US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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0713 said:
There isn't going to be a WWIII for one simple reason: Nothing ever happens.
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God damnit how many times have you said this and something does happen?! Jesus Christ if ww3 does happen I will personally drag your ass out of your house and shove my boot so far up in your ass that you’ll be shitting out shoelaces for the rest of your life you fucking chud.
 
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0713 said:
It's also like the 5th time he says "if you do this I'll use nukes" and then "this" happens and he doesn't do shit.
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Is he actually saying "if you do this we'll use nukes" or is this another situation where he says something like "US missiles landing in Russia will lead to an escalation of the war" and the media says "PUTIN THREATENS TO DESTROY THE WORLD"? Because every time I've actually bothered to check the source when the media has said he threatened to use nukes it turns out he fucking didn't and the media just made that up.
 
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draggs said:
Russia will have to be a little more careful about its assembly points for soldiers and stuff inside Russia before it sends them over the border, that's about it. Spread things out more and use more maskirovka
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Well we can hope. But Kiev is losing and their only realistic chance of remaining in power is NATO troops getting directly and openly involved. And the only way of making that happen to them is to provoke Russia to escalate in some way that demands it. And to do that, you put a missile in a civilian area. Which they've done before.

However, keep in mind that these missiles require targeting information from us and use our satellites and GPS and codes. It's possible I'm wrong but I think they depend on our support to actually use them. Meaning Russia will - probably rightly - blame us if one does go plonking down in a busy marketplace.
 
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clipartfan92 said:
Pollster J. Ann Selzer: 'I’ll be reviewing data' after Iowa Poll misses big Trump win
Des Moines Register (archive.ph)
By Brianne Pfannenstiel
2024-11-06 06:35:04GMT
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Ann Selzer Announces End of Election Polling Operation
The New York Times (archive.ph)
By Simon. L. Levien
2024-11-17 17:36:47GMT
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J. Ann Selzer, known for polling Iowans with great accuracy in the past, wrote on Sunday that she had planned for this election to be her last. Credit...Rachel Mummey for The New York Times

J. Ann Selzer, the vaunted Iowa political pollster who released an eyebrow-raising poll just before Election Day, said on Sunday that she would end her election polling operation.

Ms. Selzer, 68, has long been a trusted voice in the polling industry, predicting the state’s margins of past presidential elections with an accuracy few rivaled. So when her last poll before Election Day showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald J. Trump in Iowa, it created a political shock wave.

It was a surprising result, showing Ms. Harris leading by three percentage points. And observers noted it was an outlier. But many trusted Ms. Selzer’s expertise and her track record. Nearly every other poll in Iowa showed Mr. Trump leading the state by a healthy margin, and in 2020 Mr. Trump won the state by eight points. By the time ballots were counted early this month, Mr. Trump led Ms. Harris by more than 13 points en route to his overall victory.

Ms. Selzer said in a column in The Des Moines Register that she decided over a year ago that this would be the last election she polled.

“Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results?” Ms. Selzer wrote. “Of course. It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite.”

“Polling is a science of estimation, and science has a way of periodically humbling the scientist,” she added. “So I’m humbled yet always willing to learn from unexpected findings.”

Ms. Selzer’s announcement caps a polling career spanning more than three decades, one in which, she said, she was no stranger to being “the outlier queen.” Her previous notable polls include one showing Senator Barack Obama of Illinois winning the Iowa Democratic caucuses in 2008 and another predicting Mr. Trump easily beating Joseph R. Biden Jr. in 2020 in Iowa, an outcome few others foresaw.

This year’s poll was indeed an outlier. On Election Day, Senator JD Vance of Ohio, Mr. Trump’s running mate, emerged from a polling booth in Cincinnati and dismissed Ms. Selzer’s poll and its finding that women were breaking for Ms. Harris — a result that many thought could have implications across swing states.

The Register, which oversees the Iowa Poll run by Ms. Selzer, said on Sunday there was “no likely single culprit” for the discrepancy between the poll and the final tally.

“We recognize the need to evolve and find new ways to accurately take the pulse of Iowans on state and national issues,” wrote Carol Hunter, The Register’s executive editor, in a column.
 
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he who has thus come/gone said:
Iguanas are invasive species brought over by dirty Central Americans, and they wreak havoc on the south Florida ecosystem by eating things like ground nesting bird's eggs (like owls). They're hardy, voracious, have no natural predators that I know of, have huge clutches of baby iguanas, and are fantastic swimmers. The only thing that seems to kill them off are cold snaps, but that's rare where they're most prevalent in the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale area. They weren't super common 20 years ago, but now they're basically a permanent part of the ecosystem.

I actually don't mind them as animals but they're the result of mass Latin American immigration allowed by the uniparty over decades. It's always enraging that the same people who pretend to care about the environment will simp for retarded jungle people illegally bringing invasive species that do more damage to the environment than someone who needs to buy gas for their truck. Their care for the environment extends only to ways to control people (global warming catastrophism, zero-growth, anti-natalism, etc.) and only in places that will vote for Democrats (see, e.g., East Palestine, Ohio). Their NPC programming ends there,

Iguana skin does make for good leather products and they taste like chicken, so I guess there's a silver lining.
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I did not know they were invasive.
Still old guy has to be a loon to shoot things in his backyard, especially close to Mar a largo.
 
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Overly Serious said:
However, keep in mind that these missiles require targeting information from us and use our satellites and GPS and codes. It's possible I'm wrong but I think they depend on our support to actually use them. Meaning Russia will - probably rightly - blame us if one does go plonking down in a busy marketplace.
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I do not think the Russians have been shy in their hinting that the Global Positioning Satellite system is the first thing taken out if we get to real conflict between the two peer-states.
 
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The Doom Slayer said:
T-Pain dabbing on Selzer lol

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Bet Selzer blows dogs.

@IrishGuy088 - the Russians knocking out GPS is a two-edged sword. They also use it, as well as their own system, called GLONASS. Have seen Russian receivers that can pick up both. And if GPS is gone, so goes GLONASS. Not to worry, the USAF had been navigating the skies without GPS for many years before GPS came along.
 
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Overly Serious said:
. It's possible I'm wrong but I think they depend on our support to actually use them.
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Possible? No, you are correct. The Ukrainians cannot make fully effective use of these weapon systems without intel supplied by NATO. I still don't think Russia will be provoked into any acts of war in Europe. I do think they'll invest more into oversea operations supporting anti-Western governments and factions. Their efforts down in the Sahel have left both France and the US on the back foot.
 
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