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They need the polls to be in favour of who they want to win by a small margin because if it's a large margin their supporters don't feel they need to show up and if it's not positive, then people are more likely to question votes if they fortify the election.Pollsters update their methodology so that they would accurately predict the results of the most recent elections. After 2016, they updated their methodology and weighting to favor Trump. After 2018, they rolled some of them back after the blue wave. This led them to again over-estimate Biden in 2020. They updated their polling methodology to weight Republicans higher in 2022, but the Dobbs decision led to the predicted Red wave never materializing.
So, in 2024, they are adjusting it based on the 2022 results and overestimating Biden, or (more likely) they are trying to correct for the 2016 and 2020 gap because Trump is on the ticket, and they are accurate or even overestimating him.
Find yourself an electorate that looks at you the way Vance's wife looks at him!Nah, right wing extremist manlet with brown/Asian gf is so common it's practically a cliche.
None of them were charged personally. It's just whether the Federal Govt. was paying or not. And I think they may have been but Trump has a right to stay at his own hotel and SS agents need to be at the same hotel he is. I don't think there was ever any evidence of "ridiculous fees" or anything. It was just one of those things that could look superficially bad which they tried to turn into a big deal and then the story just faded away.Was it ever true that Trump charged secret service agents ridiculous fees for staying at his hotels, Mar A Lago etc? Some retard said to me that’s why Trumps detail was reduced/denied.
This is pure gold. Going to save that.The best response to that is to say "just because they said they were nationalist doesn't mean they were" and sit back and enjoy the screaming.
Will add to all the other reasons that she endorses reparations for slavery to Black americans whilst being directly descended from slave owners. Ignore "fact checkers" talking about how 'many black people have slave owners in their ancestry due to rape / coerced sex'. She is descended from his legitimate children and still bears his family name.Can someone give me the tl;dr on why people hate kamala?
This thread is moving faster than an incontinent man who's just had a biriyani. Can you tell me what @Gehenna 's theory is? Couldn't see it in the prior couple of pages.Since there's no video evidence of Biden speaking as of yet, I am going to say that @Gehenna rumors might be accurate.
What worries me is how Joe is going to take the news.It boggles me how insane the DNC is right now. If they had any brains, they'd have just let Joe run till November and eat the loss, then save their energy for an energetic, bombastic 2028 campaign. But instead, they're moving towards the same tricks as before, only this time people have woken up to it - they're not going to work as well as last time, and they may even backfire on them in a spectacular fashion
You’re already seeing the fragments of the narrative starting to form with the shitters in the featured thread.How? Kamala polls worse than he does.
You need a baseline of actual votes to pull off a steal.
Shit is so crazy right now that I didn't even know Hunter was about to go under a new trial.The trial starts in September.
Pardon will come after November 4th.
Biden has been a fuck up most of his career, but go watch something from the 2007 campaign, 2011 events, 2015 events, and 2019 campaign. It’s obvious he was mush, but it’s such a drastic step down. I think he probably really started getting dementia when his son died and then it’s rapidly gotten worse as they tear him from location to location.Joe was never great at public speaking and gaffed pretty often. As he ages, the gaffes go from embarrassing to incomprehensible.
>kiwifarms discordSpeaking of coping
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They needed a black woman for DEI reasons. But she had to be black, female, and stupid enough to be second fiddle to a corpse, while having just enough ambition to put up with it but not enough skill/talent/power of her own to overrule the puppetmasters.Huuuuhh? Then why did Biden pick her as his VP?
I see two optionsThe DNC will not have a lot of pretty speeches or a house band playing endless uplifting boomer tunes to fill in time. They will have endless infighting, voting over and over and over, as they struggle to form a majority to nominate someone, anyone, to the least desirable political position in almost 60 years.
Damn, I was seriously hoping for a rematch.
There's no actual rule against unofficial Discords.>kiwifarms discord
someone's gonna get a talking to from jersh
Imagining God King Trump saying that the only thing Kamala is better them him at is taking shots to the face would be magical.
Or maybe he didn't actually agree to resign.Given that Biden announced this via a Twitter post, I'm guessing he couldn't give it via a press conference. Maybe he's no longer verbal after his latest stroke?
Man... this is painful.
It'll depend on who they give the nomination to.I feel like this doesn't bode well. Why not let the old retard take the loss for the team? Makes me feel like they know they won't be taking a loss due to rigging. Someone whitepill me STAT!
Trump would rail her this time around.
I've really appreciated your posts today, they have been a great whitepill. I have thought for so long that any progressives who even pretend to be politically savvy must be irredeemably evil to participate in the democrats totalitarian shell game, but I now realise I was once again underestimating the ignorance of the average progressive.It isnt even really a problem with Kamala per se - like I said, if Biden had tragically choked on a vanilla cone 20 minutes ago, I would be happy to carry on with Kamala.
Harris isn't a bad candidate so much as an unknown one. But because she has been serving in the office of Vice President, she's next in line for the nomination. She should have had challengers and an opportunity to make her case. Now we have to vote for a dark horse (lol npi)?
What bothers me is the deception, and the expectation that Democrats would vote for Disabled Joe Biden and just ignore what's plain to see.
If Bootplug is nominated, we know the expect the loss, but if it's somebody like Lych Queen Hillary, they'll go full rig till everything explodes. So yeah, whoever is cock slupers VP will give a very clear idea of what to expect.What mainstream troons are there to run as VP? It'll probably be the bender, Pete Bootygag