US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Oh no, it was bad in 2016.

You all these celebrities and organisations basically rip the mask off, destroy their credibility and their objectivity just to come out against Trump and what happened? Nothing. Nothing happened to these people. Their selfish, spoiled lives all continued pretty much as usual.

If anything it's better now because their credibility has been pretty well destroyed and nobody with any sense actually cares what these people think any more.
In 2016 celebrities like George Clooney weren’t legal kingmakers. Remember they basically threw Biden under the bus because of Clooney.
 
Nate Kikever's model keeps flip-flopping and being inconsistent all the fucking time.

https://xcancel.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1853217620503167252 / https://archive.is/wip/KIPKh
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https://xcancel.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1853236584398623193 / https://archive.is/wip/C7tA4
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Just for reference, he thinks Kamala is being underreported.
An underreported democrat in the 21st century.

https://xcancel.com/NateSilver538/status/1853123659470188642 / https://archive.is/wip/fHW0J

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He's hacking his own models in the way he thinks is right because he's missing data.
Professional statistician, everyone.

https://xcancel.com/NateSilver538/status/1853123661823398140 / https://archive.is/wip/pPP3j
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Nate Nitrogen is on that good-good. If you force stats like that, they’re not credible. Force them just over a day before the election, and it comes across as desperate.
 
In 2016 celebrities like George Clooney weren’t legal kingmakers. Remember they basically threw Biden under the bus because of Clooney.
They didn't throw Biden under the bus because of Clooney, Clooney was just the front man for it. They threw Biden under the bus because the donors were drying up and, with no money coming in, the DNC wouldn't have even been able to pay its vendors.

Believe me, if they had any inkling that Hillary Clinton was going to get routed, the donors would have done the same thing. But they were smug and arrogant in their bubble and didn't think Trump had even a chance at winning
 
1) A pollster
2) 4 points is like within the MOE
3) Iowa hasn't gone Democrat since Obama. Trump carried it by about 10 points in '16 and '20 and the state has only gotten more Republican since

The only close race recently in Iowa was for the Attorney General and that was because the Democrat was the incumbent, but the Republicans forced him out, he'd been in there for like 40 years. I think right now in Iowa the one big government position still held by a Dem is the state auditor, the state legislator is in Republican hands too.

It is kind of ghoulish that logic like that is used in elections now.

Absolutely, I feel sadness for those people, the way the feds have handled the hurricane relief effort is awful. They're still hurting, and the news media has just ignored it.
 
If Trump wins, I'm gravedancing on your dooming, contrarian, sacrilegious drawn ass
Before the thread gets really crazy tomorrow, I just want to tell you I've really enjoyed your posts. It's criminal how few people pick up on your humor, but you've made me chuckle a lot over the past couple months.

This campaign is drawing to a close, and I have to say this thread has brought me a lot of mirth and joy, it's been a absolute pleasure to shit post and catch up with all the best people on KF.
 
Remember that this is the latest NPC programming. CNN ran a copium poll a week ago claiming Kamala was underreported and predicting a possible Dem landslide. It’s probably where that Seltzer whore got the idea from.

This is totally pure copium.

"Underreported" Democrats? Yeah, okay. That's literally only believable if the planets align, the Republican turnout on Election Day is depressed, and the Democrat turnout on Election Day is massive.

And data is showing that projected Republican turnout on Election Day is to remain the same as always, and that it's an uphill battle for the Democrats to significantly overperform on Election Day turnout.

These polls are an attempt to motivate Dems to get the vote out on Tuesday. If Dem voters keep hearing that it's hopeless, then they are totally going to stay home.
 
Imagine of that comedian
I’m still betting on abortion not being the winning issue for Democrats. If they were able to create a better economy, strong border, or even just not overspending tax dollars, then they’d have a much easier time gaining traction. They don’t have any of that, and the strong focus on abortion is because there’s literally not much else to run on. They had four years to show Americans they were decent leaders, but are the exact opposite. I’m sure there are some types that are single issue voters with abortion, but based on surveys of overall concerns, inflation and the border are way bigger issues.

Yeah, but you're counting on women to realize that, so...
 
I’m still betting on abortion not being the winning issue for Democrats. If they were able to create a better economy, strong border, or even just not overspending tax dollars, then they’d have a much easier time gaining traction. They don’t have any of that, and the strong focus on abortion is because there’s literally not much else to run on. They had four years to show Americans they were decent leaders, but are the exact opposite. I’m sure there are some types that are single issue voters with abortion, but based on surveys of overall concerns, inflation and the border are way bigger issues.
I totally see what you mean.

The Democrat platform:

"We've totally fucked the economy up for you. You can't afford food, a house, or gas, and we're giving free shit to people who break the law constantly ... But, you know, at least we'll make sure you can kill your baby if you can't afford having one of those either."
 
Maybe they’ll just give her a shit ton of cocaine and see if that helps balance things out.
I knew they were keeping Hunter around for a reason! Joe and Jill may hate her, but Hunter knows how to party all night long and she needs instant hangover cures.
 
Dear doomer kiwis, I want you to take a good look at this map one more time. It was made by Allan Lichtman, the guy with the 13 keys who claims that Kamala will totally win.

1730694973129.png

You'll notice something odd. Namely, Kamala takes Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina, even though all predictions claim otherwise.

Don't get me wrong—these still may be tossups. But it's unlikely that Kamala is taking them all. Not only unlikely but actually, highly improbable. This is the kind of stuff that is only possible with cheating.

Why is this map so important? Because it has Kamala basically winning everything except PA.

Read that again: it has Kamala winning every single swing state except Pennsylvania.

They had to make a gay and fake map to account for this. Kamala's only real path to victory is in Pennsylvania, and she knows it. Her campaign is desperate enough that they mentioned it on SNL. Kamala will also be spending all day tomorrow in Pennsylvania.

Now, Pennsylvania isn't Trump's only path to victory, and other people here have pointed it out. I think PA polls have been doctored because they know that if they report Trump with anything more than +0.1 lead then it's game over for Kamala, and the election isn't even close.

Look at the map again, and look at Allan Lichtman's face. The man knows that he has to make up a phony map out of pure hopium that his candidate will win.

He knows deep down that this is bullshit.

So GET OUT THERE AND VOTE, VOTE, VOTE.
 
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It would be karmic justice if SNL gets fucked over for that stunt after its done nothing for Kamala's chances to win. Literally shooting yourself in the foot for nothing.
Lorne's probably on the phone begging Trump to do a Skype type video call with him to air as the new last minute cold opening for tomorrow night's SNL election special (which was announced weeks ago).

Either that or I can see Lorne, if Trump wins, telling Bill Burr to fuck off and making Trump the host for next week's SNL and fire any faggot (coughBowan Yangcough) who even whispers a cast boycott. And forcing the cast, plus Rudolph and Jim Carey to engage in the most humiliating humiliation ritual imaginable before Trump as a peace offering.
 
I’m still betting on abortion not being the winning issue for Democrats.
Here is the weird thing. Sure, it seems to be THE issue for them but all messaging is about Trump. What is Kamala's policy? what exactly is she planning to do if she wins? There seem to be no actual policy or plan other than the message "vote for me or Trump will end abortion?".
 
A thought occurred to me while I was wrist-deep in computer guts today: we've all seen that the entire "developed world" (and maybe other places besides) is in the grip of ideological globohomo contagion. If you're like me and you're naturally inclined towards pessimism, it's real easy to think that there's absolutely no way forward if Trump doesn't win.

"Oh god he might not win. Even if he does win, how do we begin un-fucking this horrorshow?"

I refuse to doom about this, because these United States are uniquely positioned to claim a massive prize if we can get this country un-fucked before the rest of the world gets its head on straight. It's something you see time and time again throughout history. When a major disaster event or disease outbreak occurs, whoever wins the race out of that ditch gets a windfall of prosperity and power. Our nation needs to be the winner of that race. If not for our sake personally, for the sake of our descendents. There is no time for dooming when we have a race to win. We're all gonna make it.

While I appreciate your optimism, we’re not going to be shit without extreme amounts of fedpost tier solutions (in minecraft) and at the very least complete separation from certain groups.

Just don’t see that ever happening, even if the God Emperor wins. We’ll continue worshipping niggers and sucking kike cock until the end times.

I do still want Trump to win because of the amount of seething that would be caused. We’d see extreme lolcow behavior at a national level.
 
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Before the thread gets really crazy tomorrow, I just want to tell you I've really enjoyed your posts. It's criminal how few people pick up on your humor, but you've made me chuckle a lot over the past couple months.

This campaign is drawing to a close, and I have to say this thread has brought me a lot of mirth and joy, it's been a absolute pleasure to shit post and catch up with all the best people on KF.
TLS is a cool mother fucker.

Unpopular opinion? So is HHH. Just don't talk to him about politics.

Both HHHs. I didn't forget you @Hunter Hearst Helmsley
 

Can somebody please explain to me how a previously wild pet squirrel is more likely to catch rabies than a currently wild squirrel? And has anybody ever caught rabies from a pet squirrel before?

Sorry chud, it's perfectly acceptable to kill a living thing because your papers aren't in order. Also, illegal immigration is amazing!

The guy should have told DEC that they were a Haitian squirrel and a Venezuelan raccoon. They'd still be alive and in his house. And given thousands of dollars-worth of nuts.
 
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