US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Do you think they’ll remove him when he’s found guilty in DC?
No, because I don't think any will find him guilty.

This isn't really an optimism thing, more a "wow these are incompetently set up" thing. None of these cases have an iota of decent evidence for them, they are all slapped together without any real stuff backing. I honestly expected them to just make up evidence to reinforce their claims. I also expected them to climb down the rheotric and begin a tale of how they are successfully stopping the 'maga cult'.

Instead, they have to get by a jury, one which will be vetted for political leaning by the lawyers, meaning they absolutely will have a few wild card jurors. They will need to run those jurors through increasingly tortured logic while at the same time those jurors are fed line after line about how evil Orange man is, and how his followers are just waiting for a chance to violently usurp the government. With tales of how finding Trump guilty will mean riots in the streets.

Its just... bad setup. And the problem is that once it goes to the jury the ability of the Uniparty to put a thumb on the scales gets somewhat limited. So that along with their own narrative looming to bite them in the ass and make Jurys -Less- Likely to sentence him just makes me doubtful they will actually get any convictions.

For a party run by communists, it sure doesn't look like they learned anything about setting up proper show trials from the soviets'.
 
I can tell right off the bat this guy isnt nearly as sharp as his dad. He's got an ego to prove himself that's going to shoot his foot off.


https://twitter.com/BehizyTweets/status/1697738288097108069

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Holy crap we got a happening in the making. Black dem Is accusing his own party of election fraud in Mississippi




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https://theleadingreport.com/2023/09/03/deleted-files-show-trump-won-2020-election-in-georgia/

also more evidence of 2020 fraud.





Oh and the sheriff who pushed for a trump mugshot was apparently in a gay porno called The Closet

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https://twitter.com/BerryRazi/status/1698396496780263451
...literal gay ops gentleman. Someone get me off this ride already.
 
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Senate rating changes:
TX Lean R-->Likely R: GOP doesn't have to face too good of a candidate this cycle and will face Colin Allred. Beto was a bit stronger in 2018 (before he became a meme in his 2020 and 2022 runs) and this year should be better generic-ballot year for GOP than 2018.
VP tiebreaker: No rating-->Lean D. This should have had a rating to start.
AZ: Tilt R--> Lean D: Lake is going to enter and she sucks. I also now believe that Sinema would drain votes evenly from the GOP and DEMs too. 0% chance Sinema wins, so I don't need special rating system for this state.
Overall Lean R--> Tilt R AZ going from Tilt R to Lean D hurts so much.

I should also say that I find it offensive that no major rating website has WV in at least Likely R.
 
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Senate rating changes:
TX Lean R-->Likely R: GOP doesn't have to face too good of a candidate this cycle and will face Colin Allred. Beto was a bit stronger in 2018 (before he became a meme in his 2020 and 2022 runs) and this year should be better generic-ballot year for GOP than 2018.
Rumblings from Texas are interesting specifically.

Remember all the immigration and problems at the borders? If you're old enough, your mind will immediately begin thinking "Mexicans trying to get in again?"

It hasn't been Mexicans for a long time. Nicaraguans and other shithole South Americans have been streaming through for the last decade. But what's special is what's happened the last few years. Haitians are getting through now, and it's been publicized.

As the Mexican wealth in Texas matures, they are finding something out communally. They got theirs. Fuck these new people. Mexican dads who run their landscaping businesses are not welcoming Nicaraguans and Haitians onto their crews. They HATE other Hispanics and blacks. Democrat smokescreen from 2016 and 2020 held up the idea that Trump's wall was somehow targeting Mexicans when in actuality it had nothing to do with them. In the last few years, we are intimately familiar with the face of the new gibbs migrant, and the migrants from 20 years ago are not interested in taking them.
 
Updated rankings.

Changes:

1. Jim Justice = Manchin DoA.
2. It's obvious Sinema is running now; so now AZ is Tilt R outright.
3. I don't use tossups but I cucked out last time for MT. I consider Trump being the GOP nominee bad news for the GOP which is enough to push me off the fence and give MT to Tester. I wasn't sure he would be able to take out DeSantis but other people entering the primary to siphon votes from him and the indictment against Trump should make him lose.

Overall rating: Lean R. GOP just has to win one of the Tilt states.
if you “weren’t sure Trump was going to take out DeSantis” then your ratings should be dismissed. DeSantis obviously sucks as a national candidate, he only succeeded in Florida thanks to the strength of the FL GOP machine and the weakness of the FL DEM machine. Trump presents the best chance the GOP has of winning 2024 due to his unique appeal to working class voters that other Republicans don’t have.The indictments will help him with nonwhite voters
 
@Snikch I looked at your posting history, your political analyses is shit and you should stop taking sources like Sabato’s Crystal Ball seriously

and dude…Montana tilt D? Trump is on track to win Montana more than Romney did in 2012 and Tester has definitely lost crossover appeal since then. Same thing applies to Ohio, Sherrod Brown is basically DOA. I do agree with your Wisconsin Michigan Pennsylvania ratings. However, Nevada is closer to a tossup than Lean D. Texas should not have been rated Lean R to begin with, Cruz has been on track to outperform 2018 for a while now, he’s been working on reshaping his image since 2019

I saw your 2020 ratings pre-Corona. You definitely overestimated how Chomo Joe would do without the scamdemic enabling mass mail in ballots, you had him beating Trump when in all likelihood he would have done worse than Hillary if he had to campaign in normal circumstances . You also said in November 2021 that AZ would be Tilt D with Masters and Tilt R otherwise. Masters was definitely better than Jim Lamon and Mark Brnovich, the former a shifty solar panel salesman and the latter a very lazy campaigner who started in 1st but came in 3rd. Did you think Ducey would be competitive? That guy was perceived as a traitor and didn’t boost his conservative bonafides in 2021 unlike Kemp, he would have been DOA against Mark Kelly’s bloated bank account

Are you saying the 2024 Presidential race is Lean D because of election fortification or do you think it will actually be a legitimate Lean D outcome based on legal votes? Lol if it’s the latter, given thag Trump is currently polling the best he’s ever been and Biden’s favorabilities are worse than Hillary’s at this point
 
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Another FBI extrajudicial killing happened, but people kinda missed it with all the drama around Trump mugshot and Maui fires. Same MO as the boomer who was glowposting on fagbook: they rolled in at 6 am screaming and in full military gettup, threw flashbangs and smoke bombs and then shot the dude as he understandably tried to avoid the tear gas and bangs.

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This glows so hard it's radioactive. No mention of communists or Marxists, either, and they're pro Ukraine while they have a Jewish leader and they are being backed by the EU, NATO, and the UN? Groups that pop up like this out of thin air are all feds, 100%. Maybe you'll get one or two idiots in there, mentally stunted late teens and 20-somethings, who are "radicalized" in a Discord chat by these feds, but there's a reason they target people like that - their minds are susceptible to that kind of peer pressure. The feds do this kind of thing to justify lobbying for laws which clamp down on the Internet/the first two Amendments. They need a reason to justify that, so they fearmonger about muh Nazis and muh right wing extremists.

Reminder:

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The free thinkers who repeat Russian propaganda like yourself will never be funny the guy who actually funded the Nazis in Ukraine now is a Putin c*********

Everyone who's a nationalist who doesn't love gay trannies or blacks is literally working for the FBI man conservatives are impotent

The proud boys are literally filled with a bunch of coke addicts

People find it impossible to believe that a large percentage of the American right are actually Nazis .

Back in the 1990s the 2000s white nationalists were massive they owned thousands of Acres of property and had tens of thousands of members actually close to where I grew up in Pennsylvania there was a massive riot between Nazis and liberals back in 2000

What destroyed that momentum was a combination of illegal activity by the FBI to break them up and infighting caused by the death of William Luther Pierce
 
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that would have been disastrous on all levels.
Speculatively, what I know right now is we are currently in a disaster. Clearly something didn't go right and you have to look at the economic issues from the perspective of political neutrality; the economy doesn't care what faction you're sided with just cold numbers.

the Blue states were never going to reopen unless forced to and even then places like California kept their bullshit going even after Biden was installed via stealing the election.

First, steal it back, second States have the right to do as they please unless it is an issue related to the Constitution and even more specifically the Bill Of Rights. Federal jurisdiction should begin and end with the constitution that includes the right of the states. It was objectively wrong for Federal government to lockdown the country, what should have happened from the start was Federal government provides all of the developing information to the States and allowed the states to decide how to approach the situation. It should have been treated like abortion. But like the initial steps of 9/11 American citizens succumbed to the trap of willingly allowing our rights as individuals to be infringed under the guise of the prevention of human extinction. It groomed us into compliance of which we are now seeing the extent of the passivity campaign's damages today with the emboldened leftist cultist psycopaths to abuse. That attack on this site is proof enough for that, most of the cows on this site that are causing trouble hadn't gone to this extent before; well, until leftist won the information war aided by the French...sorry I mean our Government. Though, I do blame Europe as a whole for the prevalence of the more cucky/debauchery aspects of Leftist doctrine.

Democrats do jack shit.

If Democrats really did Jack Shit, there wouldn't be tranny pedophiles trying to steal your son, daughter, wife, and husband's forbidden virginity. Most of all, there wouldn't be a Joe Biden presidency. The Establishment knew they wanted to put Hilary Clinton into Presidency, it was a perfect progression of controlled "progress". First gay marriage is Universally signed; a smoke screen, next the first woman president; a flash bang, the House and Senate were stacked in a way that would favor Hilary policy and when Trump won the uphill battle began. Democrat attacks against Trump were the equivalent of arm flailing name calling until they found a "weakness" Trump's ties to Russia, the pandemic offered up the perfect opportunity to implement Hilary policy under the guise of salvation. Democrats do a lot more than Republicans and have been for a long while.

Rumblings from Texas are interesting specifically...In the last few years, we are intimately familiar with the face of the new gibbs migrant, and the migrants from 20 years ago are not interested in taking them.
On top of that, a lot of these illegals are coming in from all 194 countries that aren't the United States. The last I spoke to a Border fren they mentioned a lot of Indian, Russian, and Chinese have increased with South American origins the majority still. I also know former Illegals who share that same development. There's a threshold in shouldering other country's problems and I think America is starting to reach it economic and resource limit.
 
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If Democrats really did Jack Shit, there wouldn't be tranny pedophiles trying to steal your son, daughter, wife, and husband's forbidden virginity.

It's sure looking to me like if you want to make it anywhere, you have to be either a pedo or a victim of a pedo.

 
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Senate rating changes:
TX Lean R-->Likely R: GOP doesn't have to face too good of a candidate this cycle and will face Colin Allred. Beto was a bit stronger in 2018 (before he became a meme in his 2020 and 2022 runs) and this year should be better generic-ballot year for GOP than 2018.
VP tiebreaker: No rating-->Lean D. This should have had a rating to start.
AZ: Tilt R--> Lean D: Lake is going to enter and she sucks. I also now believe that Sinema would drain votes evenly from the GOP and DEMs too. 0% chance Sinema wins, so I don't need special rating system for this state.
Overall Lean R--> Tilt R AZ going from Tilt R to Lean D hurts so much.

I should also say that I find it offensive that no major rating website has WV in at least Likely R.
Texas is Safe R.

Florida is Safe R.

AZ is Sinema Country. The good people of Arizona are not sending those knockers to pasture. Believe me! I always worked well with Ms. Cinnamon during my Administration. You never know, she just might receive my Presidential Endorsement. Kari will be too busy serving as my Vice President to compete in this Senate race!

Ohio is Safe R.

Nevada is a Toss-Up.

MT is a Toss-Up.

West Virginia is a Toss-Up.
 
West Virginia is a Toss-Up.
You'd be amazed how much of his former goodwill with people up there Manchin burned when he supported the IRA and was visibly cozying up to Biden. WV has felt the pain of Bidens policies more than a lot of places and people feel that the only reason Manchin cares about the coal industry is so he can keep selling their coal off and then leave them hanging dry once he's pilfered enough.
Meanwhile people fucking love Jim Justice. He kept the state going during COVID better than a lot expected he would and his brand of theatrics made people warm up to him. WV has had a long trend of dem politicians but people are waking up and realizing the Democrat party of today isn't the same one their pops voted for as union miners - Justice himself used to be a Democrat and I think that is representative of how West Virginians overall feel.
Manchin has recently tried distancing himself more from Biden and puffing his chest out a bit more with that supposed presidential run contemplation, but people know a freshly washed sow will return to the mire.

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So what is the thread opinion on Laura Loomer? She's been posting a lot on twitter recently claiming to have uncovered evidence of Ukrainian/CIA funded glowops during J6, but do we trust her or is she a loonbat?
 
It's sure looking to me like if you want to make it anywhere, you have to be either a pedo or a victim of a pedo.

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When you were young 10 years ago you felt Justin Bieber was the problem of of our culture now that your old you realize that he actually was the victim of our culture all along.

 
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MT is a Toss-Up.

West Virginia is a Toss-Up.
Neither are toss-up any more. Manchin is already dead in the water (especially if Justice is the Rep nominee) and any shot of Tester riding back in with RINO crossover died back in 2020.

Arizona and Wisconsin will be the interesting ones to watch, particularly the former given it's a three way free for all.
 
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