting my review of a new paper in
@TheLancet by @Dr_ArjeeRestar, which makes the case that "gender-affirming care" is preventative medicine. I claimed in the previous post that the paper was peer-reviewed (it isn't). Here is the original commentary, amended.

Highlights [of Restar's paper] include:

1. "Other forms of GAC services ranges from affirmative counselling to hormones for youths, while surgeries is [sic] limited to adults."

We already know this is provably false. In fact, WPATH SOC-8 has no age minimums surgeries (except phalloplasty). What source does Restar cite for "surgeries is limited to adults"? You guessed it: WPATH SOC-8. (You can't make this up.)

2. "Notably, in a large match control study, use of hormones was associated with less depression, and trans people not on hormones had 4-fold increased risk of depressive disorder."

The citation Restar provides says this: "Due to the cross-sectional design, longitudinal research is required to fully confirm the finding that CHT use reduces depression." Cross-sectional means no causal inferences. One reason the hormone cohort might have done better is that only people with better mental health were allowed to get hormones.

3. "To date, no studies have reported findings that suggest GAC increases negative mental health outcomes."

Some studies found no improvement (e.g., GIDS failed attempt to replicate Dutch study), and some found deterioration in treatment subsets. Even if using drugs with known/anticipated harms results merely in no MH benefit, it's (potentially) a net harm.

4. "Results from a prospective cohort study of U.S. trans youths showed increases in positive psychological outcomes, including positive affect and life satisfaction, and decreases in depression and anxiety symptoms after receiving 2 years of hormones—addressing the lack of longitudinal data in this area."

Restar cites Chen et al., but forgets to mention the HARKing [hypothesising after the results are known] in this study, the unimpressive extent of MH improvement, and the fact that... 2 of the 315 kids who got medicalized committed suicide, which is 20+ times the gen pop rate.

And the list goes on and on. Restar's basic point? No gatekeeping! GAC is settled science, most "relevant" (read: GAC-approving) medical associations agree, and one shouldn't have to have a GD Dx to get GAC. But also, we should totally depathologize trans identity. (Note: this is not a contradiction, but enhanced dialectical awareness.)

Good grief. It's like they're not even trying anymore.

Restar's paper: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanam/article/PIIS2667-193X(23)00118-7/fulltext

Edit: Quick polycule update.

Dylan Herrada / Eva Herrada's degeneracy intensifies:

@eeevuhhhh, tweet 1683515455724560388 (archive)

gay eva (@eeevuhhhh) · Jul 24, 2023 · 4:32 PM UTC
convincing my girlfriends religious grandparents that the heart and infinity sign in my day collar with the polyamory symbol on it stand for the eternal love of jesus

This was retweeted by recent vaginoplasty victim witchbitchaddi, so presumably he is the "girlfriend" in the story.

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

I don't feel that "the author is is an epidemiologist, and thus not really qualified to make these claims" is a strong point — some of the best analyses of transgender-related research are by people whose expertise is in other fields, but who are intellectually honest and able to critically assess papers (like Jesse Singal, Leor Sapir, and JL Cederblom).

This is a reasonable and fair point. The issue that I was getting at is that if the troons wanted this person as an expert in the troon litigation, the author would likely get excluded for the same reason that Mark Regnerus occasionally gets excluded.

"Regnerus' testimony was intended to cast doubt on the motivations of health care providers and organizations promoting gender-affirming care for minors by demonstrating a bias toward hormone therapy and surgical interventions and away from mental health treatment, but Regnerus failed to show that he had done any research in the field outside of one paper discredited by a federal judge in a 2014 adoption case in Michigan.

Moody repeatedly tried to elicit testimony from Regnerus indicative of research he had performed, but the witness continued to relate his opinions of research done by others and to point out the controversy those research findings had inspired.

Dylan Jacobs, an attorney with Rutledge's office, said Regnerus was attempting to discredit a claimed medical consensus among professional health care associations that he said does not exist but claimed is being covered up by exerting pressure on medical professionals who don't agree with those organizations."

Judge in transgender care trial questions relevance of state witness’ testimony

 

[AirdropShitposts]

"I voted for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party but they weren't supposed to eat MY face!"

It was a Tweet that became a running "gotcha" phrase on Reddit. After Trump won it was used against groups or regions that should have "known better" than to vote for Trump since he was clearly against their interests due to his racism/homophobia/misogyny/whatever. Then during COVID, it was used extensively against Boomers and Republicans who (according to Redditors) contributed to their own demise due to their political affiliations or other convictions against blindly taking an experimental vaccine.
TLDR: its a stupid Reddit-ism

I know of the meme, I meant what was the instance Tony was pointing to? Matt Walsh was criticizing feminists, as he has for years and which they presumably already knew about, so where is the surprise supposed to come from? I know the actual meaning I was asking rhetorically, Tony believes that the dumb women believed Matt Walsh to agree with them completely on everything forever more and now they're shocked SHOCKED to find out he doesn't. And Tony gets to gloat at those stupid women who should have just listened to Tony and agreed completely with Tony on everything forever more.

 

[Not Dr. Evil]

Tony: Children are not getting genital surgery.

Cock Chop Surgeon Blair Peters: Most of my genital surgery is done on children.

Kat Cammack Plays Video Of Gender Affirming Surgery Expert Despite Democrats' Objections

 

[Palla Strozzi]

Sample size is fine, larger problem for Tony is the question. It doesn't ask if they oppose the bans, people simply favor legislation being on a single topic, the bulk of the Republican and Independent support is reflecting that. People aren't saying YAY LGBTQ they're saying military spending bills should be about military spending. (I understand that you can make a case that these are about military spending but that's not what the question asked and not what the pollsters were looking for so they didn't tell the people being polled.)

Agreed that the question is a bigger issue in principle, but it annoys the hell out of me how often he dishonestly claims that "widespread social/electoral support for my fringe position is overwhelming, look at these survey results" - and then posts a graphic representing a survey of 800-1000 people. He does it all the time and it's dishonest as hell.

 

[glioblastoma multiforme]

Agreed that the question is a bigger issue in principle, but it annoys the hell out of me how often he dishonestly claims that "widespread social/electoral support for my fringe position is overwhelming, look at these survey results" - and then posts a graphic representing a survey of 800-1000 people. He does it all the time and it's dishonest as hell.

tony's approach to data science is "form a hypothesis then design your experiment to confirm that hypothesis" except he doesn't even design or carry out the experiments, he just cherry picks ones that he can twist to suit his needs.

he's totally the sort of person that would ask "do you think trans people should be crucified in publc?" and when 99% say no interpret it as widespread support for trans people.

i'm actually really glad he failed getting his social science phd, cos he'd probably have learned how to do things properly and how to be dishonest in more subtle ways. that would mean the less stupid people who see his shit might be more likely to believe him. at least now its so blatant that its mostly people in his echo chamber who take his claims at face value...... and apparently people in the media who can't find a more credible trans voice, which speaks volumes either about their laziness, or the credibility of trans people, or both.

 

[AirdropShitposts]

i'm actually really glad he failed getting his social science phd, cos he'd probably have learned how to do things properly and how to be dishonest in more subtle ways. that would mean the less stupid people who see his shit might be more likely to believe him. at least now its so blatant that its mostly people in his echo chamber who take his claims at face value...... and apparently people in the media who can't find a more credible trans voice, which speaks volumes either about their laziness, or the credibility of trans people, or both.

Oh, fren, either he learned to do things properly or LSU has the worst Sociology department on Earth:

 

[glioblastoma multiforme]

Oh, fren, either he learned to do things properly or LSU has the worst Sociology department on Earth:
View attachment 5236678

Oh fucking hell. I assume unis in the states have external examiners that check the levels of their courses? To ensure at least some standards are guaranteed, it's done over here though it's clearly not a great system given how much 1sts have been diluted.

I know LSU has some decent research groups, checked their ranking for sociology department it was apparently 14 nationally 2016 but when I followed their link (to a website called gradreport) and searched sociology it no longer comes up. Either way, it claims to have been decent when Tony was there but the ranking seems to ne based on student satisfaction not academic merit.

Anyway, straight up lazy dishonesty confimmediately.

Eta: according to sociology-schools.com their sociology and anthropology school is ranked 37 in the USA