US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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U.S. Gasoline, Diesel Demand Hit Seasonal Low Not Seen Since COVID


Demand for gasoline and diesel in the United States has plunged to its lowest seasonally since the onset of the COVID pandemic, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), sparking concern that economic activity is now becoming stagnant as refining margins hit news lows not seen in months, Reuters reported.
Monthly averages for the week ended May 3 show gasoline demand at 8.63 million barrels per day–a figure not seen since May 2020, at the start of the pandemic, based on EIA data.
Data also showed demand for distillates plunging to 3.6 million bpd, which was also a seasonal low not hit since the pandemic. Additionally, for the first time in approximately three months, the 3-2-1 crack spread which serves as a barometer for refining markets, was trading under $26.50 per barrel on Wednesday, Reuters reports, for the lowest crack spread in three years.



The economy in the crapper but biden is tied with trump in public opinion. I totes believe it
 
Here's the thing, polls take a while to bake. Its not -just- calling up a bunch of people. You need to craft the questions, get them out there, spend a bit of time accumulating responses, then compile the data. And while a fair bit of that is automated, any good pollster would spend a while to make sure its good if for no other reason than maintaining his own data set.
I mean, "Trump or Biden?" isn't that hard a question to formulate. And it's not that hard to hit the "Sum" button on a spreadsheet. They really could just make the poll in a few hours, and then post it. Which seems to be exactly what they did. There's nothing to indicate that the poll took days to make, and the poll itself explicitly says otherwise.

You could argue that it'll take a few days for the main, recurring polls to catch up to the verdict, but it's very possible that these post-verdict polls are exactly that: post-verdict responses.
 
The last presidential race to be decided by more than single digits was Reagan V Mondale in 1984. 40 years ago.
Most people probably vote their party on habit as much as anything else.
Incidentally that race, and Bush vs. Dukakis after it, are also extremely important to learn about to understand the following 30 years (at least) of Democratic internal politics. You don't get Third Way Democracy/neoliberalism (not affiliated with that other third way ideology, though it does crib from some of its appeal) without Mondale getting btfo and the Dukakis tank picture.
 
Data also showed demand for distillates plunging to 3.6 million bpd, which was also a seasonal low not hit since the pandemic. Additionally, for the first time in approximately three months, the 3-2-1 crack spread which serves as a barometer for refining markets, was trading under $26.50 per barrel on Wednesday, Reuters reports, for the lowest crack spread in three years.
Why am I not surprised that terms like, "Spreading crack" are used by government agencies when talking about our shit economy and oil.
 
I mean, "Trump or Biden?" isn't that hard a question to formulate. And it's not that hard to hit the "Sum" button on a spreadsheet. They really could just make the poll in a few hours, and then post it. Which seems to be exactly what they did. There's nothing to indicate that the poll took days to make, and the poll itself explicitly says otherwise.
It's more than just asking about candidate preference though; any good pollster will also want to know why a specific candidate was selected. Asking such follow up questions answers what's driving support patterns and whether certain recent events explain movements.

For example the lack of change in Reuter's poll could be because the economy dominates, or people are further incensed at the blatantly political machinations in the guilty verdict and digging in their heels. Both are very different reasons and affect predictions regarding where this election is going differently, but you won't get the answer to it by simply asking Trump vs. Biden in a poll.
 
Reminder that a lot of people who were polled said, before Trumpeachment no #1, that they wouldn't vote for Trump if he was impeached, and then he went on to outdo his 2016 numbers in 2020 by 12 million votes.

People might say 'I won't vote for that convicted felon' because they think that's what they're supposed to say
 
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It's true & for FYI it's payoff the fine for Sandie hook payout.
The thing is, it shows true motive. If they just wanted the money, liquidating makes no sense as he makes more money podcasting, and they get more too in the long run. They REALLY want infowars to be nonexistant anymore, but Jones can do it with a phone if he has to. Podcasting can be done anywheres with minimal infrastructure.
 
Nice headline bro:
Exclusive: One in 10 Republicans less likely to vote for Trump after guilty verdict, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds (archive)
The two-day poll, conducted in the hours after the Republican presidential candidate's conviction by a Manhattan jury on Thursday, also found that 56% of Republican registered voters said the case would have no effect on their vote and 35% said they were more likely to support Trump, who has claimed the charges against him are politically motivated and has vowed to appeal.

The potential loss of a tenth of his party's voters is more significant for Trump than the stronger backing of more than a third of Republicans, since many of the latter would be likely to vote for him regardless of the conviction.
 
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