2024 Syrian opposition offensives - The first Syrian rebel offensive against Government forces since March 2020

[mindlessobserver]

HTS Jihadis seem to have captured Hama military airport intact.

Air Defense, complete with the creamy insides of pants shittingly terrified Assad soldier

Aircraft

 

[WelperHelper99]

HTS Jihadis seem to have captured Hama military airport intact.

Air Defense, complete with the creamy insides of pants shittingly terrified Assad soldier
View attachment 6717877

Aircraft
View attachment 6717878

Those A-10's that appeared a few days ago were a fucking sign man. Assad's goose is cooked. He can't replace this shit, especially the jets.

 

[Camel joe]

BREAKING: HTS releases the clip of the SVBIED driver that ended the battle of Hama!

 

[R00T]

Now to play devils advocate for the Russaboos still sleeping after a long night of deny, deflect, and defending: will HTS have anyone on hand able to use those jets in the war or is this rather just another moral drop and denial of material for the SAA?

 

[im5!XxhO]

Now to play devils advocate for the Russaboos still sleeping after a long night of deny, deflect, and defending: will HTS have anyone on hand able to use those jets in the war or is this rather just another moral drop and denial of material for the SAA?

They would be able to scrape some pilots together. I highly doubt they will have the whole maintenance stack though. Also there is a decent chance that none of the captured planes are in condition to fly, because there were reports of the SAA flying away everything that could fly hours ago. Still, even if they are just spare part stores it is a loss for the already suffering Syrian Air Force. And the propaganda value is also high since the public impression is that the SAA is so disorganised, they can't even evacuate their military airfields in time and blow up the material left behind.

 

[mindlessobserver]

Now to play devils advocate for the Russaboos still sleeping after a long night of deny, deflect, and defending: will HTS have anyone on hand able to use those jets in the war or is this rather just another moral drop and denial of material for the SAA?

Probably not. But considering air power was Assads greatest asset this is a devastating loss.

 

[John Badman]

The Syrian Army officially admitted that the city is lost. The rebels have seized the military airport and freed 3,000 inmates from the central prison.
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B-but I was told Hama was safe and secure and there was no threat.

 

[Mound Dweller]

Who's gonna get the juicey bits? Poor Lebanon isn't really in fit state for a landgrab but I could see Jordan making some moves on the border desert.
I'm going all in on team Roach for this one Erdomelon must be loving this, Hatay Vilayet extension soon? I imagine once Damascus gets Grozny'd the janisaries will be moving in on the border regions more properly.

Now to play devils advocate for the Russaboos still sleeping

Don't bother they'll have been putting those "how to commit sodoku" pamphlets to good use by now.

 

[Otis Mallebrok]

Reinforcements are being rushed to the front, and despite being busy elsewhere, both Russia and Iran can easily spare 20.000 men each to kick the jihadis back.

Russia can certainly not spare any soldiers. But even if they could, they would have no time to deploy 20 battalions, at the pace the regime is collapsing. It increasingly looks like it is gg for Assad.

 

[World in Scarlet]

“Assad is secular, he’s just defenseless without legions of Shi’a jihadists organized by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and marshalled from Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.”

real

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Rebels captured a sand table.

link

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[Crex Crex]

The city of Salamiyah, southeast of Hama, has reportedly invited the rebels in after reaching an agreement (according to liveuamap).

 

[Chuckwagon]

Well damn. I went to sleep with the battle for Hama proper only just starting and woke up to see it fell already. Gotta admit that when I thought 'well the situation seems really fluid, I should probably wait 24-48 hours for the dust to settle and both sides to start accurately reporting their gains/losses' I wasn't expecting HTS to make as big of a gain as this. Does the SAA deserve that 'you tried' star sticker for at least lasting 2x as long as they did at Aleppo?

Last I heard, they were also in talks to try to flip Salamiyah (large town on the other road to Homs, populated by the Ismaili sect) without a fight. If that succeeds/has succeeded I'd guess the SAA is fucked there too, and probably much quicker than any of us can imagine (much like at Hama & Aleppo) - and without Homs, Damascus will be cut off from the coast where the Alawites, bedrock of Assad's powerbase, live. Conversely I suppose those rebels who rose up early in Homs are considerably less fucked than previously thought. In the meantime, the rebels have sprung a large number of prisoners from Hama's prison and will presumably be recruiting most or all of the able-bodied among them to further expand their ranks & build up momentum for the drive on Homs. Also, HTS further boasts that they have destroyed the 25th Division (Tiger Forces) of Suhail al-Hassan in this battle. I do recall they filmed themselves in the fallen 25th Division HQ near Hama and checking out a captured T-90 in said base yesterday so that seems more believable than the last couple times the rebels claimed to have defeated these guys.






I've said it before but it bears repetition (especially since I'm pretty sure my original post was eaten by Destiny), as someone who was first regularly tuned in (following the Libyan war) up to the SAA's success in breaking the jihadis' first four-year siege of Aleppo (including HTS, or rather at the time, still Al-Nusra/Jaish al-Fatah) and then started to fall off, this shit looks wild. It would have been unimaginable for anyone clued into this war in 2012-17-ish that Assad would one day lose Aleppo and then Hama, and also that the elite Tiger Forces which previously broke the sieges of Aleppo's airport & central prison in detail would be shattered, in the span of one fucking week.

 

[IAmNotAlpharius]

Were well received. I was wrong and far too optimistic about the capabilities of the SAA.

It fell within 24 hours, not 48.

By the looks of it they’re speedrunning.

 

[Enoch Emery]

Hama has fallen. Assad will still win, God willing.

 

[EyeGuy]

Hama has fallen. Assad will still win, God willing.

Inshallah, Assad will be beheaded after being pulled from a sewer, like Saddam and Gaddafi before him. There's no room in the plan for anti-zionist Arab rulers.

A column of moderate mujahideen heading toward Homs. Where's the Russian air force?

Israel is preparing to liberate the rest of the Golan, if necessary:

Defense Minister Israel Katz and IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi are holding an assessment on the developments in Syria, the military says.

The assessment is being held with the IDF General Staff Forum, the military's top brass.

"The IDF is following the events and is preparing for any scenario in attack and defense," the military says.

"The IDF will not allow a threat near the Syrian-Israeli border, and will work to thwart any threat to the citizens of the State of Israel," it adds.

 

[Snekposter]

They are fighting but they're losing. According to liveuamap, the rebels are in the city and have taken the prison. If they larped as Bane, broke out the inmates and armed them it would be pretty funny.

Edit: looks like I got it right.

The fire rises.

Russia can certainly not spare any soldiers. But even if they could, they would have no time to deploy 20 battalions, at the pace the regime is collapsing. It increasingly looks like it is gg for Assad.

20,000 from where, exactly? That's a lot of men and a lot of gear to transport, and I wonder what route they'd take considering the direct one is controlled by Turkey. The logistics for that alone seem like a mess, and that's before you try and assemble a QRF from whatever can be spared from Ukraine, the Far East, and the NATO border that now extends past Saint Petersburg.

 

[Fanatical Pragmatist]

Really the most surreal aspect of this fight is the Russian/American air assets sharing airspace, targeting ground forces but otherwise leaving each other alone.

That's been the case for awhile.
I believe it was like 2015 or 2016, but basically ISIS was getting spit-roasted by F-15s and A-10s sharing the skies with Su-24s and Su-34s attacking them on both sides.

Even coming from me, who firmly believes the US and Russia are natural enemies, I still laugh at retards like the ISIS and the 3rd Reich who find themselves in the galaxy-brain high-IQ position of being tag-teamed by the US and Russia.

Just a reminder:
View attachment 6717831

Syria won’t fall, Assad won’t fall.

Reinforcements are being rushed to the front, and despite being busy elsewhere, both Russia and Iran can easily spare 20.000 men each to kick the jihadis back.

Erdogan may want to create some chaos and expand his zone of control, but ultimately he won’t benefit from total civil war and a Syria ruled by wacky jihad types.

The Gukf states, unlike in 2015, also prefer peace and quiet and won’t send billions of dollars and thousands of recruit.

I’ll be back in a month or two to sneed and say I told you so, when Assad is still in power and the SAA have started to retake territory.

Assad will not fall; but the question is going to be how hard and long it takes the alawites (if ever) to retake Hama & Aleppo, but this time against a stronger rebel faction and with less support from Iran, Hezbollah & Russia?

Now to play devils advocate for the Russaboos still sleeping after a long night of deny, deflect, and defending: will HTS have anyone on hand able to use those jets in the war or is this rather just another moral drop and denial of material for the SAA?

Depends which ones.

The L-39s are very easy to learn to fly and operate (for a jet); and were historically used as a trainer for Eastern Euro WARPACT nations (i.e. you used the L-39 to learn how to fly a jet) before realizing they could stick bombs and rockets on them and export them to Turd World nations to use as poor man's attack aircraft.
It's not unrealistic to surmise that someone with basic flight training could manage to use these in limited capacity in a few months, assuming they haven't been destroyed on the ground by then.

I need to double check the photos, but the most recent ones captured are either MiG-23 or Su-24; and both models are a lot more complex and challenging to fly and complex to maintain; so unless they have some pilots and mechanics ready to turn coat its extremely unlikely they will be worth anything except to smuggle/sell to outsiders for resources.

 

[draggs]

if it accounts for working with S-300 its probably the radar used from 2007 instead of the newer radar versions.

Keep coping fag. Give us some more Telegram screenshots of the triumphant victorious Russians and SAA-

Wait, they ran like bitches from Hama today? It took less than 24 hours for the slattern's reverse Midas touch to do its thing? @Feline Supremacist quick tell us how I will never win the power ball

 

[Falcos_Commisar]

Assadist niggers in public VS in private:
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Lol exactly as suspected.. turbo cucks.

HTS Jihadis seem to have captured Hama military airport intact.

Air Defense, complete with the creamy insides of pants shittingly terrified Assad soldier
View attachment 6717877

Aircraft
View attachment 6717878

Ahahaha lol

B-but I was told Hama was safe and secure and there was no threat.

Assad fellators and Russia STRONK types can be hilariously stupid at times

Inshallah, Assad will be beheaded after being pulled from a sewer, like Saddam and Gaddafi before him. There's no room in the plan for anti-zionist Arab rulers.

A column of moderate mujahideen heading toward Homs. Where's the Russian air force?
View attachment 6718105

Ahaha lol the Russian Air force is very beautiful a thousand miles away lol

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cql5r2px4yyo

BBC confirmed fall of Hama. Assad fellators on suicide watch.

The Assadist military is crumbling and the officers of flying out Damascus by helicopter. General "Botox" Hasan of the Tiger Forces showed himself to be a joke.... Even though he was a joke before he had Russians and Iranian mercs doing the actual fighting and commanding

Rebels moving forward in a BMP

 

[Chuckwagon]

Inshallah, Assad will be beheaded after being pulled from a sewer, like Saddam and Gaddafi before him. There's no room in the plan for anti-zionist Arab rulers.

A column of moderate mujahideen heading toward Homs. Where's the Russian air force?
View attachment 6718105

Based on how the battle for Hama went, I'm guessing this is a recon/raiding force meant to test how far HTS & friends can go before running into any actual resistance and also to link up with the rebel cells that have popped up in places like Talbiseh - if they do make it into Homs they'll probably fall back should the SAA recover anything resembling a nerve & go back in, just like the first rebel detachments that filmed themselves in Hama days before the actual fall of the city. Rebels just took Hama and are still consolidating their hold there so it'll probably be at least a few days before their main push toward Homs gets going, I'd be surprised if that city also falls by say, this weekend. (Well, not THAT surprised, given how quickly the defense in Hama crumbled. I really don't think 1 week is enough time for the SAA to throw up strong defensive positions in & around Homs with all the chaos happening either.)

Loads of airbases, anti-air weapons & a smaller number of planes have fallen into rebel hands recently as well, so that will almost certainly hinder the air power available to the SAA and allies to some extent. It's definitely not a good sign for them in that regard, that said rebels still feel confident enough to gather in large crowds & convoys in wide open areas this late into the game. IIRC Jolani himself even dared to show up in person in Aleppo yesterday or the day before, directly contradicting Assad-aligned reports of his demise, and he certainly was not vaporized by a drone or whatever then.