US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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I think you make an interesting point actually, this could easily be the final map:

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or this:

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or he loses Georgia/North Carolina and gains one of the rust belts. So many scenarios, I think the idea that he is very likely to win are exagerrated. We know that if everyone saw the truth that he would win but that's not how elections work in America.

As for the popular vote he could be 2 points behind in the national polls and still win fairly comfortably.
Trump momentum stalled how, faggot?

He has record turnout in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Record turnout in Virginia

Record turnout in Florida

Record turnout in Nevada.

This election is already over. People made their mind up.
 
I think you make an interesting point actually, this could easily be the final map:

View attachment 6571005

or this:

View attachment 6571006

or he loses Georgia/North Carolina and gains one of the rust belts. So many scenarios, I think the idea that he is very likely to win are exagerrated. We know that if everyone saw the truth that he would win but that's not how elections work in America.

As for the popular vote he could be 2 points behind in the national polls and still win fairly comfortably.
Pennsylvania is a big factor here. We are seeing a strong indication Georgia’s in the bag. North Carolina polling is weird. He should be farther ahead given his polling nationwide. Either North Carolina polls are ass or something very weird happened with the state’s demographics recently.

Look at Virginia. If VA gets called quickly on election night, Trump won’t win. If it takes a long time to get called, Trump probably has it.
 
These days? Probably giggle and cast something from your Graveyard anyways.

Like the Grief thing was only so powerful because you can reanimate/Scam grief back into play and have a hard to block threat a well as taking your opponents 2 best cards.

Bargain is a cool card but it isn't even played anywhere as far as I am aware, Bolas's Citadel and Necropetence do what it does in better ways.
Necropotence and Citadel requires a deck to be much heavier in black to function. Fast mana and fast draw are the two most powerful things in magic, and a delayed draw or potentially being locked on a land are nothing compared to instant speed draw with essentially no cost.

Go watch the Brian Davis vs Bob World Championship match again, and ask yourself "what could Davis have done last turn if he didn't have wait for that necro draw?". A lot.
 
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Pennsylvania is a big factor here. We are seeing a strong indication Georgia’s in the bag. North Carolina polling is weird. He should be farther ahead given his polling nationwide. Either North Carolina polls are ass or something very weird happened with the state’s demographics recently.

Look at Virginia. If VA gets called quickly on election night, Trump won’t win. If it takes a long time to get called, Trump probably has it.
Virginia is literally a toss up right now.
 
Trump momentum stalled how, faggot?

He has record turnout in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Record turnout in Virginia

Record turnout in Florida

Record turnout in Nevada.

This election is already over. People made their mind up.
I didn't say his momentum stalled, he did. I mean that there could be a high turnout of white women in the swing states that could cause them to stay blue, especially since for weeks all they've seen in the media is that Trump is a Nazi and will take away their abortion rights. Don't underestimate how stupid the average voter is. "Vote to get him out of the way for good" resonates well in this election and the last election that Trump lost.
 
Meanwhile Trump’s momentum has stopped and the polls are switching back and you retards give me trash cans for pointing that out.
He just took the lead in the national popular vote and a poll just came out showing him ahead in NH, as well as several more showing him ahead in swing states. I'm really not sure where you're getting this.
 
Trump momentum stalled how, faggot?

He has record turnout in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Record turnout in Virginia

Record turnout in Florida

Record turnout in Nevada.

This election is already over. People made their mind up.
Actually agree. All the data shows a blowout. The question is how big? And will he gain any states that normally go blue? If he picks up Virginia it's fucking over bros, for Kamala that is.
 
I didn't say his momentum stalled, he did. I mean that there could be a high turnout of white women in the swing states that could cause them to stay blue, especially since for weeks all they've seen in the media is that Trump is a Nazi and will take away their abortion rights. Don't underestimate how stupid the average voter is. "Vote to get him out of the way for good" resonates well in this election and the last election that Trump lost.
If this was going to happen, it would’ve shown up in the early voting numbers. For what you are suggesting to still be true, it will require record-breaking Dem turnout on Election Day when all the early voting data suggests that Dem enthusiasm is way down and MAGA enthusiasm is way up.
 
These people wouldn't know an edgy joke if it bit them on the ass. Imagine if Norm had lived long enough to go to the rally and start making 9/11 and Hitler jokes, maybe bring up all the times former Senator Hillary killed people. Or wondering if Tim Walz owns a doghouse.

"Great to be back in New York City folks. Last time I was here, I was walking through blood and bone in the streets of Manhattan, trying to find my brother..."

The Tony matter doesn’t matter at all and it’s sad that there are people on this website pearl clutching over it.

Meanwhile Trump’s momentum has stopped and the polls are switching back and you retards give me trash cans for pointing that out.
People are giving you trashcans because you've done this baiting troll too many times in a row, all in the same thread. After a while you just run out of fish, no matter how much bait you toss out. These waters done been fished out, best to find a new water hole.

Maybe try the Trump thread, lowkey bait them with claims of Kamala getting a surge based on a single poll, even though a +1 popular vote total is basically a near guaranteed EV loss for a Democrat, since so much of their popular vote comes from California. They seemed awfully desperate last time I peaked in that thread, they'll probably bite at it.

Wiggle some "that George Lopez mexican joke at Walz' rally wasn't even that racist" bit for flash to get the smarter ones to strike.
 
If this was going to happen, it would’ve shown up in the early voting numbers. For what you are suggesting to be true, it would’ve shown require record-breaking Dem turnout on Election Day when all the early voting data suggests that Dem enthusiasm is way down and MAGA enthusiasm is way up.
We will see on Election day, I do suspect record breaking Democrat turnout on Election day unfortunately after how unhinged the news is
 
I don’t want to bring the energy down here fellas, but I think we should be deeply suspicious of these projections.

Why would polymarket be near 70:30 when all Harris needs to win is basically PA which is polling at <1%? If I was a betting man I’d have a considerable sum on Harris. Those odds are insane.

Also, a number of swing states that currently show a narrow edge for Trump have senate races with Democrat candidates in the lead.

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Even in “deep red” Texas, the senate race is within margin of error. Ohio is considered solid red territory for Trump yet the democratic incumbent is leading by 2pts.

Am I really supposed to believe a statistically significant number of Trump voters enter the booth and vote for a democratic senator? That doesn’t make any sense.

I fear swing states will actually go for Harris. This is even before any election fuckery in Philadelphia.
 
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