Hurricane Milton

[#FF0000]

What is a CDE ring for those of us that do not deal much with hurricanes?

It was a typo and he meant CDG, but it's a ring inside the hurricane of very cold cloud tops, which is only seen in the absolute upper echelon of hurricanes.

 

[Disaffected Coyote]

Is it still possible though that the rapid intensification may lead to the equally rapid loss of steam some of the models showed? I'm not a meteorologist but it seems like the sheer force of winds being concentrated and the length it has to go would actually put it at more risk of spreading itself out further and weakening a bit before landfall. But then again this bastard has defied logic and models thus far.

The rapid loss of wind speed is from a large and powerful stream of wind shear.



As Milton moves into the red area, the strong wind shear will be pushing against the rotation of the storm.

What needs to be clear though, this "weakening" will NOT mean the storm is less dangerous. As the shear interacts with Milton, the storm is going to grow much larger. The amount of water being pushed towards the coast is going to increase as this happens.

Milton will destroy the South West coast

 

[mindlessobserver]

And by cold, we mean -100 degrees Commie Units. The storm is so powerful, it has quite literally sucked all the free heat out of the upper atmosphere due to its intense convection.

 

[Smyrna]

Is it still possible though that the rapid intensification may lead to the equally rapid loss of steam some of the models showed? I'm not a meteorologist but it seems like the sheer force of winds being concentrated and the length it has to go would actually put it at more risk of spreading itself out further and weakening a bit before landfall. But then again this bastard has defied logic and models thus far.

Milton's current strength doesn't bear much of a relationship with his future strength, but his relatively small size will have an effect - a smaller core circulation is much easier for either wind shear or dry air (or both) to disrupt. I remember a hurricane from 2020 (possibly Delta) which also had a small core and spun up very quickly - it became a category 4 hurricane in the Caribbean Sea and looked very threatening to Cancun. But just a little wind shear was able to disrupt the core, break the eyewall, and brought it crashing back to category 2 before reaching Mexico.

There will definitely be wind shear in Milton's future as pretty much all of the northern Gulf of Mexico is under a minimum of 40 knots of it right now (anything more than 25 knots is usually bad for the health of tropical cyclones). And this shear should take Milton a peg or two - it's why the current forecast has him making landfall at 'only' category 3.

One other factor that will affect Milton's winds are eyewall replacement cycles. And Florida might get very lucky - he might get stuck in the middle of a cycle which (if it happens) would weaken him a bit and also stop him from gaining the strength back. This happened to Florence in 2018, which got stuck in a cycle and weakened considerably on approach to North Carolina. Lots of rain, but only category 1 winds. However, if he completes any cycles, one side effect will be that the winds will fan out over a larger area and the core will grow bigger and will, in theory, be much harder to disrupt. It will also allow for more water to be piled into the surge.

 

[Sithis]

I know this is the wrong way to try to be optimistic but given its current location, track and strength, yeah it's almost certain this thing is going to unearth some shipwrecks that haven't seen the light of day in hundreds of years. It's carving right through one of the courses the Spanish used to take between their colonial territories as well as the area where Spanish treasure fleet ships were thought to have went down on the other side of the state in 1715. Hopefully the survivors are able to scuttle up some gold coins before the casual looters show up.

 

[Anonitolia]

Seriously concerned that this is going to be much worse than people are predicting

I HATE BEING RIGHT I HATE BEING RIGHT

 

[#FF0000]

THERE HE IS!
Link

 

[Equal Rights for Androids]

View attachment 6497317
THERE HE IS!
Link

How often does that map refresh globally?

 

[#FF0000]

How often does that map refresh globally?

Updates about every second. It's fast. You only get the position though, and not the windspeed/recon data. Here's a link to the recon data that updates every 10 minutes.

 

[Anakin Soywalker]

This takes me back to the hurricane season of 2024, where we had like 4 systems hit in a month.

Time traveler or retard?

 

[GunCar Gary]

View attachment 6497175

i'm tired of living through historical events, boss

 

[moocow]

View attachment 6497317
THERE HE IS!
Link

I still have no idea how those airplanes can muster enough power to get off the ground with all the gigantic brass balls the pilots and crew carry onboard with them.

Seriously though, those are some of the bravest human beings living on this planet and their efforts are directly responsible for saving lives on the ground because of how timely their measurements and observations are. Semper-fucking-Fi, lads.

And props (no pun intended) to those aircraft, too. Incredible feat of human engineering that they can fly into those storms and come back home in one piece.

 

[#FF0000]

Well shit.

 

[Velanna]

Time traveler or retard?

Por que no Los dos?

I meant 2004 lol

 

[not william stenchever]

Can they shoot it with really big missile

They CAN, but it’d help about as much as spitting at it or calling it a mean name.

Our boy Milton is a monster
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View attachment 6496527View attachment 6496532

Hoping it drifts closer to the Yucatan and weakens there.

A missile, nuclear or conventional, won't do it but perhaps Ralph will do the needful and stop this hurricane with the immeasurable weight of his gunt.

 

[#FF0000]

NHC website is back. Probably a temporary outage from too much traffic. Good thing it didn't last for too long.

 

[Autistic Gunspergings]

Disney adults about to get BTFO'd and have a crying meltdown on TikTok.

imagining this shit getting more attention than helene because the Disney fans start causing a stink online

 

[Anonitolia]

10th worst of all time (in the Atlantic) by pressure

 

[not william stenchever]

Fuck my life, lads, I'm in Tampa. House is cement block so it should withstand the storm and I'm not in a flood prone area, but I'm still a bit fuckin nervous. We're boarding up but I don't know if it'll be enough.

Same here, no flood no evac zone! I thought about flying back "home" back on Saturday but I didn't know if work would be canceled for Monday. I'm starting to regret that...

Godspeed and may Sneed smile upon you, fellow retards.

 

[#FF0000]

Godspeed.