US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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namelesstacotruck said:
While women do favor Cumula not all women. Women are some of the biggest anti abortion activists afterall.

The other dimension is that women are the biggest consumers and are missing out on money they used to consume stupid shit and feeling the pinch of that. Women are the ones i hear complaining shit is so expensive now the most irl. Also some women fucking HATE Kamala. And women are more than happy to hate on another woman.

In short 10 percent higher women doesnt translate to 100 percent of that going to Kamala.

Women also vote higher because they are more likely to have a job that lets them vote or just have less going on in general to spend an hour out of a day to do this.
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I don’t know that the gender breakdown is all that important when you have the R/D breakdown. If women favor Kamala as a whole, but more Republican Women actually show up to vote, that’s likely to result in a Trump win.

From what I understand, the early vote looks promising for Republicans but I don’t know how much that cannablilizes Election Day voting.
 
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It's true that women are turning in early ballots at a 10% higher rate than men.

But of course, that's irrelevant without contextual data about previous elections and early voting. It took some doing to sleuth this because the results are poisoned by current events, but, surprise surprise:



57-43 women/men split in early voting in 2020. In other words, the split has reduced in this election and is more favorable to men than in 2020.


Women led men in every jurisdiction measured for early voting.

This isn't that surprising. Women have more childcare responsibilities, which makes it attractive to cast a ballot on a day when you know you've got the time, versus the day of when maybe a kid will be sick or need picked up from school for being an asshole or whatever. Women are also likely to make their decision earlier in the race and not want to be talked out of it or into a different position.
 
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Here is an article on the voter turnout strategies Trump and Harris are using for this election.

Voter turnout matters: Dems go after high-propensity voters while Trump courts those who rarely or never show up to the ballot box​

As the finish line for the 2024 presidential election nears, Democrats have been receiving the support of high-propensity voters who cast ballots in midterms or primaries, while Trump has been courting the vote of low-propensity voters like young men and nonwhite voters.

According to the New York Times, their latest poll of swing states in conjunction with Siena College found that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris led among voters who cast ballots in the 2022 midterms and the 2024 primaries. GOP candidate Donald Trump holds a 12-point lead among those who last voted during the 2020 presidential election and a 19-point lead among those adults with no voting record. Harris and Trump are tied among those who last voted in 2022.

The outlet noted that Democrats benefited during the Obama era from "mobilizing young, nonwhite and infrequent voters to the polls." These "familiar maxims have been turned upside down."

"In the extreme, the Times/Siena data suggests Mr. Trump could win the presidency, perhaps even fairly handily, if he could turn out all registered voters," the outlet stated, noting the example of Times/Siena polling never showing Harris or Biden leading in the state of Michigan among registered voters in the 2024 cycle. "If, on the other hand, Ms. Harris could replay the midterm electorate, when more casual voters stayed home, she could easily win over 300 electoral votes and carry the swing states by a comfortable margin."

While Harris receives more support overall among black voters, Trump nearly doubled his support from the group between those who voted in 2022 to those who didn’t vote then. Trump sees a similar bump in support among Hispanic, white voters with college degrees, and white voters with no college degrees between those who voted in 2022 and those who did not.

Trump trails Harris by one point among those in swing states who say they are "almost certain" they will vote, and leads by four points among those who say they are "very likely." He also saw a one-point lead among those who say they are "somewhat likely."

The outlet noted that low-turnout voters can be unpredictable in their voting, as many are still undecided, and "if these voters break one way or another as they tune in to the race, it’s easy to imagine how either side wins comfortably."
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Article Link
 
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NeroRisotto said:
Shit like this makes it hard for me to be whitepilled...

View attachment 6578138
According to a quote from WNEP from way of notthebee:
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If it's a test why not use obviously fake numbers 123,456,789 or 99,999,999 voters or results like jill winning 65%. This happened back during the bernie/biden primary too, aired data a day before the election and claimed it was a test. They air shit like this then act like viewers are retarded for worrying. Learn to make the fictional data more obviously fictional for your "tests".
 
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Mark Goldbridge said:
This is how the made up scenario in their head would go in real life:
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We were talking about this on the library story in A&N. These are people whose brains are poisoned to believe the only worthwhile story is victimhood + martyrdom. In a weird way, it's the same kind of cult thinking that possesses radical Muslims. Maybe that's why they love Palestine so much.
 
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Hey Johnny Bravo said:
The biggest manufacturer of OxyContin was Purdue Pharma
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I'm sure you just didn't know, it's not like you appear to be running cover or anything.
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I don't care what anyone's opinion is on this stuff, but you just seem to openly fuckign lie. That's fine too, who cares, but don't call someone a joooo hater just because they rightfully point out bad ones. I tend to fall closer to a few shitty jewish folks don't make all jews shitty, same as some shitty white folks, or black folks makes them all shitty. For instance the couple of actual jewish folks I've ran into here are either good posters or not very good at all.
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The joy is gone has turned to rage and depression.
 
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Seething Troon Collector said:
I know we just had a whole thing about X posts, but I feel like this is important. I am working on scraping the directory tree now and I'll wrap it up in a tarball and post it, probably here. It'll be interesting to see what was going on.

View attachment 6578525
(URL)/(Archive)
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Bet 9/10 of these retards were not using a dedicated account for their "activism". Can't collect ass pats on an anon account.

This could be a gold mine.
 
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