2024 Syrian opposition offensives - The first Syrian rebel offensive against Government forces since March 2020

[World in Scarlet]

Columns of militants are preparing to storm Homs.

It is interesting that in the first video, the jihadists are transporting captured T-72M1 and BMP-1 tanks from the Syrian army on tank carriers in order to preserve their engine life and fuel, and in the second video, the same tank and BMP, already unloaded, are heading to attack in the north of Homs.

They act like an organized army, despite all the Middle Eastern pickup truck flair.

link

 

[Camel joe]

An undisclosed private jet has just left Syria heading either tomorrow Iraq or Iran:

 

[IAmNotAlpharius]

This video claims Assads family already left the country.

 

[Onepumpplumpchump]

Pretty sure Assads regime is done at this point if he's fled.

 

[Chuckwagon]

SAA troops in Kanakir, less than 30km south of Damascus, have defected to the Southern Front. And here are some earlier defectors in Suwayda. These guys look more ragged than the rebels they were supposed to fight.

Also Al-Jolani is seriously testing his men's discipline, he's issued new orders to all HTS forces in the newly conquered zones: no looting allowed, haul your asses to the front line, and perhaps most importantly - no celebratory gunfire into the air.

 

[Fuck It We'll Do It Live]

Opposition fighters in Syria, in an unprecedented move, have totally taken over numerous cities, in a highly coordinated offensive, and are now on the outskirts of Damascus, obviously preparing to make a very big move toward taking out Assad. Russia, because they are so tied up in Ukraine, and with the loss there of over 600,000 soldiers, seems incapable of stopping this literal march through Syria, a country they have protected for years. This is where former President Obama refused to honor his commitment of protecting the RED LINE IN THE SAND, and all hell broke out, with Russia stepping in. But now they are, like possibly Assad himself, being forced out, and it may actually be the best thing that can happen to them. There was never much of a benefit in Syria for Russia, other than to make Obama look really stupid. In any event, Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT. LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!

 

[Foltest]

Pretty sure Assads regime is done at this point if he's fled.

This is more emberassing than afghanistan at this point.
At least there, the afghan commandos fought hard.

 

[World in Scarlet]

Fact check, Chuds.

The Syrian government also said that the rebels use AI to create fake videos, so trust nothing!

Having a normal one.

---

Meanwhile in the offline world:

Iraqi media report that an estimated 2000 #Assad regime soldiers fled across the border at al-Qaim and surrendered their weapons to the Iraqi authorities.

Russian troops were seen fleeing East through SDF territory too.
Looks like they're setting up a gigantic pincer to smash the rebels against the Lebanese mountains after they draw them into Damascus from all directions.

 

[555777555]

This is more emberassing than afghanistan at this point.

Typical Baathist behavior. Iraqi army in 2003 was no different.

 

[Foltest]

They have freed politcal prisoners who have been in prison for over 30 years.
snippet:

‘He has come out an old man’: joy and grief as loved ones released from Assad prisons​

Family members describe renewed hopes after decades-long searches for political detainees in ‘Kingdom of Silence’

William Christou in Beirut
Sat 7 Dec 2024 09.00 CET
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Moammar Ali has been searching for his older brother for 39 years.
In 1986, Syrian soldiers arrested the university student Ali Hassan al-Ali, then 18, at a checkpoint in north Lebanon. Moammar has not heard from him since.

He spent the next three decades visiting different security branches in Syria, where he would receive conflicting information on the whereabouts of his brother.
“There was no place in Syria we didn’t visit. We went around the whole country asking what happened to him. One day they would admit they had him in prison, the next day they would deny it,” Ali, a resident of Akkar, north Lebanon, said.
The last information Ali received about his brother was that he was being held in a military security branch in Damascus on charges of political agitation. Then, Syria’s revolution and subsequent civil war began and Ali no longer received any updates on his brother’s status.


Until Thursday night, when Ali’s phone started to buzz. Friends, relatives and family members began sending him the same picture: a bedraggled man in his late 50s, standing dazed in front of the Hama central prison in north Syria.

“They said he resembled me. I told them: ‘this is my brother!’ The feeling … it’s indescribable. Imagine that I haven’t seen him for 39 years and then all of a sudden his picture is sent to you, how would you feel?” Ali said.

His brother, who entered prison as an 18-year-old, was now 57. “He has come out of prison as an old man.”

Ali’s brother was one of the thousands of prisoners released from Syrian government prisons in Aleppo and Hama after Islamist rebels led by Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) captured the city. In the last week, HTS-led forces have routed those of the Syrian army in north Syria in a stunning offensive – the most serious challenge to Bashar al-Assad’s control of Syria since the revolution in 2011.

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[im5!XxhO]

Those super secret paratroopers will counter attack any minute now.
Honestly, it ends way quicker than I expected but I guess average Arab army moral should have somewhat predicted that once the offensive got rolling.

Still, I doubt the Civil War will end with Assas gone.

 

[Chuckwagon]

The SAA garrison at Palmyra (now taken by the Revolutionary Commando Army, AKA al-Tanf dudes) has been filmed just sitting around a desert road, having been abandoned by their commanders.

SAA troops have been filmed walking off the job in Mezzeh, a neighborhood right under Assad's palace in Damascus and host to the Mezzeh Military Airport (from where he will likely be fleeing if he hasn't yet).

Rebels have gotten close enough to take a photo of the infamous Sednaya Prison or 'Human Slaughterhouse', the most feared of Assad's prisons and basically a Syrian Alcatraz where tens of thousands of prisoners (and thousands executed) were held over the course of the war. Pro-rebel sources are now further claiming that the prison has been abandoned by the guards/SAA defenders, if that's true (and they haven't just killed everyone still there to spite the rebels one last time) we should see footage/photos of freed prisoners soon.

This is more emberassing than afghanistan at this point.
At least there, the afghan commandos fought hard.

This point bears additional stressing, we all memed about Kabul falling in 72 hours, but the ANA actually did last for 3 months of active hostilities against the 'Ban before that point. For further comparison, South Vietnam lasted 3 years and the Afghan Communists lasted for 4 following the respective pullouts of their American & Soviet backers.

The rapidity of the rebel advances and attendant deluge of news just now have made this offensive feel like it's lasted 10 years, but it has actually only been 10 fucking days since HTS first started attacking into Aleppo (the governorate, not the city) back on November 27. Their initial operation was named 'Deterrence of Aggression' and everyone watching or involved (themselves included) originally only expected to push the SAA back a bit from the Aleppo-Idlib border, nothing more. Now we're literally 10 days in and Assad is already on the verge of losing his capital while his entire military seems to have dissolved into thin air. Honestly, it feels as though Russia & Iran never should have bothered trying to hold this guy up in the first place, had they not gotten involved this shit could've been done & over with 13 years ago.

 

[World in Scarlet]

It's a rare sight: a Russian military convoy accompanied by Kurdish HMMWVs and American-made BearCats, drives through the streets of Deir ez-Zor towards the city of Qamishli on the Turkish-Syrian border.

Despite its location deep in Kurdish territory, the center of Qamishli, the border crossing and its airport were under the control of the Syrian government until the current events. Now, however, the Kurds, taking advantage of Syria's collapse, have finally occupied the city.

It is not yet clear for what purpose the column of the Russian Armed Forces is being escorted there. Perhaps, under the protection of the Russian flag, the Syrian military and officials who have been in Qamishli all this time will be taken out through Kurdish territory. The question is that there is simply nowhere to take them.

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[Camel joe]

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[EyeGuy]

My Iranian militia oomfies at the Sayyida Ruyyawa shrine in Damascus as they prepare to get kicked out of Syria:

 

[mindlessobserver]

The Russians will probably be escorted to an airbase that can support large transport planes and flown out. They are going to be leaving their equipment behind though. What an Ignominious end to their little adventure. Fortunately for them its about the same level of embarrassing as the US pullout of Afghanistan, so I can't exactly dunk too hard. But it does make all the Russiaboo's making fun of the fall of Kabul rather ironic now.

 

[Mullet Man]

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They're already closing in on Damascus...
What would be the most logical way for Bashar to escape? Its a long way to Iraq and I dont think Jordan or Lebanon are willing to except him. The only way out of this is either hiding underground Saddam Hussein style or just straight up killing himself in a bunker.

 

[Camel joe]

BREAKING FUCKING NEWS

#Syrian President #Assad to address the nation at 8pm local time, an hour from now. This was just announced.

Link

 

[HOMO FOR LIFE RETURNS]

Wow. It's over. Has it been a week? Holy shit. Rip Syria.

 

[IAmNotAlpharius]

Those super secret paratroopers will counter attack any minute now.

If Steiner attacks everything will be alright.

They have freed politcal prisoners who have been in prison for over 30 years.
snippet:

It’s crazy that some of them were supposedly executed by the state but they just held them locked up. Must be a bitter sweet moment for them and their families.