Hurricane Helene / Invest 97L

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mindlessobserver said:
Why? They aren't even in the cone of uncertainty
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Storm surge predicted there is a few feet, may be it. I'm not too familiar with when a population should be concerned about storm surge though. The evacuation order also probably has people antsy, but they're panicking way more than the panhandle directly in the path are... entire system is huge, so beyond the surge, rain may be a concern. I'm not too sure myself.
 
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Helene intensified into a Cat 1 hurricane this morning. It's been battling some dry air intrusions recently, but I doubt it will have any significant affect. Hurricane Michael in 2018 had similar issues early in development & still exploded into a Cat 5.
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As for track, there hasn't been much shift since the first forecasts last weekend. The rumored eastward shift towards Tampa never happened, with every model dead set on a landfall near Apalachicola and Tallahassee:
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Apalachee Bay is notoriously bad for storm surge flooding, as most of the coast there is a swampy shithole with lots of river inlets to act as funnels for surge. Places like St. Marks and Shell Point are likely completely fucked if the current forecasts holds.
 
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More updates. The wind field on this bitch is massive. May put it into the top 10 of all time.

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Look at the Inland alerts. Look at them! As of 9 PM EST, everything as far north as Macon, Georgia is under a Hurricane Warning. Tropical Storm Warnings now extend as far north as Charlotte, North Carolina.

People are going to start experiencing storm surge and hurricane winds at least half a day before land fall. Man this bitch is Thicc.
 
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mindlessobserver said:
If you live on the Panhandle Coast and are not getting ready to bug out in the next 12 hours you get what you fucking deserve.
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In 2018 hurricane Michael wrecked their shit hard. There's likely some ride or die Floridians there who are either prepared to the teeth or are ready to die with the storm but most likely fucked off. They're the most hurricane prone area. Only new naive people and people too poor to travel would likely be left vunerable.

Besides, there's not many people in there compared to the rest of Florida.
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There's going to sadly be a lot of damage, but at least most people aren't going to be there. There will be more chaos in places like Atlanta where it floods due to population density. If something big hit Miami, that would be more chaotic in human shuffling and stupidity.


As usual fellow Floridians, see you on the other side. Hope all you got your water, beer, dry goods, and generator power stocked up. :semperfidelis:
 
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AMHOLIO said:
There's going to sadly be a lot of damage, but at least most people aren't going to be there. There will be more chaos in places like Atlanta
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I'm cautiously hype for Atlanta. There is a chance this bitch plows into the coast at full speed on a direct course for that shit hole. With how big it's wind field is, there a good probably the entire metro area comes under sustained hurricane force winds. Guarantee they are not prepared for that level of region wide impact.
 
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11 EST update from NOAA.

Catastrophic effects. Evacuate now. All preparations must be rushed to completion.

The Hurricane is on a direct north path to the Florida Panhandle, where it will then curve over Northwest Georgia and into the Tennessee Valley.

Tropical Storm force winds extend 345 Miles from the eye at the current point.

Storm surge up to 20 feet.

12-18 inches of rain expected to be dumped on the Appalachian Mountains. People in Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia and North Carolina in flood zones tied to Appalachian sourced rivers and creeks to make immediate preparations.

Significant urban flooding in the above states is expected.

Storm is presently a Category 1 hurricane.

 
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Nameless One said:
I hope it doesn't displace the niggers to scatter about Georgia like cockroaches. I quite like the rural lands.
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The post-Katrina niggerspora and its consequences have been a disaster for the Gulf Coast. The possibility of a second wave should scare people way more than any single stupid hurricane.
mindlessobserver said:
11 EST update from NOAA.

Catastrophic effects. Evacuate now. All preparations must be rushed to completion.

The Hurricane is on a direct north path to the Florida Panhandle, where it will then curve over Northwest Georgia and into the Tennessee Valley.

Tropical Storm force winds extend 345 Miles from the eye at the current point.

Storm surge up to 20 feet.

12-18 inches of rain expected to be dumped on the Appalachian Mountains. People in Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia and North Carolina in flood zones tied to Appalachian sourced rivers and creeks to make immediate preparations.

Significant urban flooding in the above states is expected.

Storm is presently a Category 1 hurricane.

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This post made me laugh because my immediate mental response was "Dude, it's just a hurricane." It goes to show how a few decades of cozy hurrications can make you complacent. My own hurricane memories mainly consist of getting my ass beat in Monopoly and the smell of kerosene lamps. Hopefully all the concern ends up being unwarranted, but I'd be retarded to assume that general infrastructure and hurricane preparedness have somehow improved since those days.

Personally I'm relieved that Helene isn't dragging ass. I consider the slower ones to be the most dangerous in basically every respect, and less time spent getting stronger in the Gulf is a good thing.
 
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Bob's Fuckass Head said:
This post made me laugh because my immediate mental response was "Dude, it's just a hurricane." It goes to show how a few decades of cozy hurrications can make you complacent.
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I'm an unapologetic hurricane autist. Been watching them for years. This one is giving off the bad juju. It reminds me alot like Katrina. Katrina entered the central gulf as a category 1 let's not forget and it went ashore as a Cat 3.

Helene is very similar in wind field size, but it's speed means it will hit during its intensification period. Katrina was slow so while it hit Cat 5 on approach it's eye wall collapsed prior to land fall. It still brought hell with it in storm surge which was recorded as high as 28 feet.

So helene is not there yet, but at 20 feet it's already pushing pretty close and the forecast is still early. I would take this one seriously.

*edit*

It's important to remember that part of what allows front line States like Florida to quickly rebound from Hurricane strikes is other States being able to send help in the form of electric utility support and wat not. Helene is setting up to carve an absolute wrecking ball from the Florida Panhandle up to Ohio. States North of Florida may find themselves swamped with their own domestic issues. Meaning even if you just lose power, you won't have power for weeks.

It took Lousiana over a month to get the lights back on from Katrina.
 
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