US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Romulus augustulus said:
he is a fag. claims to have never been wrong despite getting it wrong in 2000 and i think 2004. He routinely twists his "keys" whatever way to give him the result the news stations that pay him appear on their programs want.
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Richtman is the same guy who said the calls for Biden to withdraw from the campaign were foolish and destructive. Apparently he said the people who did this had "zero track record" of predicting election outcomes and that made his stance better somehow. Then in July 2024 Biden announces he will stop running and by September Lichtman predicted Harris would win the election.
 
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Romulus augustulus said:
he is a fag. claims to have never been wrong despite getting it wrong in 2000 and i think 2004. He routinely twists his "keys" whatever way to give him the result the news stations that pay him appear on their programs want.
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He got 2000 wrong and turned around and said 'Oh, my model only predicts the popular vote winner'. Then he got 2016 right but Trump didn't win the popular vote, so he turned around and claimed he adjusted his model to predict the Electoral College winner even though it fucking didn't.

It's a bullshit, highly subjective model. I don't really see how you can give any more than 3 keys to Kamala but apparently this Democratic Party shill thinks she has enough keys to win
 
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Dr J said:
He got 2000 wrong and turned around and said 'Oh, my model only predicts the popular vote winner'. Then he got 2016 right but Trump didn't win the popular vote, so he turned around and claimed he adjusted his model to predict the Electoral College winner even though it fucking didn't.

It's a bullshit, highly subjective model. I don't really see how you can give any more than 3 keys to Kamala but apparently this Democratic Party shill thinks she has enough keys to win
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Maybe Lichtman likes being seen as the "election prediction" guy and does whatever he can to make it seem like he wasn't wrong.
 
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Dr J said:
He got 2000 wrong and turned around and said 'Oh, my model only predicts the popular vote winner'. Then he got 2016 right but Trump didn't win the popular vote, so he turned around and claimed he adjusted his model to predict the Electoral College winner even though it fucking didn't.

It's a bullshit, highly subjective model. I don't really see how you can give any more than 3 keys to Kamala but apparently this Democratic Party shill thinks she has enough keys to win
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Wouldn't his keys be wrong anyways because Biden dropped out?
 
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Interesting that rural early voting is way up this year while urban early voting is down from 2020. Maybe all the Trump voters voted early?

Is North Carolina really that likely to flip? I think they could have done it in 2020 but the fraud engine in that state wasn't up to the task. Unless NC has gotten that much worse in fraud, I highly doubt it'll flip this election.
Hey Johnny Bravo said:
This reads like Q-anon tier shit.
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No, this actually is the CIA's playbook for color revolutions. Look what they're doing in Georgia (the country) right now. Stopping an organic version of one is why corporations and the government applied all that censorship and severe repression after the 2020 steal. However, it simply won't happen because if they really wanted to steal, they already know how.
StarkRavingMad said:
He doesn't claim to be a data collector or pollster, but he claims to be a historian. And his reasoning behind this prediction is that "elections are determined by the efficiency of the governing that is currently happening, so Kamala is going to win."
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Interesting perspective. Too bad the current government has incredibly inefficient governance. If this man is right, we should expect Trump landslide.
 
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Spasticus Autisticus said:
Same with the RCP average. He's up 2.6 points in GA. And in NC he's up 1.4, but NC tends to vote to the right of GA. That average is also not including Rich Baris's Trump +4 in NC, and he's one of the best at polling NC. This dude is a total clown.
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538 likewise puts those two states (plus Arizona) in the "Lean Rep" category:
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I'm not racist, but I can count on the fingers of one hand the times I've seen a good looking, well spoken, based black lady.
This episode of the Piers Morgan show has one of those! I was shocked! I've never seen this lady before. Sage Steele is her name. I like her.
Feel free to ignore the rest of the show, it's mostly garbage. But this lady is interesting. She comes on after the Crowder segment. Worth to check her out.
She BTFO that faggot male feminist. It was beautiful.

Not going to archive this.
 
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