US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Ann Richards - The second woman Texas put in the governor's mansion was a big-talking lesbian from Waco. Her ability to sound like an angry wife that caught her husband drunk was legend; and when she ran for governor it once again got the oil and cattlemen tycoons to not put up much resistance. She was the last Democrat governor of the state. This is the speech she is most noted for: the keynote of the 1988 Democratic National Convention
THE Ann Richards from King of the Hill?

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Hot damn.
 
Ok Kimberly...

Maybe you shouldn't throw a Pennsylvania law enforcement agency under the bus like this. Not in a state where elections get as razor thin as 500 votes, sometimes even less. I hopped on over to Facebook to the blue line world in PA and every cop union in the state is furious. And this response from Butler Twp is about what I would expect when Ms. Sloped Roof tries to shift blame like some government clerk blind-transferring your phonecall into PBX purgatory.

Oh I see some PA Democrats are also mad, too. Brendan Boyle is in a safe D area. He doesn't have to say a thing, and he represents the other side of the state, near Philly.

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Good job, Doritos security lady.

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Saddam power move. Bring your defeated party members on stage for public prostration. What a time to be alive
I'm at a loss of ideas for how Trump could have humiliated them anymore. Just when I thought I was out of politics Trump pulled me back in.
Guys I'm speechless at what's happening

A senate candidate just surrendered his candidacy to his opponent cause Trump endorsed them

Both are supporting Trump

This is insane
It's great to have 2016 energy level Trump back. If he wins hopefully he brings that same energy to dealing with the rest of the world.
 
He's campaigning in states he's unlikely to win to force the Biden campaign to spend money in those places shoring them up. Money they don't have. If the Dems are too broke to counter at all then Trump might actually flip one or two.
Yup! It's a great strategy. I want the Democrats to spend money in places like New York (which they actually might need to do given that Trump is behind by only single digits and the gap is closing). Biden's campaign money is drying out, too. The Trump campaign should trap them in a corner (and that looks to be the case).

I think the Democrats are very, very worried about the down ballot right now too.

Trump is a smart guy. Once he easily won the GOP nomination in 2016, I was very confident that he was going to win the entire election (people called me crazy for making the prediction months before the election, but joke's on them! I was actually paying attention to both Trump and Hilary's campaigns). The 2016 Trump campaign played for the Electoral Map only. They paid attention to areas that Hillary didn't seem so concerned with (like the Rust Belt), and they ignored areas that they knew were lost causes, so they didn't spend any money stupidly either. Granted, I think that the way the 2016 Trump campaign played the map ultimately cost him the popular vote, but ... That's not how you win.

Republican/Conservative/Populist voters adore Trump because he doesn't play the same losing game that the GOP has for decades. The base is so enthusiastic for Trump, because people like to support winners. It seems to me that the vast majority of the GOP has finally received the memo and are falling in line.
 
Ok Kimberly...

Maybe you shouldn't throw a Pennsylvania law enforcement agency under the bus like this. Not in a state where elections get as razor thin as 500 votes, sometimes even less. I hopped on over to Facebook to the blue line world in PA and every cop union in the state is furious. And this response from Butler Twp is about what I would expect when Ms. Sloped Roof tries to shift blame like some government clerk blind-transferring your phonecall into PBX purgatory.

Oh I see some PA Democrats are also mad, too. Brendan Boyle is in a safe D area. He doesn't have to say a thing, and he represents the other side of the state, near Philly.

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Good job, Doritos security lady.

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It's only a matter of time until they confirm that Jill Biden's event in Pittsburgh that took SS resources from Trump's event was planned just to upstage him.
 
What do you guys think about Allan Lichtman? I'm sure many of you already know of him, but out of the last 10 presidential elections he correctly "predicted" 9 of them, using his methodology called "13 Keys to the White House'. Basically if the current sitting White House party has 6 or more of his "keys" against them, they will lose the election to the opposing party. He has supposedly applied this methodology to elections before those previous 10, and it still held true.

I have been watching him on YouTube recently. He seems to have the complete polar opposite take of the media at the moment. He thinks the Democrats best chance at winning is for Biden to stay in the race, because that would automatically award them 2 of his keys. At the moment he seems to believe the Democrats are the favorite via his keys system. He has even said the 2024 election may end up being similar to the 1948 election. But he won't make his final prediction until August after the DNC.

He is definitely a Democrat himself, it's apparent by his videos and how much he wants Biden to win. He even called Biden's recent "big boy" NATO speech great. His comments on his recent streams and videos are full of Democrats and Biden voters, thanking him for his reassurance on the situation. With all that said, he still admits that there could be something outside the keys, so catastrophic by itself, that the keys wouldn't matter, and the sitting party would still lose the election regardless. He just says that this has never happened so far in American history, using his models.
 
Jet Fuel Johnny said:
No offense, but your family members are wrong as fuck. I had dudes in my unit who were directly involved in it, as in on the ground. Dude in 54th Combat Engineers I knew was the one who got the Bronze Star for Valor and the Combat Jump wings, and he fucking deserved it.

If you take a look even at Wikipedia, you'll notice some REALLY interesting things.

As the operation to hit Beruit and Lebanon was gearing up, as in the gear was being loaded onto the C5 Galaxies, every unit was suddenly given stand-down orders. Every ready unit and Rapid Response Battalion suddenly went live, whether or not they had been involved in the Beruit planning.

This shit was so big that A-Team units in fucking EUROPE and TURKEY were told "Give them whatever they fucking want. Manpower, weapons, ammo, whatever they want. Blank check. Do it."

When the US went in, the general in charge of the whole thing was given authorization for the following order: "Feed me battalions until I say stop..."

There's some interesting pictures from the airfield if you look closely.

It already was an airbase at the time. Interesting thing: Soviet Spetz and Soviet troops defended the airfield tenaciously.

Grenada is an interesting case. The real story is fucking buried, but if you look closely at the units deployed, the way it yanked EVERYTHING to it, the way a few submarines got awards, you start to see an interesting picture.

It's EXTREMELY downplayed for a reason.

I remember my Uncle - now retired, but formerly an Army General - said something along the lines of Grenada being a case where there was no choice but to go as hard as possible on it. He doesn't say shit like that lightly, and I fucking believed him about it. Heard and saw similar from the other veterans who discussed it, too - shit was big.
 
What do you guys think about Allan Lichtman? I'm sure many of you already know of him, but out of the last 10 presidential elections he correctly "predicted" 9 of them, using his methodology called "13 Keys to the White House'. Basically if the current sitting White House party has 6 or more of his "keys" against them, they will lose the election to the opposing party. He has supposedly applied this methodology to elections before those previous 10, and it still held true.

I have been watching him on YouTube recently. He seems to have the complete polar opposite take of the media at the moment. He thinks the Democrats best chance at winning is for Biden to stay in the race, because that would automatically award them 2 of his keys. At the moment he seems to believe the Democrats are the favorite via his keys system. He has even said the 2024 election may end up being similar to the 1948 election. But he won't make his final prediction until August after the DNC.

He is definitely a Democrat himself, it's apparent by his videos and how much he wants Biden to win. He even called Biden's recent "big boy" NATO speech great. His comments on his recent streams and videos are full of Democrats and Biden voters, thanking him for his reassurance on the situation. With all that said, he still admits that there could be something outside the keys, so catastrophic by itself, that the keys wouldn't matter, and the sitting party would still lose the election regardless. He just says that this has never happened so far in American history, using his models.
Some of his keys are overly subjective, and even some of the ones that are more clearly defined ought to have asterisks. For instance, chomo joe technically passes his short term economy key and his long term economy key. But the caveats are that inflation and housing prices and the struggle younger Americans have for finding quality high paying jobs, play a large part in chomo joe being hurt on the economics issue, which should mean that those two keys should count against him rather than count for him.

Lichtman also claims chomo joe hasn’t seen a foreign policy failure, and that chomo joe isn’t afflicted by scandal. Two blatantly false claims. He also claims there’s not enough social unrest for it to count against chomo joe. Blatantly false
 
What do you guys think about Allan Lichtman? I'm sure many of you already know of him, but out of the last 10 presidential elections he correctly "predicted" 9 of them, using his methodology called "13 Keys to the White House'. Basically if the current sitting White House party has 6 or more of his "keys" against them, they will lose the election to the opposing party. He has supposedly applied this methodology to elections before those previous 10, and it still held true.

Go look at Nate Silver on Twitter they are bickering back and forth.

Nate Silver is right. Lictman (and his toupeé) are not factoring in the majority of voters know Joe is a walking corpse and his brain turned to moosh. And we are not a Westminister parliamentary democracy where we have no say in who the leader is, we have the largest number of independent voter registrations ever, and he's grossly overstating the effect of straight-ticket voting this time.

But I am absolutely hoping Allan Lichtman has the ear of the president and that the Biden campaign likes what they are hearing and staying all-in.

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This is true but it is entirely a problem of their own making. They’ve got nobody but themselves to blame for the rise of Reddit atheism, which was a direct backlash against overbearing Christian moral policing. SJWism too, but less directly so. Frankly, the messaging at the time of “do X or you’ll go to Hell as a sinner” is a terrible way to sell your God to skeptical young people who are biologically hard-wired to be rebellious. Hellfire and brimstone is great for keeping the hardcore believers in line but it’s a hard sell for potential converts.

If young people are to have a spiritual revival, it will through asking not what you can do for God, but what God can do for you.
People that come off overbearing with their religion are but one part of the equation for issue. The influence of academia and Hollywood cannot be denied when it comes to shaping the image of the faith and peoples views on it. Christians certainly don't really have many allies in those places and haven't a huge presence in those worlds for a long time.

The increasing lack of earthly social value of being a Christian probably plays a part to. In the past in some places you could leave or stop going to a church and people may ask why you have done this. Now many people don't even care. Identifying with Christianity is not necessarily something you have to do in order to "fit in" anymore.

To illustrate the societal influence at play, here is an example. A number of people have left the faith due to policies on LGBT acceptance in the past couple decades. The vast majority of churches and denominations never pushed for ideas like gay marriage in the first place, it was not something they tried to normalize nationally. In fact their stance on the matter was generally decided for them thousands of years before modern day politics yet here we are.
 
This is true but it is entirely a problem of their own making. They’ve got nobody but themselves to blame for the rise of Reddit atheism, which was a direct backlash against overbearing Christian moral policing. SJWism too, but less directly so. Frankly, the messaging at the time of “do X or you’ll go to Hell as a sinner” is a terrible way to sell your God to skeptical young people who are biologically hard-wired to be rebellious. Hellfire and brimstone is great for keeping the hardcore believers in line but it’s a hard sell for potential converts.

On the other side of the spectrum you’ve got a lot of families where the parents would self-ID as Christian and do believe in God, but only because their parents were Christian with they themselves having little connection to the faith. It is no surprise that parents like this would fail to instill the importance of faith on their children because they too are mostly just going through the motions.

If young people are to have a spiritual revival, it will through asking not what you can do for God, but what God can do for you.
At the local level, I've been seeing a sort of oldschool Christianity revival, led by Gen Xers.

A lot less fire and brimstone, a lot more Jesus was way cool. SImple moral lessons. It's been kind of cool to see.
 
What do you guys think about Allan Lichtman? I'm sure many of you already know of him, but out of the last 10 presidential elections he correctly "predicted" 9 of them, using his methodology called "13 Keys to the White House'. Basically if the current sitting White House party has 6 or more of his "keys" against them, they will lose the election to the opposing party. He has supposedly applied this methodology to elections before those previous 10, and it still held true.

I have been watching him on YouTube recently. He seems to have the complete polar opposite take of the media at the moment. He thinks the Democrats best chance at winning is for Biden to stay in the race, because that would automatically award them 2 of his keys. At the moment he seems to believe the Democrats are the favorite via his keys system. He has even said the 2024 election may end up being similar to the 1948 election. But he won't make his final prediction until August after the DNC.

He is definitely a Democrat himself, it's apparent by his videos and how much he wants Biden to win. He even called Biden's recent "big boy" NATO speech great. His comments on his recent streams and videos are full of Democrats and Biden voters, thanking him for his reassurance on the situation. With all that said, he still admits that there could be something outside the keys, so catastrophic by itself, that the keys wouldn't matter, and the sitting party would still lose the election regardless. He just says that this has never happened so far in American history, using his models.
Does Lichtman's model factor in this key metric?

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What do you guys think about Allan Lichtman? I'm sure many of you already know of him, but out of the last 10 presidential elections he correctly "predicted" 9 of them, using his methodology called "13 Keys to the White House'. Basically if the current sitting White House party has 6 or more of his "keys" against them, they will lose the election to the opposing party. He has supposedly applied this methodology to elections before those previous 10, and it still held true.

I have been watching him on YouTube recently. He seems to have the complete polar opposite take of the media at the moment. He thinks the Democrats best chance at winning is for Biden to stay in the race, because that would automatically award them 2 of his keys. At the moment he seems to believe the Democrats are the favorite via his keys system. He has even said the 2024 election may end up being similar to the 1948 election. But he won't make his final prediction until August after the DNC.

He is definitely a Democrat himself, it's apparent by his videos and how much he wants Biden to win. He even called Biden's recent "big boy" NATO speech great. His comments on his recent streams and videos are full of Democrats and Biden voters, thanking him for his reassurance on the situation. With all that said, he still admits that there could be something outside the keys, so catastrophic by itself, that the keys wouldn't matter, and the sitting party would still lose the election regardless. He just says that this has never happened so far in American history, using his models.

He could just cut out the bullshit and say he wants Biden to win instead of coping on playground theories.
 
In his second term Trump should go full bore and completely ignore the courts if they fuck with him. What are they gonna do? Call him even more of a nazi? Since Vance is an autist and plays RuneScape I'll say this. In the off chance you're reading this, this is what you should feed to Trump.

1:Declare the FBI, CIA, NSA, ETC as domestic terrorist orgs. If the courts say something about it see above
1: Disband the FBI and the CIA. Hold a press conference about how they are the number one distributors of child porn.
2: lock up all glowies fucks in gitmo and Livestream their cells with TTS donations. All proceeds go to either the national debt or wounded vets involved in glownigger wars. Fishtank: Gitmo Edition
3: declare openly that any state operating a sanctuary city is in active insurrection and defiance of the federal government and will be bombed if it does not submit to the will of ICE. All government officials involved with sanctuary cities will be tried for treason.
 
Ann Richards - The second woman Texas put in the governor's mansion was a big-talking lesbian from Waco. Her ability to sound like an angry wife that caught her husband drunk was legend; and when she ran for governor it once again got the oil and cattlemen tycoons to not put up much resistance. She was the last Democrat governor of the state. This is the speech she is most noted for: the keynote of the 1988 Democratic National Convention
Never heard her called a lesbian before. She had multiple biological children, one of whom would become president of Planned Parenthood.
 
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