- Joined
- Dec 12, 2022
I don't think Israel is going to fall. It might take them a couple of days, but they'll rally and have any invaded territory under control by the end of next week.
A key thing to remember about Middle Eastern militaries is they're shit by design. A lot of dictatorships came into power through military coups, which has the unfortunate side effect of these guys not trusting their armies out of fear it will happen to them. So a way to mitigate that particular threat is to keep your commanders isolated from each other. They don't talk to each other and they can't coordinate. But a side effect of that is they cant support each other on the battlefield. A prime example of this is the Iran/Iraq War and how it lasted ten years without either side making any significant gains.
So to reiterate what I said in the beginning, these guys have however long it takes Israel to get its shit together to do whatever they want. After that, game over.
A key thing to remember about Middle Eastern militaries is they're shit by design. A lot of dictatorships came into power through military coups, which has the unfortunate side effect of these guys not trusting their armies out of fear it will happen to them. So a way to mitigate that particular threat is to keep your commanders isolated from each other. They don't talk to each other and they can't coordinate. But a side effect of that is they cant support each other on the battlefield. A prime example of this is the Iran/Iraq War and how it lasted ten years without either side making any significant gains.
So to reiterate what I said in the beginning, these guys have however long it takes Israel to get its shit together to do whatever they want. After that, game over.