If zelensky refuses to negotiate, how long will be stay in power?
The thing is: Come May 15 (I believe), Zelensky’s presidential term expires, and there’s no way to extend it without elections.
Z will essentially become a constitutionally illegal dictator if he stays in office. (Which absolutely nobody believes he will quit.)
That fact could be combined with some kind of move towards a settlement. Maybe the army will move in to depose him (in coordination with NATO advisers) and start negotiations. Maybe we will see another Maydan.
Another issue entirely is that Z is totally dependent on foreign aid. If funding gets cut, nobody, including the army and the government is getting paid. So he can refuse to negotiate, but only up to a point.
Like… In some sense I can’t help but have some respect for what that Cirillo dude has done.
I know Ukraine is an extremely fucked up state, and what he did could only happen in a place this dysfunctional. But… He went to another country, LARP’ed as a woman and soldier, MANAGED TO BECOME THEIR MILITARY SPOKESPERSON, holding briefings and shit.
(And of course got the F outta dodge once things became obviously bad.)
Kinda reminds me of that De Caprio movie where he manages to hustle his way into being a doctor and pilot.