US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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NEW KEY JUST DROPPED:

Key 14. Thou shall not blaspheme against Allan Lichtman.
It’s so great seeing a guy I studied in my political science class and propped up by my libtard professors actively melting down and becoming a lolcow, there is something uniquely beautiful about that
 
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Everyone knew a vote for Kamala was a vote for the same people running Senile Joe's administration the past four years anyway
Not necessarily. There were white working class voters who, for some reason, would've come out for Senile Joe (before the debate, anyway) who were no way in hell going to come out for Kamala
This was just a weird set of circumstances and this is all academic. [fedora tip]
Well yes, Lichtman's model doesn't account for somebody like Donald Trump who is both insurgent and incumbent.
Even in the fucking debates when he brought up being shot it was just "oh yeah, that that happened". Literally the only people who cared were those already voting for him.
How aptly named you are
 
Well yes, Lichtman's model doesn't account for somebody like Donald Trump who is both insurgent and incumbent.
There's nothing wrong with Licthman's keys really

He decided that 8 of 13 keys applied to Kumala and Joe when only 3 did if he had been true and honest instead of fake and gay. Another Very Smart Retard wiped out his credibility because Trump broke him
 
Firstly because she never ran a damn thing.
So, neither did Biden and he's the incumbent.
electing her would have meant new government and, in the very least, a new White House staff of even shittier, more corrupt and more incompetent people
That's true of most Presidents' second terms. WH Press Secretary changes every year or two, and even the most important WH staff position, Chief of Staff, rarely lasts even a full term, yet alone two. And it's not uncommon for the second term to have worse people since it's a less powerful lame duck term.

The only real argument for not counting her as an incumbent is that Lichtman didn't count either Al Gore or George H.W. Bush as incumbents in their first campaigns, so this is just being consistent with his previous treatment of VP's. Though this does seem like a special case, where he probably needed to make a rule to cover this, since she's very tied into the previous campaign that had been going on through the primaries and half the election season. I'd have just removed the Incumbency Key entirely for this election.

Anyway, he's down to a 73% C grade now that he's missed 3 elections since 1984, and is actually worse at predicting the winner than common polls are. So hopefully we stop hearing about this idiotic Keys model every election going forward and people start adopting my patented "Just add 2% to the Republican in RCP's Battleground state averages" model which is so far 100% since 2004 or whenever RCP began. And unlike Lichtman's useless model, mine picks the electoral winner, which is way more useful than predicting the popular vote winner.
 
There's nothing wrong with Licthman's keys really

He decided that 5 of them applied to Kumala and Joe when they did not, so they would have 8 of 13 keys instead of 3
Theoretically and historically it is pretty sound, but Lichtman’s whole Grift was that he was the inventor of these keys and that they have to be right, and tbf he has been right a lot of times especially for the 2016 election and the 2000 election was kind of bs

But notice how after the election he was saying he needed to study “what went wrong with the keys” not with his interpretation
 
I'd completely forgotten that the flag patriotically waving in the background was an actual thing that actually happened.

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It really is the encapsulation of American Destiny, I really have no clue how libs look at this and not feel the least bit patriotic (of course they’re all commies and don’t have honor but that’s beside the point)
 
That dumb walking stereotype congresswoman from Dallas having a chimpout about muh slavery and muh migrants. You could easily respond to her by saying white guys were literally made to go overseas in WWII, Korea, and Vietnam, sheeeeeit:
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Rand Paul acting like a bitch, go into the women's bathroom then you pussy:
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Shrek wants to suck the female penis soooooo bad:
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Laken Riley's killer won't get the death penalty because of Soros DA. Gaetz should just go after all Soros DA's and have them indicted for criminal faggotry:
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Kamala was handed the incumbent's warchest, campaign staff, platform and national organization three months before the election.
Kamala's failure isn't unique to incumbents this year. Actually, its the global trend because none of them handled inflation well. Biden was on track to lose by 400+ EVs even if she did not drop out.
 
Damn, Bluesky really is just Gab for shitlibs. At least Will Stancil went down fighting.
I wonder if the penny will ever drop for leftists that ceding everything good to the right was a bad idea. Free speech, free association, health and fitness, skepticism of authority, non-conformist art, space exploration. A prosperous civilization can't be organized around castration surgeries and infinity 60 IQ favela trash.
 
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-lawyers-demand-judge-immediately-throw-hush-money-case-rcna180961
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Donald Trump's attorneys are demanding the judge who presided over his New York hush money trial and conviction immediately throw out the case, saying it would be "uniquely destabilizing to the country" otherwise.

"Immediate dismissal of this case is mandated by the federal Constitution, the Presidential Transition Act of 1963, and the interests of justice, in order to facilitate the orderly transition of Executive power following President Trump’s overwhelming victory in the 2024 Presidential election," attorneys Todd Blanche and Emil Bove argued in a letter to Judge Juan Merchan that was made public Wednesday. The letter also cited presidential immunity as a reason to dismiss the case, and maintained Trump is already protected by it.
"The Constitution forbids “plac[ing] into the hands of a single prosecutor and grand jury the practical power to interfere with the ability of a popularly elected President to carry out his constitutional functions,” the letter says, citing a memo from the Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel, before turning to the attorneys' own novel legal argument. "Just as a sitting President is completely immune from any criminal process, so too is President Trump as President-elect," the letter said.

The attorneys asked to have until Dec. 20 to file a motion laying out their reasoning for why the case should be dismissed, a timetable that would make it highly unlikely Trump is sentenced before he takes office. The attorneys have argued he can't be sentenced while in office because it would interfere with his constitutional duties.

Trump was convicted earlier this year on 34 counts of falsifying business records related to a hush money payment made to adult film actor Stormy Daniels. He was scheduled to be sentenced on Nov. 26, but the judge stayed all deadlines in the case last week after prosecutors said they needed time to consider how to proceed in light of Trump's election victory.
In a letter to the judge Tuesday, prosecutors from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's office said they would not object to the sentencing being postponed while Trump’s lawyers file further legal arguments asking the case be dismissed. They said they would challenge efforts to toss the case, but agreed the situation is unprecedented.

“The People deeply respect the Office of the President, are mindful of the demands and obligations of the presidency, and acknowledge that Defendant’s inauguration will raise unprecedented legal questions," their filing said. "We also deeply respect the fundamental role of the jury in our constitutional system."

The judge has not yet ruled on the request.
 
That dumb walking stereotype congresswoman from Dallas having a chimpout about muh slavery and muh migrants. You could easily respond to her by saying white guys were literally made to go overseas in WWII, Korea, and Vietnam, sheeeeeit:
All she was doing is proving yet again that Australia is, was, and always will be, worthless. Not even worthy of remembering
 
Damn, Bluesky really is just Gab for shitlibs. At least Will Stancil went down fighting.
I wonder if the penny will ever drop for leftists that ceding everything good to the right was a bad idea. Free speech, free association, health and fitness, skepticism of authority, non-conformist art, space exploration. A prosperous civilization can't be organized around castration surgeries and infinity 60 IQ favela trash.
Even then, imagine if what they said was true and we were all brainwashed. Trump won the popular vote, got the House and the Senate, how the fuck would you be able to ever get elected again if you just pretend more than half of the country doesn't exist or doesn't count?
 
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