Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

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Do we think Tony will wait for him? Or will he be on Her looking for real pussy before the prison guards finish searching Zach's amhole?

is there any way tony could get in trouble for this too? like if he knew they were misappropriated? guess it would be hard to prove knowledge.

also if zach actually did go to prison, would montana put him in with women or men? i'm guessing prison is unlikely, but if anything was proven, would this be the end of his political "career" at least? in which case tony will be gone in a flash.

just trying to figure out what any of this actually means.
 
just trying to figure out what any of this actually means.
Realistically, nothing, let’s face it. Even assuming it’s true and they got the stinkeye from the FEC, it’s a piddling amount of money to political nobody who represents about as many people as you could fit on a zeppelin. He’ll get fined, Erin will spin it on Twitter and everyone who doesn't immediately forget will convince themselves that they always wanted their campaign donation misused because troons are perfect and could never make mistakes.
 
"The regret rate actually appears to be 0%." Does he even hear himself?
For some reason I want to urge him to do a flip. I think it's because he's speaking about women with authority and knows no one will or can challenge him with his proven zero percent. Get bent, enjoy pozzing negholesr Zach at night.

It seems likely there is an external factor responsible for this; Shaw suggests "potential Hawthorne (observer effect) bias. This is a bias where the respondents alter their responses because they are aware that they are being observed or studied." Even Robert Mugabe (pbuh) didn't rig elections this badly.
Trans men and trans people in general are very paranoid about this. They think a lot about what others think of them, to the point I'm sure even private thoughts they have are something they tightly control in case another person they want to be in good with or want to project anair of control to is reading their mind.

It's hard to be in control of anything (from emotions to choices) without admitting failure. And failure means you lost control in your head when all it means is you didn't do one or a few things properly, and it must weight heavily on the OCD like mind.

Get a new "job", Tony. You're an absolute retard who can't read and spreads misinformation/lies of dangerous shit because you're a GROOMER.
Me too buddy, me too.
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For anyone curious, here are the 2 scales they were given:
Jesus, no wonder why 40% shat their pants in fear and ran. It is very candid for them, it's awful to someone terrified.

They're afraid that their surgeons will ghost them if they complain too much in public, and the wider troon community might also ostracize them for being a debbie-downer.
I get the impression the later is the bigger fear since that's their safety net, their "friends", the people they try to impress, and the network they are terrified of losing after ditchingall their other friends for supportive ones. Surgeons (usually) eventually stop being in your life, the cool kids you're terrified of disappointed are in your brain forever.

Got a copy of it for archival purposes
Thanks, always good to have.

also if zach actually did go to prison, would montana put him in with women or men? i'm guessing prison is unlikely, but if anything was proven, would this be the end of his political "career" at least? in which case tony will be gone in a flash.
I'd snicker. Imagine being punished twice by the state, once by lawmakers muffling your tantrum, once by police going "alright get in don't argue more than you have to sir, please calm down sir." Very child-like tantrum over a punishment like that which would ultimately be ineffective in red MT.

And Erin Reed might take the opportunity to beg and plead for more money and justice for Zoooey before dumping him 3-6 months after prison. Gotta capitalize!
 
Trans men and trans people in general are very paranoid about this. They think a lot about what others think of them, to the point I'm sure even private thoughts they have are something they tightly control in case another person they want to be in good with or want to project anair of control to is reading their mind.
Yeah, the r/ftm subreddit is the most insane, suffocating, cult-like hugbox.

Anyone who frequents the SRS thread will know that "NO REGRETS" is practically a meme. Just check this out:
I still think a lot about Ashton Williams, who literally had her rotdog split open like a hotdog bun for something like 6 months, and was stuck pissing into a bag through a catheter that whole time. But in every TikTok video she made she kept saying that she wouldn't change anything. Crazy.
 
Yeah, the r/ftm subreddit is the most insane, suffocating, cult-like hugbox.


I still think a lot about Ashton Williams, who literally had her rotdog split open like a hotdog bun for something like 6 months, and was stuck pissing into a bag through a catheter that whole time. But in every TikTok video she made she kept saying that she wouldn't change anything. Crazy.
I haven't been in the SRS thread since I could get back to farming, I can't mentally cope with the horrors at the moment; is she still on Tik Tok hiatus because the regret has really set in now? Oh sorry, because it didn't bring her joy anymore.
 
I haven't been in the SRS thread since I could get back to farming, I can't mentally cope with the horrors at the moment
At this very moment we’re discussing the case of neodong infected with fly larvae in 24 yo girl with 39 operation.
Come ‘ere, enjoy your stay 🌈
 
So the notion "gender affirmation is beneficial " is literally unfalsifiable under what transsexuals consider Science™, because it is "grounded in theory". I think everybody has figured out by this point, but it's nice for them to spill it out nonetheless. Gender shit is as much science as psychoanalysis and Marxism.

They appeared to find no regretters in this sample." But the sample has a 40.9% loss-to-follow-up rate
Yet somehow no one cared to check the Death Registry...
 
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I haven't been in the SRS thread since I could get back to farming, I can't mentally cope with the horrors at the moment; is she still on Tik Tok hiatus because the regret has really set in now? Oh sorry, because it didn't bring her joy anymore.
I haven't checked on her or her now-wife's Facebook pages, but she hasn't posted any TikTok videos since her "I'm quitting TikTok, follow me on Instagram" video, and she's made her Instagram profile private again. I'm fairly sure she found out about the SRS thread and that's why she DFE'd on TikTok, and then went private on Instagram because we were still checking up on her.

At this very moment we’re discussing the case of neodong infected with fly larvae in 24 yo girl with 39 operation.
Come ‘ere, enjoy your stay 🌈
God damn, I really need to catch up. I'm about 100 pages behind, haven't even got to the most recent case of "shitting out my neovag".
 
I'm proud of Zach and Tony for overcoming the stereotype that all transwomen are sex pests, and proving that transwomen can be white collar criminals, too.

Realistically, nothing, let’s face it. Even assuming it’s true and they got the stinkeye from the FEC, it’s a piddling amount of money to political nobody who represents about as many people as you could fit on a zeppelin
Rate me optimistic, but they did kick him off the House floor when he wouldn't stop interrupting. If he is embezzling, his political opponents could push for him to face actual consequences. I didn't get the impression he was well liked by Montana politicians. Unfortunately, I think you're probably right. Trans Lifeline is still going.
 
For those coming from the Community Driven Happenings Feed, I'm not our Tony researcher, that's @Geranium. @William Tyndale was mistaken and is trying to literally genocide @Geranium but WE WILL NEVER STOP WINNING. Or wearing our rainbow LEGO earrings.
I have never been more murdered to death by oppression.

Anyway, I would just stress that at the moment this is just a theory based on some very weird numbers in Zac's expenditure reports.
My bad bros. I realized my mistake this morning but I was switching phones so I couldn’t do anything about it. My plans of genocide have been thwarted unfortunately.
 
I'm proud of Zach and Tony for overcoming the stereotype that all transwomen are sex pests, and proving that transwomen can be white collar criminals, too.


Rate me optimistic, but they did kick him off the House floor when he wouldn't stop interrupting. If he is embezzling, his political opponents could push for him to face actual consequences. I didn't get the impression he was well liked by Montana politicians. Unfortunately, I think you're probably right. Trans Lifeline is still going.
Yes "they" did, and here is the caveat.
The MT Legislature has a conservative voting bloc formed in January of this year called the Montana Freedom Caucus. It is an offshoot of a national Freedom Caucus which was formed (January 2015) by a bunch of pissed off white middle aged men after the Tea Party had fizzled out and became a Boomer meme.
The MT Freedom Caucus has a total hate boner for Zac. They called for his censure, they brought it to the floor and it easily passed because the Montana Legislature has a Republican majority.
Not coincidently it is the MT Freedom Caucus who filed the paperwork calling for the Campaign Finance investigation to be opened into Zac. So it is looking a little bit "witch hunty" on the part of the MTFreedom Caucus at this point. It also doesn't help that exactly zero local news outlets have written an article into this investigation, so based on where we stand now this whole investigation is looking like it will be a big nothing burger.

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All this info is posted earlier on the thread but here is their Twitter if you want to dive deeper.
 
The idea that absolutely no pooners regret their surgery is ludicrous when you think that 5% of the women who have mastectomies because they have fucking breast cancer have regrets. You'd think that if a body part was trying to actually genocide you that having it chopped off wouldn't leave you with regrets. It's them or you, you know?

But yes, all surgeries have regrets. Those might be fleeting or periodic regrets, but surgery means things have been permanently changed, for better or worse. I suspect the rate of having regret at least one time for women with breast cancer to be much higher than 5%, probably closer to 100%. I suspect the 5% is the number of women who have permanent regrets.

Whether it's a joint that aches in cold weather, or just numbness at the incision site, or complications in healing, there can always be things that get you down from time to time after surgery. I find it highly sus that no pooner regrets her surgery at least at some point.

You'd think someone with schooling in statistics and data analysis would also find it sus. Yet again Tony is losing LSU goodwill, they should probably sue.
 
Leor Sapir makes a correct point about drawing conclusions from incomplete data, Tony takes his analogy and gets it arse-over-tit: "People who have a bad experience always complain about it!"
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Leor Sapir (@LeorSapir) · Aug 10, 2023 · 3:16 PM UTC
If I ask 100 customers if they're satisfied with the service they got, 59 respond that they are and the remaining 41 don't respond, I can't say with confidence that all customers are satisfied. But I also can't say that 41 percent aren't satisfied. Or 30%, or 15%.
All I can say with confidence is: "Those who responded said they are satisfied. It's possible that some, most, or all of those who didn't respond aren't satisfied, but we have no idea. Therefore, we don't know the true rate of satisfaction among all the customers."
We don't know means exactly that: we don't know. The psychological need for certainty is the germ of fanaticism. Resist it.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Aug 10, 2023 · 3:49 PM UTC
Wow this logic is absolutely terrible Leor.
Not answering a survey doesn’t mean you aren’t satisfied.
4.5 stars on Google doesn’t mean everyone who didn’t “rate us on Google” when asked to do so really hated the restaurant.
This study shows regret rates are low.
@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1689665295320010752 (archive)
Because sure, being kept waiting at a restaurant, and thinking "well this sucks I'm going to whinge about it online", is exactly the same feeling someone who has just voluntarily had a significant part of them amputated for purely cosmetic reasons. I'm sure there's no shame, embarrassment, fear, existential dread. I'm sure they just think "Well that sucked, won't get my tits lopped off there again!"

I can't decide whether Tony's utter lack of empathy is "just" narcissism or whether there's a more serious psychopathy at play.

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@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1689643610894155776 (archive)
Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Aug 10, 2023 · 2:23 PM UTC
Does it though?
41% non response is not unusual for surveys, and honestly, seems to me like those who regret would be MORE likely to answer a survey - similar to Google reviews where upset people are more likely to leave a review to complain.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Aug 10, 2023 · 2:25 PM UTC
Conservatives are so mad at a study showing what we know from so many other studies: regret for gender affirming care is absolutely minuscule.
This is why the state of Florida could not find a single detrans witness to testify in favor of its law.
Masters in sociology, attempted a PhD, and thinks his SurveyMonkey questionnaires are comparable to medical research.
 
It shows you where the limit of your data is
If they desisted because the regret s made them kill themselves then that's highly relevant

I believe his grades are 100% real, but Tony is a complete mental midget
I imagine his grades are essentially the result of bothering the professors 24/7 and learning to the test as opposed to any genuine intellect. In much the same way as he 'studies to the test' on troon ideology
You see this whenever he has to actually show his working by dealing with numbers, he doesn't understand what he's actually doing with them, Rhys is exactly the same. It's like you can teach a dog to sniff for drugs very effectively, but it doesn't actually understand anything about what it's doing, and can't adapt that knowledge

I think that's why he seems so utterly perplexed when people disagree with him and can't engage with their points, he specifically spends all his time memorising that question 1's answer is c and so on, and doesn't actually grasp that you can come to conclusions based on understanding a subject

I think this is why he's so confident in his female presentation, someone saw him in his Lego earrings and pumps and said 'wow you really look femme Erin' probably being nice to the awkward new tranny and so he internalised Lego earrings + pumps = feminine in the same way e=mc2
 
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I can't decide whether Tony's utter lack of empathy is "just" narcissism or whether there's a more serious psychopathy at play.

In my opinion, Tony has some genuine borderline traits including:

  • An intense fear of abandonment, even going to extreme measures to avoid real or imagined separation or rejection
  • A pattern of unstable intense relationships, such as idealizing someone one moment and then suddenly believing the person doesn't care enough or is cruel
  • Rapid changes in self-identity and self-image that include shifting goals and values, and seeing yourself as bad or as if you don't exist at all
  • Periods of stress-related paranoia and loss of contact with reality, lasting from a few minutes to a few hours
  • Impulsive and risky behavior, such as gambling, reckless driving, unsafe sex, spending sprees, binge eating or drug abuse, or sabotaging success by suddenly quitting a good job or ending a positive relationship
  • Suicidal threats or behavior or self-injury, often in response to fear of separation or rejection
  • Wide mood swings lasting from a few hours to a few days, which can include intense happiness, irritability, shame or anxiety
  • Ongoing feelings of emptiness
  • Inappropriate, intense anger, such as frequently losing your temper, being sarcastic or bitter, or having physical fights

  • https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases...onality-disorder/symptoms-causes/syc-20370237
 
Lol. I’m glad Leor is realizing the most reasonable response to Tony is to point and laugh.
Leor: Not answering a survey doesn’t mean you aren’t satisfied.
Tony: You’re wrong, Leor. Not answering a survey doesn’t mean you aren’t satisfied.
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‪The cool part is that we don’t need to know whether they regret it or not to know that it’s wrong to cut off someone’s healthy organs and claim it is a psychological treatment‬ or that it turns them into the other sex.
 
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