US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

 

[tehpope]

In case you missed this:

Its one thing to show support for ALS. its another to give the mic to a guy who can't speak at all.

 

[The best and greatest]

Because they cannot afford it . Which part of rent is too damn high you don't get?, childcare is too damn high, everything is expensive. Can you afford kids? Fucking hell can you afford a 2 bedroom crackshack in any major city?

Im sorry but you seem to have misread what I wrote or failed to understand the context. I was saying that we as a society should want people to have children when they are young and healthy because it benefits everybody on both a collective and individual level. Imagine not being born with a congenital defect because your parents weren't pushing 40 when they had you. Crazy, right?

 

[BobbyBriggs69420]

How long are you retards going to sperg about abortion?

I've got an idea to ask a future AI to doxx these people's moms based on their posting style, then, we have that AI ask an even more future ai, this one with time warping abilities to suggest abortion to all these guys moms, warning: retard baby. If I'm correct we should see the page count # decrease any minute now

 

[Snack Cracker]

A woman tried this with me when I was younger. She lied about birth control, jumped the gun on baby talk, and then (thankfully) did not get pregnant. Period happened after 5 weeks of profuse sweating. I was very, very lucky.

I am not saying that most women do this, nor is this a reason to distrust or shit on women writ large. However, there are women who do this kind of crazy shit just as there are psycho retard men who want wives to support their manchild lifestyle into their 30's.

Men ought to follow the advice of my pediatrician, who said this to me when I was 16: even if she says she's on the pill, use a condom.

Even if she’s on the pill, you should still use a condom because STD’s aren’t always visible and (gasp) people lie.

 

[Your Girlfriend's Dad]

Even if she’s on the pill, you should still use a condom because STD’s aren’t always visible and (gasp) people lie.

Kinda ruins the experience for me, but it helps not to stick my dick in so many Randoms. Those days are behind me. Probably.

 

[Justsomecicada]

In case you missed this:

Its one thing to show support for ALS. its another to give the mic to a guy who can't speak at all.

That shit was so wild, like a South Park episode

 

[Rimanah]

A double homicide in which one of the victims was a pregnant mother. We already have a few of those.

The argument with abortion is pointless because we can’t even agree on the premise of when a baby is “alive”. If we can’t start of a discussion with the general agreement that a baby is actually a human life and not a parasite, imo is a waste of time (and sanity) even getting into a discussion with the other party.

The problem with that fact pattern is it won’t invoke anything that can get before SCOTUS. SCOTUS doesn’t have jurisdiction over state criminal cases unless they need to deal with a question of federal law or the constitution.

Then to get the proposed outcome, you also need to make sure that the holding will bind the states. For example of this, when Loper-Bright overturned Chevron, it did not overturn analogous state court holdings. So state courts can still defer to state administrative agencies.

The only real way I see that as being possible is if you say the constitution requires that state murder laws require that it includes unborn fetuses as people. As I said, I think the best and most likely path would be via the 14th amendments equal protection clause. Something that says that the “privileges and immunities” applies to them, and those privileges include life.
But I also don't see that succeeding, since the amendment clearly says “all persons born or naturalized” (emphasis added) and that would plainly exclude the unborn via the canon of “expression of one thing is the exclude another.”

 

[HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS]

That shit was so wild, like a South Park episode

The entire DNC is south park SEASON.

 

[Hey Johnny Bravo]

Weak attempt to change the subject: what ugly suit will the Chocolate Messiah wear, and what poorly-fitted dress will Big Mike wear to accentuate his musculature? What will they talk about?

 

[Harvey Danger]

Because they cannot afford it . Which part of rent is too damn high you don't get?, childcare is too damn high, everything is expensive. Can you afford kids? Fucking hell can you afford a 2 bedroom crackshack in any major city?

Then you can't afford to have casual sex. The costs (weighted by risk) are too damn high. Tie the knot or go femcel.

(I'm sure there would be a hit to your social life, and trigger some feminist objection to this advice. I also suspect that would sound awfully similar to what the male incels say about women).

Since this is ostensibly still a thread about US politics, I'll point out the party that just spent 4 hours pushing abortion provided zero fixes to the high costs of living, zero plans to reduce the implied cost of casual sex, and in fact has made those things worse for decades. Buying a cure from the same people who gave you the disease in the first place is not a smart play.

 

[JambledUpWords]

>women already do this
>complains in the previous post about dead beat dads
So which is it?

Different types of women exist, just as different types of men do. Men and women aren’t monoliths, and women that exist as single mothers are single mothers for a variety of reasons. Sometimes, she genuinely chose a crappy guy to have a kid with that everyone knew was bad news. Other times, the guy is genuinely deceitful and makes the woman think he’ll stay when a kid happens, but skips town once he doesn’t want the responsibility of being a parent.

With the “gold digger” and “high maintenance” women, they vary too. Some of those women will aim for the richest men possible, regardless of if they actually like them, while others just get called that by men that can’t even provide for themselves. High maintenance women may sometimes be excessively high maintenance, as in $800 weekly facials and entire designer wardrobes. Other women will get called that as a shaming tactic, even if said “high maintenance” is just getting hair done at the salon every few weeks and spending slightly more on certain makeup and skincare.

Text conversations often lose their nuance, but I think it’s important to make distinctions. Humans are complicated and we can’t just use a broad brush to paint the whole picture.

 

[UncleAdolf]

In case you missed this:

Its one thing to show support for ALS. its another to give the mic to a guy who can't speak at all.

That's pure political bait. Any Republican that touches that will get burned.

 

[StarkRavingMad]

Behind every single mother is a deadbeat father (barring death of said father). Despite progress made in making sure men have to pay child support, many just try to avoid it. Yet, the woman that stays and raises the kid instead of putting said kid through the foster system gets villainized. “Just stop being whores” is sound advice, but only if applied to both men and women. Men that father multiple children and are deadbeats on top of it don’t get nearly as much hate as they should.

That is a more than fair point, and I agree with you. Both deadbeat moms and deadbeat dads should be scrutinized and ridiculed until the end of time.

In my post, I was referring to very specific women ... The "shout your abortion" kind; the kind who just marched dressed up as abortion pills, holding signs saying "free abortions on demand."

 

[Terrifik]

https://x.com/disclosetv/status/1825927554621931718

https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2024/08/20/fed-confronts-million-us-jobs-vanishing-revision

US job growth in the year through March was likely far less robust than initially estimated, which risks fueling concerns that the Federal Reserve is falling further behind the curve to lower interest rates.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. economists expect the government’s preliminary benchmark revisions on Wednesday to show payrolls growth in the year through March was at least 600,000 weaker than currently estimated — about 50,000 a month.

While JPMorgan Chase & Co. forecasters see a decline of about 360,000, Goldman Sachs indicates it could be as large as a million.

There are a number of caveats in the preliminary figure, but a downward revision to employment of more than 501,000 would be the largest in 15 years and suggest the labor market has been cooling for longer — and perhaps more so — than originally thought. The final numbers are due early next year.

Such figures also have the potential of shaping the tone of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at week’s end in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Investors are trying to gain insight as to when and how much the central bank will start lowering interest rates as inflation and the job market cool.

look preliminary

“A large negative revision would indicate that the strength of hiring was already fading before this past April,” Wells Fargo economists Sarah House and Aubrey Woessner said in a note last week. That would make “risks to the full employment side of the Fed’s dual mandate more salient amid widespread softening in other labor market data.”

Once a year, the BLS benchmarks the March payrolls level to a more accurate but less timely data source called the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, which is based on state unemployment insurance tax records and covers nearly all US jobs. The release of the latest QCEW report in June already hinted at weaker payroll gains last year.

As it stands now, the BLS data show the economy added 2.9 million jobs in the 12 months through March 2024, or an average of 242,000 per month. Even if the total revision is as high as a million, monthly job gains would average around 158,000 — still a healthy pace of hiring but a moderation from the post-pandemic peak.

Omair Sharif, president of Inflation Insights LLC, is optimistic the revision will end up toward the smaller end of the range of estimates, in part because QCEW data tend to be marked higher due to reporting lags.

Labor Risks
The preliminary revision may reignite the debate over whether the slowdown in the labor market risks a more abrupt downshift in the economy. Employers substantially scaled back hiring in July and the unemployment rate rose for a fourth straight month. While that contributed to a $6.4 trillion global market selloff, the S&P 500 has fully recovered.

“Markets, having recently experienced a growth scare that led to concerns that the Fed is behind the curve, will be monitoring Wednesday’s release of the benchmark revision to see if the market’s initial reaction was, in fact, correct,” said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial.

While other employment indicators have since reassured markets that the job market is on solid footing, policymakers are still highly expected to start lowering borrowing costs in September.


Powell and his colleagues have recently said they’re focusing more on the labor side of their dual mandate, and he’ll take the benchmark revisions into account in his Friday speech at the Fed’s annual symposium.

“While the payroll revisions due Wednesday have long been anticipated by the Fed, this will frame the atmospherics and will underline that the picture of strength in payrolls is not as vigorous as it had appeared in real time,” Evercore ISI analysts Krishna Guha and Marco Casiraghi said in a note Monday.

The government’s preliminary benchmark projection will be followed by final revisions that are incorporated into the January employment report to be released in February.

Birth-Death Model
For most of the recent years, monthly payroll data have been stronger than the QCEW figures. Some economists attribute that in part to the so-called birth-death model — an adjustment the BLS makes to the data to account for the net number of businesses opening and closing, but that might be off in the post-pandemic world.

What Bloomberg Economics Says...
“The factors that led to overstated job gains are still present. Adjusted for business birth-and-death distortions, payrolls for April and July 2024 are the most likely to be revised to close to zero — well below a pace consistent with a neutral unemployment rate.”

— Anna Wong

Ronnie Walker at Goldman Sachs says the QCEW figures are likely to overstate the moderation in employment growth because they will strip out up to half a million unauthorized immigrants that were included in the initial estimates.

“Since the QCEW is based on unemployment insurance records, it likely largely excludes unauthorized immigrants, who we believe have contributed strongly to employment growth over the last couple of years,” Walker wrote last week.

 

[Justsomecicada]

So are we gonna finally admit we are in a recession?

 

[Rimanah]

I'll point out the party that just spent 4 hours pushing abortion provided zero fixes to the high costs of living, zero plans to reduce the implied cost of casual sex, and in fact has made those things worse for decades. Buying a cure from the same people who gave you the disease in the first place is not a smart play.

To play Devils advocate, it’s not like the GOP writ large has proposed solutions which would engender (in the immediate/short term) that would remedy the issues pointed to either.

At a certain level, I think there’s an inherent tension between the generally free-market positions of the GOP and the Social Conservative positions. You can’t tell young people “get married and have more babies” but not do anything to remedy the problems currently preventing them from doing that. Nor does it make sense to say “well the market will fix it in the long term” and leave them with nothing but hope, promises, and rainbow stickers.

Edit: especially not when a lot of the people in charge of the markets and the culture are very much so opposed to those policies.

 

[StarkRavingMad]

So are we gonna finally admit we are in a recession?

The media will on January 21st, 2025 ... When Trump is back in office. They'll be "fair and balanced" enough to give him a full day of his Presidency, though.

 

[Spud]

I wouldn't worry about it, they tried to fill them but no one wanted to work those jobs. Something about wages idk.

 

[CaddestSlown]

But in regards to "weird food combos" that I enjoy ... Ice cream and french fries. Delicious.

How can you despise ketchup? It's the greatest condiment. I can understand mayo and french fries, but ice cream?

I don't think that that's too weird. It's why french fries and milkshakes are a killer combo flavorwise. It's just good. Mmmmmm. Salty and sweet can be very complimentary flavors, it's why saltwater taffy and Disney's Seasalt Icecream are even a thing.

Enough food sperging from me.

I’m still looking for the clip of the protester saying they take orders from hamas.

Here you go!

Weak attempt to change the subject: what ugly suit will the Chocolate Messiah wear, and what poorly-fitted dress will Big Mike wear to accentuate his musculature? What will they talk about?

I'll help, because it continued regardless, I think Kamala could pull off the Emerald City green suit look, it normally isn't a color worn, but it would at least be interesting and not the preferred beiges and washed out hues she wears. It could invoke a subtle sense of "wealth" that might make her seem a bit more respectable, and it would be a lot more daring and noteworthy.

Michelle (or Big Mike) rocking a turquoise could also be interesting, if she wants to really hide her wider feminine frame, it's about making your shoulders look smaller, so maybe something slimming in the shoulder area with details and accents at the waist or mid-torso to draw the eye away from the wideness. Vertical, never horizontal.

Happy very early afternoon, Kiwis. Day 2 of the DNC blackness orgy will be a fun time so long as we make it one!

 

[JambledUpWords]

That is a more than fair point, and I agree with you. Both deadbeat moms and deadbeat dads should be scrutinized and ridiculed until the end of time.

In my post, I was referring to very specific women ... The "shout your abortion" kind; the kind who just marched dressed up as abortion pills, holding signs saying "free abortions on demand."

Yeah, those types of women generally make women that want a realistic solution for abortion look ridiculous. They end up just hurting the cause they are trying to “help.” I really loathe those types of people and never could relate to them. They are more interested in abortions than actually preventing the need for abortions.