US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

 

[Fatpacks]

What the FUCK is with you doomniggers? Fox aired a porno last night with Kamala getting railed harder than ram ranch last night and you still think it's so over??? Jump off a cliff and die you negroids of low intelligence.

The interview doesn't matter because they already fortified the election. Georgia will still rig just as hard as it did in 2020 and Michigan now has 500,000 harvested/fake ballots.

 

[Blewberry Nausea]

Tim Walz on the Univision town hall.

 

[pwnest injun]

It's nice that the Libertarian party seems to be completely dead now. They certainly cost a lot of close elections for the GOP. The greens though have done overall way more damage to the DNC.

Trying to count protest votes as anything besides protest votes is stupid, no matter which team is doing it.

 

[Fapcop]

Read em and weep:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Umass_Lowell_PA_Oct.pdfhttps://www.wsj.com/politics/electi...e-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414?mod=hp_lead_pos1

Two must-win states for Trump are on the chopping block. The other states don’t even matter at this point. This is why we see Kamala redirecting funds to Pennsylvania. She is sealing the deal.
.

This isn’t the win you think it is.

The Realclearpolitics poll:
Notice the big majority of independents who disapprove of Biden’s performance, and how closely they perceive Kamala to be tied to Biden.

This election will be decided by whether people think they’re worse or better off than four years ago.

Not hypothetical abortion bans, that the voters remember Trump didn’t push through in his first term.

 

[Absolutego]

The interview doesn't matter because they already fortified the election. Georgia will still rig just as hard as it did in 2020 and Michigan now has 500,000 harvested/fake ballots.

Georgia literally lost the MLB all-star game because their voting reforms freaked the DNC and media out.
Go be a Negative Nancy back on whatever shitty imageboard you sought refuge from.

 

[Sprocket]

View attachment 6533646
What the FUCK is with you doomniggers? Fox aired a porno last night with Kamala getting railed harder than ram ranch last night and you still think it's so over??? Jump off a cliff and die you negroids of low intelligence.

Yep. Your elections will be totally fair and totally not fixed.

 

[Spasticus Autisticus]

Read em and weep:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/Umass_Lowell_PA_Oct.pdfhttps://www.wsj.com/politics/electi...e-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414?mod=hp_lead_pos1

Two must-win states for Trump are on the chopping block. The other states don’t even matter at this point. This is why we see Kamala redirecting funds to Pennsylvania. She is sealing the deal.

Let’s step away from the presidency. The Republicans can’t even win senate races in Arizona and Ohio! The RNC is falling apart.

I don't even know why I'm bothering to respond to this, but...

A Harris +1 from YouGov, one of the worst pollsters, where they don't even release their party ID and didn't force undecideds to choose? Oh dear, yes it's very much over. Drumpf is finally done.

At this rate at least half the regular posters in this thread are going to end up on my ignore list.

 

[barrow greeter]

I'm just going to post today's RCP averages for the battlegrounds and choose to continue to have a nice day. Have a nice day, everyone.

 

[Hollywood Hulk Hogan]

They haven't though. The Nader reference is that the DNC and media constantly blame him and the Greens for losing in 2000, inconvenienced by the reality that substantially more Democrats swung to Bush than voted for Nader in that state.

Funny thing is that the policy positions of both Gore and Bush were extremely similar for the most part. Gore was also the most boring candidate we ever had, rivaled only by John Kerry

 

[WelperHelper99]

The interview doesn't matter because they already fortified the election. Georgia will still rig just as hard as it did in 2020 and Michigan now has 500,000 harvested/fake ballots.

Brother I filled out my ballot last night. There ain't nobody on that list stopping Trump, Kamala included. If it's so over, suck start a shotgun already. Shut the fuck up!

 

[Anasûrimbor Kellhus]

It's nice that the Libertarian party seems to be completely dead now. They certainly cost a lot of close elections for the GOP. The greens though have done overall way more damage to the DNC.

good riddance too even when I was a libertarian I always hated those fucks. They went from "republicans who smoke weed" to "progressives that want slightly lower corpo tax rates". I see they did a real number this year too with that mask wearing faggot

I can respect Jill stein in that while she's bonkers she's at least exactly what you'd expect a principled green party member looks and sounds like, can't say the same for the LP. Disgrace to libertarianism.

 

[FedPostalService]

We're gonna be seeing alot of dead Republican voters next month. The enthusiasm for Trump is crashing and burning at record pace.

Sorry, but when people die they exclusively vote Democrat.

 

[“Token” the Neigermiester]

I’m honestly sick of celebrities lecturing me.

Who gives a shit about whether he’s a “tough guy” or not? What about policy, asswipe?

I personally find it endearing to him. Nothing wrong with being a little apprehensive. And he speaks as if he wasn’t SHOT AT AND NEARLY KILLED BY A CRACKPOT.

Fight! Fight! Fight!

That’s all that comes to mind when the word tough, and Trump’s name comes up.

I find it very damning about the state of politics in our time… Well that, and the big ol’ $123.5 Trillion gov’t debt we’re in (unfunded and obligated debt included).

 

[Absolutego]

Funny thing is that the policy positions of both Gore and Bush were extremely similar for the most part. Gore was also the most boring candidate we ever had, rivaled only by John Kerry

Gore was an unholy fusion of the worst kind of Moral Majority politics and just the most milquetoast, "end of history" 90's uniparty slop.
I contend, though, that 2012's Obama vs. Romney might actually be the narrowest difference between policy of candidates we've had, at least post-Nixon. The foreign policy debate was nothing but arguing who could bomb ISIS harder and Obama dunking on Romney for not liking Russia, in a take that aged extremely poorly.

 

[HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS]

View attachment 6533666

I'm just going to post today's RCP averages for the battlegrounds and choose to continue to have a nice day. Have a nice day, everyone.

538 almost 50/50.

loooooool

 

[holyhandgrenade]

preddit has been running major damage control for the fox interview all day they posted this article where baier says that Kamala wanted a drumpf bad soundbite and got it as him saying that she did damage to drumpf

Fox News anchor Bret Baier admits Kamala Harris did damage to Trump: ‘She was on a mission’​

https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/10/fox-news-anchor-bret-baier-admits-kamala-harris-did-damage-to-trump-she-was-on-a-mission.html

his actual quote
“I think she had a mission that she wanted to do,” Baier said after the interview. “Maybe she wanted to have a viral moment or pushback. She came to Fox News and she wanted to have a go-after-Donald-Trump viral moment that plays on a lot of other channels and on social media. She may have gotten that.”

 

[Nottafed]

I swear, tagging the Hulkster should mean you eat a threadban, it just brings out all the tism. Worse than usual, I mean.

I might not agree with the guy on politics, but I don't go out of my way to needle the guy...

Assuming there's a new thread next month, I wholeheartedly support this.

 

[COME ON OUT YOU RAPIST]

Assuming there's a new thread next month, I wholeheartedly support this.

But we should still allow him to post as abrasively as always. At this point just give him mod powers, he's so protected class.

 

[Sargon's wife's son]

It's the electoral college. There's states that swing more one way than the other. As one candidate appeals to the more independent voters, more states will skew that way. Pennsylvania just happens to be the one that is smack dab in the middle, so they usually determine the winner. Electoral college is pretty retarded since it means candidates only go to the swing states, but it is what it is.

You're white people should campaign on the popular vote I'm campaigning in New York Texas Pennsylvania Florida and California everyone else can get bent.
Someone should tell the holster that we are a federation of smaller states every state is meant to be a semi autonomous independent country

 

[Spasticus Autisticus]

They do, though.

If the market on one site is skewed, people on the others will follow suit. Even options contracts can be skewed by a rich person. Obviously the stock market has a lot more action total but on a low interest security contract it could absolutely happen. It's kind of how pump and dumps happen, only no dump has happened here (yet, maybe)

I interpreted your post to mean that the political betting markets are themselves are setting odds like sports books do. I disagree with the idea that these can be "skewed" since someone has to be the counterparty to the contract. If some whale is Bossmanjacking it on bets like Trump 90% and actually getting matched then obviously someone else thinks that the other side is a good deal. In an earlier post on this topic I noted that PredictIt has limits on the number of participants in a contract and their bet sizes. This makes their market inefficient and causes a decoupling of their prices with the other markets.