US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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GunCar Gary said:
recent MorningConsult poll has Kamala +3, but also Trump getting 20% of the black vote and 45% of the youth vote. interesting

edit: also the poll source notes that at this same time in 2020 they had Biden up +8 among LV

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That’s interesting, but I also think at least one of their findings is wrong. I simply don’t see a world where trump wins record numbers with blacks and young people, and yet also loses the election, general or electoral college wise
 
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Nuns with guns said:
This guy is predicting Kamala will win, but I don’t agree with some of his keys, particularly economy. It’s a WSJ video so it’s DNC propaganda at the end of the day.

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Pretty decent prediction. I'm of the opinion that she'll win. Remember, the "generic Democrat" poll question from about a year ago?

Harris gets to be the blank slate Democrat free from ANY Biden baggage plus ORANGE MAN BAD.

Trump is also the master of the Own Goal and saying the most idiotic shit ever when he doesn't need to.

Harris says it because she's a dumbass. Trump says it because he can't help himself.
 
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Rimanah said:
That’s interesting, but I also think at least one of their findings is wrong. I simply don’t see a world where trump wins record numbers with blacks and young people, and yet also loses the election, general or electoral college wise
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To be fair I cant imagine anyone but the most brain dead checked out npc to vote for kamala. I am prepared to be unpleasantly surprised though because my pessimism is strong.
 
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CarlKingofDucks said:
To be fair I cant imagine anyone but the most brain dead checked out npc to vote for kamala. I am prepared to be unpleasantly surprised though because my pessimism is strong.
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> gaslight the american people for 4 years about how the president doesn't have dementia > when it gets too obvious joe is deep state puppet for the american people to vote for him force him to get out of the race > the first economic policy you come out with is communism > refuse to do unscripted non-deep state edited interview > refuse to do debate with trump on fox even though trump has done debates on cnn > reverse all your major policy positions before said interview > in said interview say you are just as radical as before > your whole platform is built on racial and gender politics > your whole career before politics was putting black people in jail for weed > you sucked off a rapper to get that job >

I have no idea how the deep state is convincing anyone to vote for her. You have to be severely brainwashed to the point where you don't believe your own brain cells, eyes, and ears anymore to ignore all of this.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
clearly a waste of money
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We dump more taxpayer money into public school to the point where it is unironically cheaper for the taxpayer to send kids to private schools instead, yet despite the amount of money we dump in public schools that increase every year, our kids don't really do much better in testing. In fact, some of these school districts the kids have gotten more retarded the more money is shoveled in. The private schools sometimes have standards to get into, that is why their SAT scores are higher. Why the fuck are we trying to gaslight ourselves into believing more money = higher standardized test scores. Before the early 2000s, MENSA used the SAT as a subsitute for IQ. Then they changed the test to make it more fair I guess. You take 100 8 year old kids put them in a room, tell them to write down how many letters they can think of that starts with the letter N, and then compare the SAT scores of these kids later, it turns out the majority of the kids that were able to get more letters down have a higher SAT than everyone else, and probably IQ as well. This equality of outcome bullshit is the problem. You can't make people equal. There are lazy fucks, lazy fucks with high iq's, lazy fucks with low iq's, smart fucks that work hard, and low iq fucks that work hard. Although I will say, some of the kids who have lower iq points can certainly outpreform kids with higher IQ on the SAT if they just work. Mainly because high school math and writing doesn't require many IQ points. IQ isn't everything. There's also concieniousness. These are personality traits of people they are born with, and will inheriently affect their life so that the ones that get god's preference are more likely to succeed. There is litteral zero excuse to do shittily in school with the invention of the internet. All this shit is free online to learn.
 
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Has the farms heard of third party candidate Peter Sonski? I saw him mentioned in the comments on some political videos, including this Catholic channel.
The host even endorsed him.
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He is running on a Christian democracy platform. I think he's socially conservative and fiscally liberal. I wonder if he can get angry pro-lifers on board.

Jade Philosophies said:
Do you really think Mitch McConnell is going to make it to 2027?? 🤨

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Cocaine Mitch only cares about his China family.
 
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Francis York Morgan said:
Lichtmann's "keys" are about as valid as horoscopes. He will stretch/"revise" them to fit the results when he doesn't forecast properly in order to keep his record and TV talking head appearances.
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He'll also adjust his predictions up to the election day so he ends up right in the end. Silver will do the same. Nobody knows shit about fuck.

Those "keys" are so wildly subjective as to be meaningless as far as predictive metrics.

Feeling the zeitgeist is not a science, and dems are doing anything possible to ignore the culture screaming to get away from their decaying party. They have failed to self-police and let the lunatics run the asylum. They have had an election period where the sitting president of the United States dropped out of the election when they could no longer hide his dementia. They replaced him with someone who cannot speak coherently and is largely despised.

All they have to rely on is TDS, and as I've stated before, less people have it each day. There's no new people that think Trump is the devil. There's only people that are begrudgingly or otherwise moving to his side.

I truly don't believe Kamala wins this in a fair election. I feel and see Trump reaching the audiences he needs to. The left needs to be punished in order for them to correct toward a functioning party.
 
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Egg McMuffin said:
I agree with Frank Luntz's opinion that the debate is everything right now. I predict a narrow Trump victory, but with a breakout debate performance he can win by a decent margin, but if he fails to pull it off, Harris might win.
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That's my call too. And I said pages ago that this will be one of the most decisive debates in modern history (except that last one which wrecked Biden). If the mods start arguing with Trump he could be screwed, like that 2020 one with Chris Wallace.

He's actually been very chill lately, maybe getting shot really did change him. I expect her to also do almost no laughing and be very serious.

It's insane there's only thing one too, blah.
 
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mlanguishi said:
If the mods start arguing with Trump he could be screwed, like that 2020 one with Chris Wallace.
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That could play well to Trump if he keeps his head. He used his time on the CNN debate to refute what Biden said instead of answering the moderator more than once. If they're blatant with their bias for Kamala and Trump still manages to keep a cool head, he's going to look good.

As for Kamala performing well, has she ever? Debates have historically been a sore spot for her. Friendly interviews are even received negatively.

Nobody is dreading this debate more than Kamala Harris. Trump just needs to stay on task and not fucking ramble about how great he is incessantly. I pray somebody tells him to tone that down.

Show everyone she's full of shit, show how you were and will be far better. Get this psychotic cunt away from the nuclear football, for the love of God.
 
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mlanguishi said:
That's my call too. And I said pages ago that this will be one of the most decisive debates in modern history (except that last one which wrecked Biden). If the mods start arguing with Trump he could be screwed, like that 2020 one with Chris Wallace.

He's actually been very chill lately, maybe getting shot really did change him. I expect her to also do almost no laughing and be very serious.

It's insane there's only thing one too, blah.
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100 percent on a side note I was reading Frank Luntz Wikipedia page, and he had a stroke, but instead of blaming it on his obesity, he blamed it on stress from Trump.
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The shooting very obviously changed him. Hard not to have a Jesus moment when a head turn and some rifle accuracy RNG was the difference between his iconic fist pump picture and his brains being sprayed all over the audience.

He also simply mellowed out over the years. I think he realizes he can still possess his goofy living shitpost branding while still adopting just a pinch of chill.
 
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