Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

[White-Kettle Shufflepunk]

Media had rather decisively gone in favor of non-typical gender roles by the 1980's, something troons regularly celebrate in paeans for Samus, Ripley, Patti from Doug, etc., but troons have a seemingly innate desire to rebel against tolerance in favor for more rigid, earlier roles that they insist society is imposing on us that they (and everyone else) must adhere to.

I see it as more they have a desire to be seen as rebels against gender norms, and thus need for there to be strict rules for how boys and girls are allowed to behave. It's all very paradoxical. It's like trying to reorder society so everyone gets to be a YA dystopia protagonist.

 

[AirdropShitposts]

I see it as more they have a desire to be seen as rebels against gender norms, and thus need for there to be strict rules for how boys and girls are allowed to behave. It's all very paradoxical. It's like trying to reorder society so everyone gets to be a YA dystopia protagonist.

Actually, you're right, they similarly want fascism to increasingly gain power so they can fight against it and be Katniss or whatever. There's an unreality of what that would mean, especially if did proceed to a genocide, so they have this blissful vision of their heroism through simplistic constant victories and the praise and legacy that would attach. The narcissism is relevant here because they never see themselves as the grist for the mill of someone else's story.

 

[behindyourightnow]

Very true. Hence their complete inability to grasp that most people do not want to kill trans people and are in fact mostly indifferent to their existence, except that they want them to leave women alone and not groom kids. That simply does not fit into their conception of the world. Everyone must either be actively cheering them on and willing to give up everything to support them in their quest to become their True Selves, or evil and trying to kill them just for evil's sake. Because they are the main characters and everyone else in the world exists only relative to them.

There's an unreality of what that would mean, especially if did proceed to a genocide

"Genocide" just means bad things happening off screen so that they, the main character, can be sad. It never means they will die, or even be inconvenienced.

Which is one reason they are so cavalier about continuing to alienate allies even during this supposed "genocide." Even for the troons who do genuinely believe in a "trans genocide" (and are not just using the concept as a cynical manipulation tactic), you can tell they assume it wll just play out as a cool movie plot, and they'll probably get to give a cool speech and crush their enemies and then be celebrated forever. That's how it works, right?

 

[AnOminous]

My favorite, Jake Alley, has complained many times over the years that when he came out as trans no girls immediately took him shopping. (Jake has never had any real world friends, btw.) He considers this proof of the insidious transphobia bigots have spread.

And of course, he was a morbidly obese hulking male with a huge gnome beard who had been wearing the same T-shirt, sweat pants, and Velcro retard shoes for 20 years or so (because he is too retarded to tie shoelaces and too fat as well).

To anyone not familiar with Jake, here is how he looked years after he trooned out:

 

[Palla Strozzi]

Our intrepid chernsgenger journalist, activist, content creator (subscribe to support his work) outsources his research on a protest in Canada to his own reading public:

Sep 20, 2023 · 8:14 PM UTC: To my Canadian friends, working on a story on the marches today... - Who were the major figureheads behind organizing the anti-trans marches? - Who promoted them? - What politicians attended? Want to make sure I'm not leaving anything out. Good job on the turnout today!

Replying to @ MalcolmFrench Sep 20, 2023 · 9:23 PM UTC: Exactly what I needed

@G__Hurst Sep 20, 2023 · 8:19 PM UTC: I’d love to help with the story. I know in Manitoba, the PC (Progressive Conservative) government who are running for re-election this fall have gone all in on the “parental rights” bullshit. For the NDP, MLA Uzoma Asagwara (who is nb) attended the counter protest.

Replying to @G__Hurst
Sep 20, 2023 · 8:24 PM UTC
Thanks for this. Who were the players at the highest levels of organizing though? It definitely doesn't seem locally done. What orgs were behind it?

(link, archive)

And he's been having a rather amusing extended hissy fit the last few days about being "deadnamed" by the mass communication systems used by Democrat fundraisers:
(link - via nitter to display thread; archive)
I love the way he censors his birth (real) name with a little "deadname" label. Very delicate, potentially shocking stuff.

Sep 17, 2023 · 5:09 PM UTC: Every year, I get messages from Democrats to my deadname. I've tried to stop it every year. I can't. That's because VAN, the voter database they use, doesn't have a system for updating trans peoples names. Any trans person who ever donated is fucked. This needs to be fixed.

Sep 18, 2023 · 7:26 PM UTC: Time for my daily deadnaming by democratic candidates.

He carried on long and loud enough to get a response from the developer of the relevant database:

To make sure people are contacted with a complete, affirming, and properly spelled name, we released an update in 2022 that allows campaigns and organizations to edit first names, last names, and middle names in all our databases, including the Voter File (VAN). (1/

This work also included adding pronoun support to the Voter File, as well as expanded diacritic support and expanded name fields length in all NGP VAN databases. We understand and take seriously the importance of properly representing people’s names and genders. (2/

We treated this update with the highest importance, investing over two years of planning and development to make sure it was done correctly. Extra care was taken to make sure that edited names would not be overwritten by names that may still be on the voter rolls. (3/

We understand that differing state laws can make it difficult to execute a name change and did not want the name on one’s government-issued ID to re-appear once it’s been changed in an NGP VAN database. (4/

That said, campaigns and organizations run their own instances of NGP VAN and we are contractually unable to share data across clients. NGP VAN does not share, sell, or rent data (including email addresses or name information). (5/

In addition to NGP and VAN databases, campaigns and organizations also upload, maintain, and own data and lists in other databases or software for fundraising, texting, etc. (6/

These other databases and software may or may not be linked to our software in one way or another, but ultimately, the campaigns and organizations sending communications are responsible for ensuring the accuracy of their data and updating it as needed. (7/

If you need to request a name change, please reach out to the organization that contacted you and ask them to change your name in their databases. NGP VAN software fully supports this functionality. (8/

This is clearly not organic, nor initiated by Tony alone - he identifies the VAN system and specifies its lack of 'a system for updating trans people's names' (i.e., special treatment) in his very first tweet about it. (But they really are oppressed and struggling so, it's totally not about feeling entitled and special and throwing your weight around. jfc)
(edit: the numeral "8" being turned into little Chris emojis should stay, I think)

 

[AirdropShitposts]

He just needs to wait, he's not "fucked" they're just using an old voter database, eventually it will roll over by the cycles and his old name will be purged. There's not some central database everybody uses together, these are kitbashed together by the campaigns to sell to each other. (edit: I see NGP VAN noted this in their response.) It's hilarious that he thinks the Democrats provider manages the campaigns databases since that'd violate the law. And it's his own fault for willingly giving money to politicians anyway.

"Legislative researcher and independent journalist" btw.

 

[Accept Only Substitutes]

Trannies REEEEEEEEEEEEING over old names being used will never not be hilarious to me. It's almost like changing some integral part of your identity is lots of annoying, thankless work that may never really end.

Anyone who changes their name knows this, because if nothing else you're bound to run into a classmate from high school that knew you as George, so he says "hey George! haven't seen you in a coons age"

A tranny would respond by calling this old school chum a bigot or burst into tears (according to their reddit posts, they might even collapse on the floor and make chocking sounds as they struggle to draw breath, I would suspect those tails are creative fiction if I hadn't been a member here for so long).

A normal person would respond by saying "it's good to see you again. I go by Dick now, long story."

Anyone who is NOT prepared for that exact scenario to play out MANY times is a functional retard (at best).

Ask any woman who changed her last name after marriage how annoying the process is, just from the legal aspects like all of your banks and student loans, etc. Hell, I still get mail to my maiden name decades later, from companies who I know have my legal last name because i only did business with them years after getting married!

 

[AirdropShitposts]

My mom still gets mail and "pre-approved loans" for her parents. They both died in 1997.

 

[William Tyndale]

LMAOOOOOO.

HE BLACKED OUT HIS OWN NAME!! HE CANT EVEN STAND SEEING IT WRITTEN!!

Also lmao again at the candidate being named CISneros. How appropriate.

 

[Maude Snew]

Knowing something's real name is to have power over it, it's old magic. Only in the old tales it allowed you to command or banish some mythical being, these days it just allows you to reduce some mentally ill dipshit to tears, which is less useful but way funnier.

 

[Poonocchio]

Our intrepid chernsgenger journalist, activist, content creator (subscribe to support his work) outsources his research on a protest in Canada to his own reading public:

Spoiler: daydreaming sperg

Just a random thought which has made me smirk and would be beautiful to see. Imagine a load of TERFs/GC deep undercover, arranging a really big "Tranny pride march and speak", so well advertised it would bring droves of troons and attract all their handmaidens and journos, (and Tony doing his "work", ofc). I mean get them really hyped for this shit, event of the year. Gathered a shit load of evidence (not difficult) a lot from those gathered tweets/vids on Terfisaslur.com or whatever it's called where they go fully mask off degenerate about sex, how they really feel about cishets and women etc etc, stuck them all on signs/big projector screens, then switcharoo'd the entire thing from being pro-tranny to TA-DA; "see what these Gods you worship and represent have fooled you with! This is your mass peaking! REPENT!"
A girl can dream.

 

[Geranium]

Hope you've all had a good week friends.

HE BLACKED OUT HIS OWN NAME!! HE CANT EVEN STAND SEEING IT WRITTEN!!

It's entirely performative. Tony named his son after himself, so it's not like he's not seeing "Anthony" frequently. (Edit: and of course he compulsively reads this thread, where no-one is calling him "Erin".)

There's been a re-analysis of the GIDS Early Intervention Study (of puberty blockers), which suggests that the original finding of "no change" was due to about 30% of patients notably getting worse, and a slightly smaller proportion improving, which basically cancelled each other out in the average. See the bottom of this post and @GenociderSyo's reply that follows.

Because the paper said anything even cautious about giving puberty blockers to adolescents, Tony felt compelled to condemn it on Twitter:

@ErinInTheMorn, tweet 1704120191041298640 (archive)

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:08 PM UTC
It looks like, in the face of a torrent of studies showing the positive effects of gender affirming care, they are going back to a “reanalyzing” old ones.

The study:
- has no stat significance
- is not controlled
- is a tiny sample size (44)
- is not peer reviewed

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:09 PM UTC
Like, this is a terrible report y'all. It reminds me of what I saw students do when they couldn't find statistical significance.

"Well... maybe I can look at the absolute value"

(they still, even after p-hacking, don't get stat sig)

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:11 PM UTC
At some point, you have to understand... if your sample is 44 people and you collected absolutely no confounding variables or controls, its going to be harder to find statistical significance.

That doesn't mean you start redefining significance and attempt to p-hack.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:16 PM UTC
This study is truly hilariously bad.

It's like the worst collection of all of the "don't do this" boxes in intro to research methods textbooks, and the researchers went ahead and did it, and the BBC then reports on it as if it is peer reviewed, stat sig, and post-pub.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:18 PM UTC
"We couldn't find statistical significance so we've created our own special term for looking at non-significant data and torturing a publication out of it"

god its bad

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:20 PM UTC
Most of the studies showing gender affirming care is beneficial has hundreds if not thousands of samples.

You're literally just trying to go back to a study with data beginning 15 years ago that has a 44 person sample size and attempting (and FAILING) to p-hack.

Erin Reed (@ErinInTheMorn) · Sep 19, 2023 · 1:24 PM UTC
"To hell with statistical significance, we're going to misuse use a different phrase to make people think we're talking about statistical significance instead"

And of course, because Tony is too arrogant to actually bother to understand the situation before he puts his size-12 feet into it, he commits a massive unforced self-own.

The study:
- has no stat significance
- is not controlled
- is a tiny sample size (44)
- is not peer reviewed

What's important to note that the thing he's complaining "is not controlled"* and has "a tiny sample size (44)" is the original GIDS Early Intervention Study — the study that kicked off and was used to justify the prescription of puberty blockers in the UK to children aged 12–15. Paragraph 22 of the High Court judgment in Bell v Tavistock sets this out:

22. Until 2011 PBs were only available at GIDS for those aged 16 or older. In 2011 PBs started to be prescribed for those aged 12-15 and in mid-puberty. This was first done between 2011-14 at University College London Hospital (UCLH) under an approved research study known as the Early Intervention Study. The Study took an uncontrolled treatment cohort of 12-15 year olds with established and persistent GD in England. The Study recruited children for 3 years, but there was then a period until February 2019 when the last cohort member began the next stage of therapy (cross-sex hormones).

* Excluding the testosterone RCT when was the last time you saw a gender medicine paper with a control group?

The rest of his thread is Tony attacking the researchers for (a) their paper being a pre-print and (b) using a measure he's not familiar with. (a) is maybe fair except peer review is broken, as we saw spectacularly with Chen et al 2023.

(b), however, is a symptom of the curse of people who appoint themselves experts in fields they don't understand and are too arrogant to learn about. The authors of the re-analysis aren't "redefining significance and attempt[ing] to p-hack", they're using a well-known method that is appropriate for the assessment over time of individual-level psychological data (which for the GIDS EIS is available in the UK Data Archive).

Tony has many of the attributes of a classic crank: he goes into a field in which he is not qualified, forms strongly held views not grounded in evidence, and declares anything he doesn't understand or doesn't fit his existing views to be WRONG and BAD.

More aggressively wrong content please Tony, I like it!

Anyway, Zac continues his cross-country travels, presumably paid for out of his 2024 state house campaign fund. Here he is on a flight with a load of Asians:

@ZoAndBehold, tweet 1704642835012895092 (archive)

Check out those crazy eyes! And those giant hands!


Edit: Forgot to include this cross-ref to the Liz Fong-Jones thread, where the Tony-Keffals-Bradley Manning Discord server gets mentioned. Apparently Philip Sisson / Katherine Lorelei has been in touch with Tony.

IIRC, Keffals once bragged about getting added to some kind of elite (Signal?) chatroom where all the high-profile troons and their activist/journo/lawyer allies congregate. I remember Bradley Manning was one of the members, and it was speculated that people like Erin Reed and Alejandra Caraballo were naturally in there as well.
Anyway, it sounds like Philip/Katherine also got an invite.

Literally a troon cabal.

Phil's planning to move to DC (by ebegging for the money to do so), in which case I hope we get lots of photos of Tony and Phil together. Phil would make Tony look positively petite:


Sexy lady:

Still a better hairline than both Tony and Zac.

In this one Phil just looks like Bill Murray wearing a muumuu:


Edit edit: I just checked and there's loads of tweets from Phil to Tony, but none from Tony to Phil. Which is exactly the scenario between Tony and Zac until Tony realised Zac could expand his own influence.

 

[luigismanslave]

New polycule forming. The super polycule, even.

 

[scathefire]

New polycule forming. The super polycule, even.

As long as it's solely troons dating each other, I have no problem with it. It's ideal even, as it keeps them out of the normal dating pool.

 

[glioblastoma multiforme]

Tony doesn't actually understand what p-hacking is, does he? going back to do a more thorough analysis of existing data is pretty much the opposite.

i'd like to know his citations for gender affirming care being beneficial. i can guess, cos the number that state that is limited and discussed to death in these threads.

also, Phil is fat, would not sex. Tony isn't exactly spoilt for choice though so maybe he should..

 

[Geranium]

it keeps them out of the normal dating pool

They were not part of the normal dating pool to begin with.

 

[luigismanslave]

As long as it's solely troons dating each other, I have no problem with it. It's ideal even, as it keeps them out of the normal dating pool.

as if they were in it before they started rubbing amholes

edit: goddamnit geranium is too good

 

[Geranium]

as if they were in it before they started rubbing amholes

Let's remind ourselves of what Tony's dating profile looked like before he found everlasting love with Zac Raasch:

For me personally, Tony having a dating profile on the HER app is hilarious, but even more so he seems to really believe he passes so well he would be asked to be a “unicorn” (third in a threesome) for women's husbands. His profile was gone for a while, but I just checked now and it’s back

Do check out the screenshots:

His photo choices are baffling

 

[Terffals]

Knowing something's real name is to have power over it, it's old magic. Only in the old tales it allowed you to command or banish some mythical being, these days it just allows you to reduce some mentally ill dipshit to tears, which is less useful but way funnier.

https://www.grimmstories.com/en/grimm_fairy-tales/rumpelstiltskin

I think of this every time some pussy troon whines about deadnames.

 

[AirdropShitposts]

LMAOOOOOO.

HE BLACKED OUT HIS OWN NAME!! HE CANT EVEN STAND SEEING IT WRITTEN!!

In Tony's case, I suspect it's because he wants to minimize people being able to look his past up.

I'm not saying this also isn't other troon's interest but yes, there are some who legitimately seem to have some psychological nonsense about it. Tony might even but I think he's a bit more practical in this regard, it fits his self-image as a Machiavellian genius. (I wonder if he's ever read The Prince? Maybe I should rewrite it as The Princess.)