The Pentagon's new plan to convert the entire Marine Corps into a mobile island hopping defensive rocket force rather than be the general 24 hour global response force everyone knows is good evidence of plans to intervene. There are already preparations underway in the Philippines. Going to come down to who the next President is and if America decides to provoke an incident with China before hand to dictate the when and where since the US cannot move its assets fast enough if China plans to overwhelm the island that is only 100 miles away.
Meh… The US isn’t going to do shit. Except protest a lot.
Let’s start with the fact that One China has been American policy for decades, occasional congress spergouts aside. The US will intervene in a Chinese domestic matter?
The US doesn’t have the capabilities either. Sure America can send a carrier group (that will get sunk) and can send some ships, but the US doesn’t have the capability to send out the kind of resources necessary here: Tens of thousands of soldiers, thousands of vehicles on a quick enough basis.
The US can beat shithole countries (sometimes!) but not China.
Whatever troops they will send, will be there as a retarded tripwire force. While the Pentagon hopes and prays that their bluff won’t be called.
Landing will be very costly and glowies will blow up the chip fabs. Whether that actually hurts America's high-tech military, new AI economy and a possible AI enhanced military more than it hurts China over the long term looks more and more like a win/win scenario for China if things stay conventional.
Another good reason why US won’t go to war over Taiwan. The risks and costs are just too high.
There are no shortage of American bases nearby that the Chinese can strike. Plus US is paying something like a trillion dollars every year just to service the debt that is growing.
If all of Taiwan and the chip fabs will be razed to the ground, it’ll hurt China, but they’ll survive. They trade with a lot of countries and have their own fabs on the mainland.
For the US though? That would be such a financial disaster they wouldn’t want to risk it.
No, the Taliban won because AK-47s are technological marvels that can defeat any American weapons systems, Fapcop said so. Imagine how badly Operation Desert Storm would have gone if only Saddam Hussein's forces had the mighty AK pattern rifle! Imagine how badly the Afghans would have lost if the USSR had invaded instead!
Welp, looks like someone is still assmad about having been booted from Afghanistan by a bunch of farmers!
I am sorry your trillion dollar hardware failed you. You may want to consider the point that you’ve been lied to, and all your wunderwaffle actually isn’t all that and doesn’t win wars.
Volume of production isn't the Chinese problem, it's design & build quality, and in China, those kinds of problems are concealed from superiors until it's too late.
Please do tell: What practical experience do you have with Chinese military hardware?
What reason do you have to believe that there is a major qualitative difference, besides the fact that Task and Purpose told you so?
And I'm not sure that's the right lesson to take from this war. Russia's lack of any stealth capabilities has significantly limited where their aircraft can operate (there are rumors the SU-57 has been deployed a few times and performed well, but I think Russia has fewer than a dozen).
You seem to misunderstand what “stealth” is.
There is no stealth system in the world that can totally negate an effective area denial system. An F35 or F22 would have exactly the same problems with flying where ever they please, given the presence of an effective AA/A2-AD.
American ATGMs have knocked out a lot of Russian armor.
And Russian ATGMs have taken out Western tanks. We’re not seeing the result of wunderwaffle here, but the result of technological development and the battle space.
The ATGM turned out to be a gamechanger already in the 73 war, and today we have a situation where 24-7 battlefield awareness through drones, means the end of massed tank assaults and maneuver warfare as we knew it in WW2.
American satellites have enabled to the destruction of a couple very expensive warships.
You mean a couple of decades old, Polish ships. In a land war sinking or damaging some ships is kinda pointless.
In a naval war in the pacific against China, the US won’t be up against some corvettes and obsolete Polish ships, and China have their own, quite impressive satellite capabilities.
The HIMARS has proven to be a very effective weapon.
Yea, rocket artillery has shown itself to be quite effective indeed. Ironically it’s also one of the areas where Western armies have a big deficit compared to Russia, China or even North Korea.
Plus, China's going to be invading Taiwan, not Ukraine, with a nonzero risk that the USA will intervene directly to aid Taiwan. The technology gap between Taiwan and Ukraine is immense. To have a chance of this not being a bloodbath, China needs sufficiently many weapons that are sufficiently technologically advanced that the US is guaranteed to stay out, bribe or no bribe.
You’re right about China getting Taiwan back. They’ll prefer to do it peacefully, but if that’s not an option they’ll do it through military means.
And US won’t do a thing about it. Except for leaving some tripwire troops and hoping the Chinks won’t call their bluff.
Why? Because America lacks the capability to win a war here and because the risks are far too high compared to the rewards.
