article / archive (German)
"More than the NSDAP in the 1930 Reichstag election": AfD achieves new poll record at federal level
The AfD achieved 23% support in the latest Forsa poll. Pollsters are sounding the alarm and drawing explosive comparisons: in 1930, fewer people voted for the NSDAP.
In a recent Forsa poll, the AfD achieved 23%, its highest score ever recorded by the institute at federal level.
The party improved by one percentage point compared to the previous week, according to the "RTL/ntv-Trendbarometer" published on Tuesday. The figures for the CDU/CSU (31%), SPD (14%), Greens (13%), FDP (5%) and other parties (11%) remained unchanged. The Left Party lost one point and only achieved three percent.
AfD achieves more support than NSDAP in 1930
According to the Forsa Institute, the AfD could expect to receive 23% of the votes cast by the end of the year. "Of all eligible voters, 17 percent would therefore vote for the AfD - and thus more than the NSDAP in the Reichstag elections in September 1930," according to the latest newsletter from the opinion research institute.
At that time, 15 percent of all eligible voters voted for the National Socialists. "Two years and four months after this Reichstag election in 1930, Adolf Hitler became Reich Chancellor," Forsa head Manfred Güllner continued in the newsletter.
Forsa sees reasons for AfD growth in traffic light policy and Merz
According to the sociologist, the steep rise "cannot be attributed to an attractive AfD offer in terms of content or personnel." Rather, "the policies of the traffic light coalition as well as the opposition policies of the CDU/CSU pursued by Friedrich Merz" are responsible for this.
Güllner's greatest hope is therefore "that the political players of all democratic parties will become aware of their responsibility and, by consensus, prevent a further influx of voters to the AfD similar to that of the NSDAP after 1930."
Are politicians ignoring reality?
The survey also asked about the detachment of political actors from reality. When asked whether they have the impression that most politicians in federal politics know what moves people in their everyday lives, 81% of respondents answered no.
This assessment was shared by a large majority in both East and West, by women and men and in all age groups, educational levels and voter groups. The SPD and Green Party supporters were most likely to say that most federal politicians know what moves people in their everyday lives.
Forsa surveyed 2501 people for the party preferences on behalf of RTL Deutschland in the past few days, with a margin of error of plus/minus 2.5 percentage points. The data on the question of whether politicians are familiar with the everyday issues of the population was collected from 1000 respondents. The margin of error here was three percentage points.
The Forsa Institute for Social Research and Statistical Analysis (German: Forsa Gesellschaft für Sozialforschung und statistische Analyse mbH), stylized as forsa for short, is one of the leading market research and opinion polling companies in Germany.
"More than the NSDAP in the 1930 Reichstag election": AfD achieves new poll record at federal level
The AfD achieved 23% support in the latest Forsa poll. Pollsters are sounding the alarm and drawing explosive comparisons: in 1930, fewer people voted for the NSDAP.
In a recent Forsa poll, the AfD achieved 23%, its highest score ever recorded by the institute at federal level.
The party improved by one percentage point compared to the previous week, according to the "RTL/ntv-Trendbarometer" published on Tuesday. The figures for the CDU/CSU (31%), SPD (14%), Greens (13%), FDP (5%) and other parties (11%) remained unchanged. The Left Party lost one point and only achieved three percent.
AfD achieves more support than NSDAP in 1930
According to the Forsa Institute, the AfD could expect to receive 23% of the votes cast by the end of the year. "Of all eligible voters, 17 percent would therefore vote for the AfD - and thus more than the NSDAP in the Reichstag elections in September 1930," according to the latest newsletter from the opinion research institute.
At that time, 15 percent of all eligible voters voted for the National Socialists. "Two years and four months after this Reichstag election in 1930, Adolf Hitler became Reich Chancellor," Forsa head Manfred Güllner continued in the newsletter.
Forsa sees reasons for AfD growth in traffic light policy and Merz
According to the sociologist, the steep rise "cannot be attributed to an attractive AfD offer in terms of content or personnel." Rather, "the policies of the traffic light coalition as well as the opposition policies of the CDU/CSU pursued by Friedrich Merz" are responsible for this.
Güllner's greatest hope is therefore "that the political players of all democratic parties will become aware of their responsibility and, by consensus, prevent a further influx of voters to the AfD similar to that of the NSDAP after 1930."
Are politicians ignoring reality?
The survey also asked about the detachment of political actors from reality. When asked whether they have the impression that most politicians in federal politics know what moves people in their everyday lives, 81% of respondents answered no.
This assessment was shared by a large majority in both East and West, by women and men and in all age groups, educational levels and voter groups. The SPD and Green Party supporters were most likely to say that most federal politicians know what moves people in their everyday lives.
Forsa surveyed 2501 people for the party preferences on behalf of RTL Deutschland in the past few days, with a margin of error of plus/minus 2.5 percentage points. The data on the question of whether politicians are familiar with the everyday issues of the population was collected from 1000 respondents. The margin of error here was three percentage points.
The Forsa Institute for Social Research and Statistical Analysis (German: Forsa Gesellschaft für Sozialforschung und statistische Analyse mbH), stylized as forsa for short, is one of the leading market research and opinion polling companies in Germany.
