Business The Spend, Spend, Spend Strategy Behind Temu’s Rapid Ascent in America

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The Spend, Spend, Spend Strategy Behind Temu’s Rapid Ascent in America​

Temu’s rise as one of America’s most popular places to shop is powered by its ultracheap goods and billions of dollars of advertising, including in this Sunday’s Super Bowl.

Backed by its Chinese parent, the discount marketplace has been on a shopping spree for ad space, driving up digital advertising costs by outbidding rivals that range from decades-old bricks-and-mortar shops to specialty e-commerce platforms.

That is good news for Meta Platforms and Google, which are seeing revenue growth from ad juggernauts Temu and its Singapore-based fast-fashion rival Shein. It is a wrecking ball for some U.S. retailers, threatening online marketplace Etsy and dollar stores by driving up ad prices and luring away shoppers. Lately, Temu has been building enough consumer momentum to gain ground on behemoths such as Amazon.com.

Temu’s marketing bill reached $1.7 billion in 2023 and the figure will grow to nearly $3 billion in 2024, JPMorgan analysts estimate. Last year, Temu’s marketing spending contributed to an average loss of $7 an order, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.

A Temu spokesperson said the idea it sells at a loss to gain market share isn’t accurate, declining to give details.
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Temu was the fifth-largest advertiser in the U.S. by digital-ad spending in the fourth quarter of 2023, a significant leap from placing 67th during the same period in 2022, according to research firm Sensor Tower. Shein also jumped the ranks, coming in 17th in the fourth quarter. Amazon, the world’s largest e-commerce company, was the top spender.

In late September, the price of an advertisement to reach every 1,000 people on one webpage on Meta increased 24% from a year earlier, according to Gupta Media, an online advertising price tracker. Meta said earlier this month that China-based advertisers contributed to 10% of its 2023 sales, or about $13.7 billion, almost doubling its 2022 revenue from China. It didn’t specify the advertisers.

“I think every major retailer will be spending more to acquire the same shoppers this year,” said Juozas Kaziukėnas, founder and chief executive of Marketplace Pulse, a business-intelligence firm.

Etsy, the Brooklyn-based online marketplace operator, said in December it would cut 11% of its workforce as part of a cost-saving restructuring. Chief Executive Josh Silverman said late last year that Temu and Shein were “almost single-handedly having an impact on the cost of advertising.”

Analysts say Temu is disrupting U.S. e-commerce with tried-and-true competition tactics used by Chinese companies, which involve earning razor-thin profits or losing money in exchange for market share.

The costly battle over ad space is “such as a game of chicken,” said Michael Morton, an analyst at MoffettNathanson.

Many Chinese companies are also savvy about using digital-advertisement placement strategy to their advantage, said Luke Fan, former chief investment director at Cheetah Mobile, one of the first Chinese mobile internet companies to expand overseas. “When I bid the top ad space, you’d have to pay more for the same spot. This is how you kill your rivals.”
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Temu, which launched in September 2022, has deep pockets thanks to parent PDD Holdings PDD 0.65%increase; green up pointing triangle. Its growth strategy is reminiscent of the one PDD used in China to rival Alibaba—luring shoppers with rock-bottom prices and extraordinary subsidies.

After carving out its market share, PDD turned profitable as it scaled back on customer acquisition, generated more advertisement fees from merchants and moved into higher-margin categories.

Some analysts are skeptical. If Temu can’t find a way to generate recurring revenue, the substantial subsidies could hurt PDD’s profitability, said Ivy Yang, founder of Wavelet Strategy, a China tech consulting firm.

Temu also faces geopolitical tensions and regulatory risks. Changes in U.S. tariffs and tax policy on imports may hinder its prospects. The sheer volume of low-cost goods it sells overseas could trigger antidumping investigations in the U.S. and the European Union, Yang added.

The Temu spokesperson said the company “competes fairly” in a free market and complies with laws in markets where it operates.
Six months after entering the U.S. market, Temu’s aggressive advertising spending propelled its active monthly users to exceed Shein’s, which took years to build.

Temu is now the second-most popular shopping app in the U.S. as measured by monthly users, behind Amazon. Its U.S. mobile app monthly active users jumped 950% year-over-year in the last three months of 2023, when its digital ad expenses increased more than three times, according to Sensor Tower.

There are signs that Temu’s voracious ad buying is taking shoppers from other retailers. A study of more than a half million Dollar General shoppers found that their spending at Temu rose to 10% of their total spending in December, up from 1% a year ago, according to market-research firm Earnest Analytics. During the same period, shares of their spending at Dollar General and Dollar Tree both declined, the study showed.

Temu’s Chinese sister platform Pinduoduo spent more on marketing than the sales it brought in after launching in 2015 to take on legacy e-commerce giants Alibaba and JD.com.

It first attracted buyers with low-cost toilet rolls and unbranded socks and now sells big-ticket items including iPhones and home appliances.
It took Amazon nine years after its founding to get into the black. For PDD, it took six years.

“Temu’s really playing a long game here,” said Insider Intelligence analyst Sky Canaves.

Temu’s contribution to PDD’s operating profit will swing from a $3 billion loss in 2023 to $3.5 billion in income by 2027, analysts from JPMorgan have estimated. PDD doesn’t break out financials for Temu.

Amazon remains out front with American shoppers with its sheer breadth of product offerings and speedy delivery made possible by Prime membership, analysts say.

In December, Amazon said it would reduce fees it charges sellers for apparel items under $20, a move some analysts read as its response to the rise of Shein and Temu. An Amazon spokeswoman said the company reduced the fees to help offer a wider selection of goods with competitive prices for consumers. She said healthy competition is good for consumers and businesses.

Temu recently announced plans to open its marketplace to U.S. and European sellers. Analysts say Temu’s first target could be Amazon’s Chinese sellers with inventory in the U.S., though attracting major U.S. brands might be challenging.

Temu hasn’t yet made a dent on Amazon, analysts say. But as it grows, “it is a threat Amazon needs to watch,” said Neil Saunders, a retail analyst at research firm GlobalData.
 
I thought this was going to be Amanda Mull's excellent piece in The Atlantic.

Is This How Amazon Ends?​

An open embrace of cheap foreign products has helped Amazon take over the world. It also might guarantee Amazon’s eventual obsolescence.

When you’re shopping around for something on Amazon, you’re probably hoping to end up with a product that is good enough. Many of the site’s stock images and product descriptions have an unpredictable relationship to the objects you’ll actually receive; to guard against surprises, you frequently need to peruse the ratings and reviews left by the shoppers who came before you. In exchange for this low-stakes gamble, you get a huge selection of products, decent prices, and very fast shipping. Often enough, you also get a good enough result.

This balance is part of what has made Amazon a fabulously profitable business. Over time, the company has transformed itself into something that functions more like a global flea market than a traditional retail store. Most of the products on Amazon’s website are sold by millions of third-party sellers, many of them outside the U.S., who construct their own product listings and mostly store their inventory in Amazon’s American fulfillment centers. Since Amazon launched its marketplace in 2000, sellers around the globe—and especially in China—have flocked to the program. When you buy something through these listings, Amazon takes a cut of the sale for streamlining your interaction with a business that may actually be in Guangzhou or Shenzhen.

This approach has, on some level, been a boon to all parties. Sellers get more direct access to American consumers than they’d ever had with traditional retail models, and those consumers get access to an abundance of cheap goods, even if sorting through all of them requires more guesswork than picking up something at your local Target. The biggest beneficiary of all, though, has been Amazon, which has managed to convince its customers to accept a fundamental jankiness in both the site and many of its goods. The success of this system is what has made the retailer into the Everything Store. It might also be what leads to the eventual end of Amazon’s dominance.

 
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I always assumed that Temu was some kind of Wish.com scam.
The pictures they use to sell products on Temu just look like they’re ripped off from the legit retailers, which makes me believe the actual quality is way worse. The really low retail prices aren’t reassuring either.
 
The pictures they use to sell products on Temu just look like they’re ripped off from the legit retailers, which makes me believe the actual quality is way worse. The really low retail prices aren’t reassuring either.
Shit like these sites makes me glad I'm all autistic about online shopping. Don't like the idea of giving you my money now, and then hoping I actually get the shit I paid for weeks later , assuming one of the people in the daisy chain isn't gonna be a retard and break it all. Adding in "Its just a straight up scam" doesn't make it any better.

Rather just go to an actual store. Even if they gotta order it in for me, at least then I still don't pay until I leave the store with it, and if it turns out to be a scam product I don't gotta pay at all.
 
Shit like these sites makes me glad I'm all autistic about online shopping. Don't like the idea of giving you my money now, and then hoping I actually get the shit I paid for weeks later , assuming one of the people in the daisy chain isn't gonna be a retard and break it all. Adding in "Its just a straight up scam" doesn't make it any better.

Rather just go to an actual store. Even if they gotta order it in for me, at least then I still don't pay until I leave the store with it, and if it turns out to be a scam product I don't gotta pay at all.
I love online shopping to avoid people, but my rule of thumb with online shopping is “if it sounds too good to be true, it most likely is.” Temu and Wish both fit these categories.
 
This is just another wave of chinese desperation and everyone saying differently is a chicom or retarded...

They are trying everything to keep the local factories afloat while exploiting international logistics, just like wish before.

Nobody is making money with this and its only done to keep a million chinks in factories because they could riot if they dont work 12 hours a day...
 
I hate cheap Chinesium shit and the people who buy it. Like the people on social media with their Shein "hauls" etc.

The quality of almost everything has dropped because of this crap and the consoomer mentality of "I'll just buy another one, it's soooooo cheap" when the substandard plastic breaks.

Even decent brands are dropping quality and moving manufacturing to bughives elsewhere just to compete.

Chinese exports kill a lot of industries - that's why you can only buy shit products these days. There is often no alternative.

One example: The Rise and Sudden Decline of North Carolina Furniture Making

I wish I'd been able to hold on to more items from my grandparents house - a lot of that stuff was bought (or built by them) in the 50s/60s and was still standing strong when it was divvied up or put into storage.
 
Vietnam has stolen China's place as the world's go to for slave cheap labour.

Now the Chinks are desperate for any overseas export but almost all the big Western companies are either pulling out or are gone already.

China is teetering on the brink of collapse, all the CCP propaganda to the contrary, I think the Evergrande collapse will be the blow that causes the start of the chain implosion. You can't wipe out $331 US billion overnight and not have shit get scary. So many Chinks are owed either a house they've already paid 1/2 of or hundred of thousands of dollars in investments that are now just...gone.

The CCP itself has no money to bail out Evergrande either, tax revenue is crashing, credit is crunching and jobs are evaporating faster then the ink can even dry on the latest money printer runs.

I do have hope that now the bread and circuses are gone the Chinks will rise up and flush the turds that make up the CCP council and join the rest of the world as partners and not slaves.

Not much hope mind you...but still some.
 
I always assumed that Temu was some kind of Wish.com scam.
I think that's essentially what Temu's endrunning here. I've never used it, but I know somebody who got into it at launch, and was super impressed at first. I remember there were some promotions where you could get shit like a Nintendo Switch for $7 (these were all super limited run batches, sure, but people made accounts). Product quality was actually high, and the prices couldn't be beat. Now, the prices are slowly creeping up, while there's beginning to be a lot of Wish-esque products showing up on the platform. As they begin to actually be expected to turn a profit, I think Temu is going to look a whole lot like another Wish, because they can't just keep increasing their userbase by selling at a loss.
 
The best thing about the rising Federal interest rates in the USA is that it is killing all the "negative profit, grow at any cost until your forcibly obtain a monopoly" type businesses. Companies everywhere have to actually make money again since the 2008 recession.

Temu can't sustain their cheaper prices, and it would take at minimum a decade building brand recognition for a proper competitor to usurp Amazon.

Amazon itself has rather thin margins even with the economy of scale and market saturation fully realized. Temu has no path to profitability while undercuting Amazon, and it has no way to grow without undercutting.

Temu is in a real Catch-22 situation.
 
I always assumed Temu was just another way for a corporation to get your personal information.
 
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