US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts?
Seems about right except for blue NH. I originally predicted Nevada would go to Harris because of Hillary's win there in 2016, and bleed-over since then from California, but the numbers coming in as of late look really good. I might be proven wrong on that front.
 
There might be something to this, like an intern or something, because that's awfully intelligent for a journalist.

By default the OWW vote outnumbers men because women live longer. But most of the post-career white women have esoteric complaints that don't match what younger people typically complain about (how to pay my bills). They're also the ones ranting about abortion even though they're post-menopausal.

Their gripes don't align with what the rest of the country is complaining about. "Bring out Obama" is what their answer is to why they've lost black men: when the answer really comes down to black men can clearly see that they have been deprioritized. They saw it when white male troons concerns get shouted over any gripe a black man has.

Trannies really did a number on Black men. Every social media that Black men want to use apart from X as a debate salon has tranny jannies overlording it and banning them when they get out of line.

And even on X, you go to Spaces and the trannies try to dom them.
Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts? Also seen polls saying Pennsylvania is tighter now that Kamala has campaigned there. If Trump loses there, could he still win overall? Also is him now winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Virginia pretty certain?

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two whales came in and knocked ten points out of Trump to the tune of $54,000 in bets they placed.
Updated numbers on NJ aren't exactly the best (well, still a whole percent higher), now that I found the website:
NJ Republicans are heavily tilted toward traditional E day voting, especially Gen X and older. If Trump gets 70% EDay in Jersey or better there might be some 1AM nail biting over how little her margin is there.

NJ has crazy Banana Republic politics which still make it possible for Republicans to win there.

PA is the focus cause if Trump wins PA it's basically over quick fast and in a hurry for them. Dems lose options real quick if PA is out of reach so they have to go all in especially with how bad every swing state has been for them in EV.

31m less early votes so far then this time in 2020.
45% Dem 30% Repub 25% Ind 2020
40% Dem 40% Repub 18% Ind 2024
It's just absolute murder for Democrats in Pennsylvania right now. All my friends there say the copium went to hopium and now the EKG bleeter is reading out the dead corpse beep.
 
I'm not sure what exactly what they mean by Near Earth Orbit manufacturing.
My assumption is the plan is to build the mission craft in orbit, say at the ISS. Instead of doing an apollo 11 style mission: earth to moon. They plan, or hope to do near-earth orbit to moon. Using existing, and added orbital infrastructure to assemble the mission craft, and "launch" from there.
 
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New Jersey is definitely going to go for Harris. But I wouldn't be shocked to see Trump overperform there big time.
There will be far more registered Democrats voting for Trump than Republicans for Harris in NJ, and Independents will break his way too. I'd be shocked if he won but he might get within a couple of points. There's a lot of anti-Dem sentiment between Menendez grabbing gold bars for favors and the thin-lipped, closeted governor trying to put his wife out there as the senate candidate to replace him.
 
Proof, please. Screenshot and censor your personal info out would be a good start.
Eh, I got a similar message a few weeks back, although a smaller offer (around $150). I think it's just the whole calling people and begging, which is normal politics. I guess they couldn't find enough people to do it for free this time and campaign season's almost over. Better just burn that money.

It would be funny to agree, then call and tell people how Harris is a pretty terrible candidate. Like, to be clever I suppose you could phrase it as backhanded "endorsements."

They get filtered to my spam folder, so maybe it's not even legit. maybe they just want to steal my bank information, but I don't think there's anything that questionable about calling people and pleaing your case in politics. I've never answered those calls, but they seem to be normal. A co-worker of mine did call people about not voting for Kari Lake even though we don't live anywhere near Arizona, so you aren't even getting a local opinion from these campaign workers some of the time. Or most of it.
 
I'm not sure what exactly what they mean by Near Earth Orbit manufacturing. My best guess is that it's referring to mining Near Earth Objects.

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Near-Earth Object
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Asteroid Mining
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Some people think we'll be able to manufacture better pharmaceuticals and other high-margin stuff in microgravity (orbit) than we can on earth. The trick is whether it can be done profitably.
 
Saw this on Xitter. Thoughts? Also seen polls saying Pennsylvania is tighter now that Kamala has campaigned there. If Trump loses there, could he still win overall? Also is him now winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Virginia pretty certain?

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Pennsylvania is notoriously populated by retards, I wouldn't trust them with anything.
 
Biden's constant fuck ups, the media putting out articles like "things will be ok in Trump's america", the social media sites and Washington Post trying to become more conservative

All of these things in isolation would be outliers, but together makes me think the dems know the writing is on the wall
Harris fucking the DNC out of a contested election pissed off a lot of people too.
Seems about right except for blue NH. I originally predicted Nevada would go to Harris because of Hillary's win there in 2016, and bleed-over since then from California, but the numbers coming in as of late look really good. I might be proven wrong on that front.
No tips on taxes is huge in Clark County. DO you know how much money people in the casinos comes from tips?
Let's check in on the Phiadelphia Inquirer, shall we

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They have switched to Doom Mode.
The joy is rotting in the ditch.
”Our Democracy” is big gay and should be abolished. Eat shit losers.
They say it that way because they never intend to let you have a say in anything.
 
There will be far more registered Democrats voting for Trump than Republicans for Harris in NJ, and Independents will break his way too. I'd be shocked if he won but he might get within a couple of points. There's a lot of anti-Dem sentiment between Menendez grabbing gold bars for favors and the thin-lipped, closeted governor trying to put his wife out there as the senate candidate to replace him.
Jersey is split into three zones:

Rich (North Jersey, with Passaic County being richy mc richerson part of the state).
Central (New Brunswick to Mt. Laurel)
South (prounounced "Sout")

Sout Jersey is Mussolini Trump Country and is Republican as fuck and is swung to Blue only by craicheads in Camden, faggots in Collingswood and oldfaggots in Cape May IF they turn out big AND they align with the Irish and Italian Philly unions.

Central Jersey (New Brunswick to Trenton / Mt. Laurel) is your higher income office faggots and this is where most of the centrist vote is, minus Princeton and environs.

North Jersey is a veritable shitshow Democrat plantation with rich Jews and elite blacks in Passiac, but luckily the extreme poverty concentrations up there translates into hapazard turnout returns.


The formula for a Republican winning Jersey is very complex, and if there is one place in the country where how you look and how you sound and what your family's name is still matters, it's there. So that's another annoying limitation and it's why you don't see that much candidate enthusiasm there.
 
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Pollsters are going to be very surprised.

My final prediction:
WI: 3-4% Trump Victory
MN: 0.5% Trump Victory
NH: 1% Trump Victory
MI: 1-2% Trump Victory
PA: 2-3% Trump Victory
NC: 3-4% Trump Victory
NV: 3% Trump Victory
AZ: 5% Trump Victory
GA: 3-4% Trump Victory

For any folks that were alive when Reagan won in 1980 and 1984.

What was it like in the leadup to both landslides?
 
I have a vivid memory of being near a jumper who had just lost -everything- courtesy of some really bad backroom politics.
This is somewhat OT, but how many suicides have you known of in your career that were due to career factors like that? I read your posts and I assume you’re a decades long veteran in the bolitics game
 
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