US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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The Last Stand said:
I don't know who that is. Can you translate that to Old Hollywood for me?
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My friend, it's a novel older than old hollywood by Alexander Dumas about a guy who's wrongly accused of crimes he didn't commit and is exiled to prison. After escaping prison, he returns as the Count of Monte Cristo, amasses great wealth and influence and uses it to undermine those who sent him to prison while exposing the corruption of France at that time.
 
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The Ugly One said:
There is no way the Democrats are this fanatical about enabling human & drug smuggling if none of them are on cartel payrolls. No. Fucking. Way. They're even copying some tactics of the Mexican government, like coming down like a sack of bricks on anyone near the border who defends themselves from cartel gunmen.
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They arent on the payroll, they are the customers for most of the human trafficking and drugs while dem voters cheer it on saying how cool people like Hunter Biden are for buying access to sex slaves.
 
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Car Won't Crank said:
My friend, it's a novel older than old hollywood by Alexander Dumas about a guy who's wrongly accused of crimes he didn't commit and is exiled to prison. After escaping prison, he returns as the Count of Monte Cristo, amasses great wealth and influence and uses it to undermine those who sent him to prison while exposing the corruption of France at that time.
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Easily explained here.
 
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dustbuster said:
You laugh.
I see systematic "farm murders" within the next 10 years.
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Perhaps.

Where I’m at though, we have a repeating pattern:

A string of property crimes start up. Farm outbuildings, garages start getting broken into. Thieves start taking trailers, equipment trucks, quads. Eventually emboldened to go into houses.

People call the cops.

The police host town halls telling people they will get in trouble if they defend their property.

People stop calling the cops.

Some very offline people get together to help install a fence with incredibly deep post holes.

A bunch of people get their shit back (not all of it of course) and things go back to normal.

In Canada the only armed people are criminals, hunters and farmers. And the government just changed some rules to make the last two into the former. And no one is turning their guns in.

America can’t be that different.
 
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The climate fear-mongers are pressuring Biden to ban natural gas exports. Let’s discuss the ramifications.

Climate Test for Natural Gas Exports​

Politco notes Biden’s Aides Weigh Climate Test for Natural Gas Exports.

The Biden administration is launching a review that could tap the brakes on the booming U.S. natural gas export industry — a move that threatens to pit the president’s climate ambitions against his foreign policy agenda.

The review being led by the Department of Energy will examine whether regulators should take climate change into account when deciding whether a proposed gas export project meets the national interest, according to two people familiar with the action who were granted anonymity to discuss deliberations that have not yet been publicly acknowledged.

U.S. gas exports have jumped four-fold during the past decade as production has surged, turning the United States into the world’s largest natural gas exporter and helping Europe replace Russian shipments after Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. But Biden also faces growing pressure from environmental groups to live up to his pledge to transition away from fossil fuels — something the U.S. also promised to do at last month’s climate summit in Dubai.

Roishetta Ozane, the founder of environmental group Vessel Project of Louisiana, welcomed the news that the Biden administration may be rethinking how it determines whether a proposed project is in the public interest. Ozane is among a group of green activists planning to protest next month at the Energy Department headquarters to pressure the administration to change how it evaluates export proposals.

“We’re really hoping that DOE will pause any new permits for industry, because we know that the Biden administration really needs a climate win and in order for them to win” the 2024 election, said Ozane, whose hometown of Sulphur, La., is within an hour’s drive of three LNG plants. “If these politicians want to be elected or re-elected in this upcoming presidential election, they’re going to have to make some bold choices and some bold moves.”

Democrats have been asking the Biden administration for months to consider how shipping massive amounts of natural gas overseas affects greenhouse gas emissions. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) asked Granholm in a letter last year to review how DOE weighs whether a project is in the public interest.

Democratic Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith said it was a mistake to ignore the pollution produced by the LNG sector.
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Climate Win For Biden?​

“We know that the Biden administration really needs a climate win and in order for them to win.”

The public is more than a bit sick of the policies of this administration. Banning natural gas exports would hurt Biden’s elections chances.

Biden Threat​

Just some back of the napkin math based on US LNG exports in 2023

Assuming an average price of $10 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) and an average conversion rate of 0.005367 MMBtu per metric ton of LNG, the estimated revenue generated by U.S. LNG exports in 2023 would be approximately:

91.2 million tons * 0.005367 MMBtu/ton * $10/MMBtu = $48.8 billion

If we look at oil exports (back of the napkin math)

3.99 million b/d (avg) * $80/barrel (avg 2023)* 365 days = $110.5 billion

That seems like a lot of revenue for a country $34T in debt to stifle...just saying

— Tracy (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) (@chigrl) January 16, 2024
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Natural Gas Math​

91.2 million tons * 0.005367 MMBtu/ton * $10/MMBtu = $48.8 billion. If we look at oil exports (back of the napkin math) 3.99 million b/d (avg) * $80/barrel (avg 2023)* 365 days = $110.5 billion. That seems like a lot of revenue for a country $34T in debt to stifle…just saying.

The top five dry natural gas-producing states in 2022, by amount and percentage share of total U.S. dry gas production, were:

Texas—9.25 Tcf—25.4%
Pennsylvania—7.41 Tcf—20.4%
Louisiana—4.04 Tcf—11.1%
West Virginia—2.69 Tcf—7.4%
Oklahoma—2.51 Tcf—6.9%
— Mike "Mish" Shedlock (@MishGEA) January 17, 2024
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But what is this really about?

Banning LNG exports would tend to lower prices.

My Guess​

My Guess

Biden will not want to give trump another energy card.
— Mike "Mish" Shedlock (@MishGEA) January 17, 2024
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Biden will not want to give Trump another energy card.

Nor will he want to risk Pennsylvania.

Addendum​

One of my readers noted a point I failed to mention: Russia will sell more natural gas as a result.

Bingo: Reducing exports does not change global demand. It will only shift the source of the supply.
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George Lucas said:
Pressure the military? He’s the commander-in-chief. He commands the military. They don’t have a choice.
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Right, like when he ordered the military out of Syria and they all jumped to and did exactly that. Which makes it a real headscratcher how Iran has been attacking those bases since October.
 
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tehpope said:
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Musk is really going full "fuck it and fuck you". Lets see if he goes the whole way and endorses Orange Man. Also, hopefully doesn't trip on a knife collection.
Dog-O-Tron 5000v5.0 said:
My money's on Kari Lake. Telegenic, like Trump. Wronged in an election, like Trump. A woman, balances out the ticket and provides a parallel/alternative to Biden/ Kamala. A level-headed, good potential MAGA successor.
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Though a true american hero, that sadly died in the frontlines of truth, once said "women are dogs", in the case of Kari I think she'd be a good one. Women tend to be easilly exploited emotionally when detached from their community, but at the very least she seems to be a lot closer to a mama bear archetype that will violently lash out at anything that threatens her own.

Though if I had my pick, definitely Flynn. I'm just amazed the guy would even humor the job after all the shit he's had to deal with, but that also means he'll want pure vengeance and having both the President and Vicepresident out for fucking blood would be ideal.
Sweeter and Savoury said:
Trudeau is done and he knows it so he will never have to really deal with a Trump presidency.
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I thought the faggot was done last election cycle and he pulled through handilly. Never underestimate how absolutely cucked your average Canadian is.
Jet Fuel Johnny said:
figuring guys can learn to shoot in the Zone and cutting back training because of ammo shortages.
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I'm waiting for them to go full "we use vr headset simulations to train soldiers!". Going pew pew with metal tubes while acting like it was fucking counter strile.
Useful_Mistake said:
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Supreme court cucking? Well color me shocked!
 
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