US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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And that's when it's time for one of Trump's people to kindly usher them all away from the tombstones. You surely don't let your guy pose with a giant grin and thumbs up in front of multiple tombstones of fallen soldiers during the burial. The right or wrong of it is irrelevant, the optics are what matter and sometimes grieving families could use a little rescuing themselves.

The reason this photo is such a meme is because everyone understands that it's inappropriate.

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Even if you disagree at best this whole thing is another unhelpful distraction that could've been easily avoided.
The optics of refusing a families invite would be worse.
 
The problem with polls is not that they reflect public opinion, but that they can shape it. All pollsters have their biases and agendas.

I take all polls with a grain of salt, even ones I want to be true. When they showed Trump ahead, I was still skeptical.

I tend to rely on the RCP average that collates the various pollsters. Even if Cameltoe is ahead, it's a razor-thin lead, and there are still 2 months to go.

It ain't over till it's over.

ETA: Case-in-point:
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One, this is from Nate Silver, the Jim Cramer of polling.

Two, if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.
How is Kamala under Trump on win percent but over on predicted EV's?
 
And that's when it's time for one of Trump's people to kindly usher them all away from the tombstones. You surely don't let your guy pose with a giant grin and thumbs up in front of multiple tombstones of fallen soldiers during the burial. The right or wrong of it is irrelevant, the optics are what matter and sometimes grieving families could use a little rescuing themselves.

The reason this photo is such a meme is because everyone understands that it's inappropriate.

View attachment 6363941

Even if you disagree at best this whole thing is another unhelpful distraction that could've been easily avoided.
It's a nice distraction away from cumala interview but more they push TDS to the public, the more FUCK you vote comes to trump once again.

Edit: it looks like Trump is hitting the local news more than national news which appeals to large cosmopolitan cities anyway. Trump town hall was extremely well covered by the local media.
 
We shouldn't shy away from uncomfortable data but rather challenge it and overcome issues.
See that's the thing. Have the polls significantly changed (really, I know the numbers are different now) among people? I really think they have, they swung in the opposite direction and it's a big reason why I see polls as information to be completely discarded. Maybe at some point they had some validity, but the opportunity to use statistical fallacies to generate positive press coverage is too tempting of a proposition to pass up.

When the math doesn't reflect reality, you're absolutely right to challenge it. I don't even see where the issue is. Normies aren't buying this shit unless they're terminally online and pozzed beyond any hope of redemption. They'll lie to themselves every time they see Trump and Vance fill out stadiums while Harris and dickweed have to put up curtains and pull out the image generation ML magic to trick the public into a false sense of overwhelming support at the same fucking stadium.

Nobody likes the wine aunt and they can't hide that fact forever. A benefit is that the few people left that believe these stupid fake and gay poll numbers are going to get so assblasted come November as long as no election night shenanigans 3AM ballot drops fuck it all up. :optimistic:
 
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they where retarded then and are retarded now. If you trust any poll post 2016 it’s time to get off election twitter and wake the fuck up.
The public polls exist to shape a narrative. There is no value to the people doing them otherwise.

Private internal polling by the campaigns is the one that has an actual desire for accuracy to inform policy. The dems and Reps will know which ones gives accurate data and they dont share that data.

The public polls on Biden were to get him to drop out. He didnt get the hint. All those polls also had Kamala doing way worse than Biden because Bidens camp was playing the "you dont have anyone better" and for the people trying to oust Biden to not have Kamala be the replacement. He didnt get the hint and so they did an early debate.

Now its Kamala ahead.

Does Kamalas behavior say she is ahead? One could argue her hide strategy makes sense if she is ahead in her internal polling and taking "generic dem" as her voting pool. What is she doing that shows a strategy pivot?
 
Apparently a Venezuelan gang has now taken over several apartment complexes in Aurora, Colorado, and have taken over charging the rent. Landlord can't do anything since they are heavily armed. 😆

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This is actually extremely xenophobic and stereotypes the experience of millions of BIPOC LGBTQ+ immigrants and the challenges they face every day.
 
See that's the thing. Have the polls significantly changed (really, I know the numbers are different now) among people? I really think they have, they swung in the opposite direction and it's a big reason why I see polls as information to be completely discarded. Maybe at some point they had some validity, but the opportunity to use statistical fallacies to generate positive press coverage is too tempting of a proposition to pass up.

When the math doesn't reflect reality, you're absolutely right to challenge it. I don't even see where the issue is. Normies aren't buying this shit unless they're terminally online and pozzed beyond any hope of redemption. They'll lie to themselves every time they see Trump and Vance fill out stadiums while Harris and dickweed have to put up curtains and pull out the image generation ML magic to trick the public into a false sense of overwhelming support at the same fucking stadium.

Nobody likes the wine aunt and they can't hide that fact forever. A benefit is that the few people left that believe these stupid fake and gay poll numbers are going to get so assblasted come November as long as no election night shenanigans 3AM ballot drops fuck it all up. :optimistic:
The best and most accurate poll is always the state of your wallet. Everyone will throw the joy out of the window the moment they missed two meals because they couldn't afford them.
 
How is Kamala under Trump on win percent but over on predicted EV's?
Because public polls are to shape narratives. In this case Nate cant say Kamala isnt popular. Dems would exile him. But part of him thinks Trump might win.

So he gets to the evil electoral college (which Dems hate) as the reason Orange Man will win.

I can guarantee you that if Trump wins the electoral college they will find enough mail ins from New York and Cali to make sure he wont win the popular vote.
 
See that's the thing. Have the polls significantly changed (really, I know the numbers are different now) among people? I really think they have, they swung in the opposite direction and it's a big reason why I see polls as information to be completely discarded. Maybe at some point they had some validity, but the opportunity to use statistical fallacies to generate positive press coverage is too tempting of a proposition to pass up.

When the math doesn't reflect reality, you're absolutely right to challenge it. I don't even see where the issue is. Normies aren't buying this shit unless they're terminally online and pozzed beyond any hope of redemption. They'll lie to themselves every time they see Trump and Vance fill out stadiums while Harris and dickweed have to put up curtains and pull out the image generation ML magic to trick the public into a false sense of overwhelming support at the same fucking stadium.

Nobody likes the wine aunt and they can't hide that fact forever. A benefit is that the few people left that believe these stupid fake and gay poll numbers are going to get so assblasted come November as long as no election night shenanigans 3AM ballot drops fuck it all up. :optimistic:
They also haven't gone head-to-head yet. The DNC was only last week.

I'm not saying "Trust The Plan", but I am saying we know what tends to happen when this Potemkin regime and its carefully curated image encounter a stiff breeze of real scrutiny.
 
How is Kamala under Trump on win percent but over on predicted EV's?
He does simulations so I'm guessing it's that she wins the Electoral College by a much wider margin in the more extreme of the sims she wins than Trump does. It makes sense since she'll always have CA and NY while in crazy Kamala-skewed sims they would flip states like TX and FL which are pretty safe Red but have a better chance of flipping than CA and NY.

It's kind like Pythagorean Record in baseball - if you lose a lot of blowouts and win a lot of close games, just looking at Runs Scored vs. Runs Against doesn't accurately predict what your team's record will be.
 
See that's the thing. Have the polls significantly changed (really, I know the numbers are different now) among people? I really think they have, they swung in the opposite direction and it's a big reason why I see polls as information to be completely discarded. Maybe at some point they had some validity, but the opportunity to use statistical fallacies to generate positive press coverage is too tempting of a proposition to pass up.
This. The reality is, what I've been telling all my friends and family years ago has come to pass. You can't rig an election when everyone hates you. Everyone HATES Kamala. Obama hates her, Pelosi hates her, and they've been very outspoken about this. The Uniparty is in complete disarray over what to do and their only choice has been to go into full overdrive and go full Running Man tier propaganda. Kamala can't come out because her brain is about as bad as Biden's is. Arguably just as broken. They'll lose what little fanfare they have if this comes out. Hence her basement hiding. They're covering for Walz's ass daily. Every day something new and heinous comes out that Walz did or tried to do. He's the most baggage filled VP candidate in modern history and the worst pick they could've possibly gone with. FFS Hillary would've been better.

The polls are all fake. The media is fake. They're trying to fake as much as they can to make it seem like Kamala has support. She has none. Even in the bluest of blue areas, Trump flags are going up. Don Lemon's getting laughed out of New Jersey. Nobody is buying their shit anymore.

So what's the plan? It's been my pet theory for years that the reality is these major cities have been red and purple for a very long time but the Uniparty has been doing their election fortification here the hardest. The reality is the corruption in US cities far exceeds what anyone currently believes. I think the Uniparty would've been ousted by now had these cities not been fortifying their elections for so long.

That being said, their only path out of this mess is narrative control. Texas is having all those illegals register to vote. Texas flips blue, and suddenly Trump can't win. The news will run this narrative everywhere: "Well it's all those pesky Californians who moved to Texas. They voted blue. :)". Don't buy it. It's a lie. The people that left California aren't voting for the same garbage they left to get away from. Just like the immigrants who come to this country REFUSE to vote for Democrat Communists because they see the writing on the wall. They're going to use the California Exodus as the narrative to propaganda away a Kamala victory. Don't let them get away with it. Tell everyone you know.
 
Regarding Harris and the border:

This was her position in 2020.
Question:
Should someone who is here without documents, and that is his only offense, should that person be deported?
Kamala Harris:
I will say no, absolutely not. They should not be deported.

Her position now on the bipartisan border bill:
Not only push it. I will make sure that it comes to my desk and I would sign it.

So she is against deportations of illegal aliens unless they commit another criminal offense but now she supports a bill that has deportations as a logical consequence of failing an asylum hearing.

Otherwise, if Harris isn't going to deport those that fail an asylum hearing or just doesn't attend then how is that not just open borders?

Now an objection might be that well it's not technically open borders but it's getting pretty fucking close.

Kamala already supports giving them health insurance:

So they can't be deported and now can receive health insurance that will be tax payer subsidized.
 
kamala_flip_flop-interview-CNN-1536x1327.jpg

Kamala Harris Flip Flops

Cartoon published 08/30/2024

Kamala Harris finally had her first interview on CNN. She brought along Tim Walz to bolster her confidence like some type of emotional support dog.

Her bumbling interview on CNN was cut short and edited. Kamala can’t hide the fact that she’s a moron. Even Democrat partisan ‘journalist’ Dana Bash could not help her. Dana did her best by leading Kamala with possible answers but Kamala wandered off into the bushes. It’s hard to believe that someone such as Kamala is a step away from the presidency. She’d be better suited making fries at McDonald’s. Oh, and she lied about working at McDonalds too.


Harris claimed she is sticking with her ‘values’ while claiming credit for the disastrous Bidenomics. At the same time, she claimed to be tough on the border and the green energy scam was helping America combat climate change. She blamed the economic downturn on Trump and the pandemic.



Kamala will shamelessly flip flop and say anything to help her cause. She will adopt and simultaneously reject any policy if it helps her election chances, but if she does get elected (probably by means of mass election fraud) she will quickly revert back to her Marxist values. Remember, she is further left than Bernie Sanders.

Meanwhile, look for Kamala’s handlers to put her back on ice until her debate with Trump. The Democrats will be forced to put her in the basement—just like they did with Biden.

Will that strategy work again?

— The GrrrTeam
 
The scientific world has been stagnant for two decades. As Thunderfoot would know in person. Nobody invests in the new advancement to humanity, they just want new drugs for existing diseases, the next version of the iPhone, and a new way to make their overlords money.

The beginnings of the Agile development methodology, in which you're forever "sprinting" and can only iterate endlessly on the same thing, occurred in 2001.

The entire structure of how new products are developed and brought to market now relies on a set of assumptions that is incredibly biased toward "continuous improvement" (aka squeezing a little more money out of customers) and calling that "innovation," rather than actually innovating new technologies and considering how to change people's lives for the better.

Apple came up with the iphone in 2008 and very shortly thereafter went to an Agile scrum methodology. They haven't come up with anything new or innovative ever since. It's seriously a death knell for rapid development, to the point where I sometimes wonder if it's some kind of psyop to slow down the pace of technological change.
 
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