US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

 

[Hunter Hearst Helmsley]

It kind of seems to me that if you are the Democrats and you have a massive funding advantage...early voting just means you have fewer days to press your advantage. It's amazing Trump can poll neck and neck despite the funding disadvantage. It could be that Democrats are bad/inefficient at managing other people's money even though they send everyone 5600 texts a day asking for more money.

 

[Tsukasa Kadoya]

Vote, pray, and stop with the fucking rainbow reactions everyone. Dooming and doubting will do exactly fuck all. Keep expectations low but keep the negative shit out of your mind.

Expect the worst but hope and work for the best.

 

[Meat Target]

how's early voting looking now? i think i heard somewhere that the dems are underperforming so bad that if republicans just get their standard turnout (which he'll probably get more then a normal turnout) trump wins. though i don't know the numbers behind that

I'm fairly confident in a trump victory regardless.

I'm hoping Republicans haven't all voted early and shot their wad.

 

[kobebyarlant]

It's over, Kamalalala is cooked, we got the cute little Hippo.
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It’s amazing, even in a language I can’t read in an alphabet I don’t understand, “Donald Trump” in writing is still unmistakable.

 

[XYZpdq Jr.]

I'm hoping Republicans haven't all voted early and shot their wad.

middle age hispanic gal complimenting my Trump hat at publix yesterday said her, husband, and son are all going tomorrow
they would have gone early but it's son's first time voting so they wanted to do it the traditional way

 

[BigJoey41X]

I recommend you to go back to Reddit.

I'm not apologizing for calling this thread for what it is, and reddit's another gay and shitty echochamber of another flavor, I don't wanna go there either

Nobody cares nor asked, people here don't like you and if he wins you'll be as scarce as virgin goats in a Bedouin camp.

It's called being cautious, 2020 should have taught you that very well

Yeah yeah your second last minute check cleared after they snatched the last few coke coated tax dollars out of Z man's fingees got it.

???

 

[Pascal's Wagie]

Sending a message from outside of this thread's echochamber, you guys should know that polls are in RAZOR THIN margins between the two, the chances of any landslide are extremely low, either it tips one or the other, the best Trump can do is basically pray he barely reaches the W.

I do not recommend being cocky.

RCP's average for 2016 underestimated Trump by 2.5 points from the actual result (46.1 - 43.6), for 2020's RCP avg it was also an underestimate by 2.9 points (46.9 - 44.0). Public polls on average have underestimated Trump two cycles in a row and I'm not convinced that they've changed their methods this time around. I think they're still underestimating him at 2.5-3.0 points.

 

[Mr. Manchester]

I'm hoping Republicans haven't all voted early and shot their wad.

I can't speak for all of them, but I refuse to vote early. I vote on god damn voting day, hell or high water.

 

[Lammy]

Sorry chuddie Drumpfcels, but I have this brand new hot breaking never heard before (in the past 2 minutes) fact that will have you dooming forever!

Water is wet!

That's right, water is wet and it's not entirely comfortable to be soaked. It is likely to rain in some locations during voting times on election day, and as we all know, election day is R+16. Think of all those voters that will be turned away! An umbrella, a raincoat, roofing? Doesn't matter, it's totally over, just look at the polls that historically underestimated Trump by ~10% now having him tied with Kamala! It only takes a few little rainstorms to make Too Big to Rig into Too Wet to Get.
Of course, nobody talks about this because everyone already knows this and accounts for it, and all the Drumpf chuddies have their umbrellas anyway... but it's really super insightful and never heard of before for me to tell you this. Your circlejerk is over!
It will be a Blue Wave indeed.....

 

[Collections Agent]

I'm hoping Republicans haven't all voted early and shot their wad.

I'm in a battleground state, almost everyone in my friend group is supporting Trump and I only know 2 people who have already voted.

 

[Dr J]

It could be that Democrats are bad/inefficient at managing other people's money

Really? You look at their leadership and you say it only could be that way?

 

[BigJoey41X]

middle age hispanic gal complimenting my Trump hat at publix yesterday said her, husband, and son are all going tomorrow
they would have gone early but it's son's first time voting so they wanted to do it the traditional way

You in Texas?, It's been years since I lived there but that state uniquely contains a significant hispanic GOP voting block, especially in the rural western regions, not sure why, but its how TX has remained a solidly republican voting state even as hispanics have become the largest racial group

 

[LurkTrawl]

It's called being cautious, 2020 should have taught you that very well

It's called 'you're far from the first retard with this shtick' and when people get tired of engaging with you, you'll fuck off back to an echochamber you have no problem with. I'm just calling it now so in the event Trump wins, I can say that I called your notable sudden absence in advance.

 

[Moonglade Feral Druid]

#GamersForTrump is a thing.

 

[mandatorylurk]

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#GamersForTrump is a thing.

If he made a MAGA theme that would be amazing.

 

[Train Operator]

You in Texas?, It's been years since I lived there but that state uniquely contains a significant hispanic GOP voting block, especially in the rural western regions, not sure why, but its how TX has remained a solidly republican voting state even as hispanics have become the largest racial group

probably not since there are no Publix in Texas.

 

[DrearyDoomguy]

I'm hoping Republicans haven't all voted early and shot their wad.

So far there's not been a substantial amount of ED voter cannibalization on the GOP side. The overwhelming majority of early GOP voters either didn't vote ED last time or are low propensity voters. We also don't know how many low propensity voters are hitting the polls for Trump tomorrow. Given how much work the GOP has put in to register new voters I expect it to be a fairly large number.

 

[BigJoey41X]

RCP's average for 2016 underestimated Trump by 2.5 points from the actual result (46.1 - 43.6), for 2020's RCP avg it was also an underestimate by 2.9 points (46.9 - 44.0). Public polls on average have underestimated Trump two cycles in a row and I'm not convinced that they've changed their methods this time around. I think they're still underestimating him at 2.5-3.0 points.

Pollsters massively underestimated Trump in 2016, a lot of "politics experts" seemed to have disregarded him as just another wack ass outsider stirring shit at the time with no actual, real chance of getting to the white house, after they were proven wrong, many of them did try to change their methodology in reconsidering his chances.

I trust them (I recommend looking at poll aggregations, not individual polls for better accuracy and less potential bias) over crypto betting markets lol

 

[That_Guy]

Just heinous

https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1853517367269380370'

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Having seen pretty much the same thing with the "Now chant your own name!" rally it really looks like nobody there actually wants to actually interact with her. They'll show up, but standing there and recording on their phone is all they're willing to do. She must be hating life right now.

With all the likely bussed-in filler they couldn't get a few of them to try and get the crowd started on cue? I would assume that wouldn't be an unusual thing to do. It's like they're not even trying. WTF?

 

[Catgirl Tyranid]

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#GamersForTrump is a thing.

Balldo memes have ruined this wholesome image for me...