Feb 18th 2025, 37 tweets
1/37 Trump’s talk of annexation strikes many as a negotiating troll, and an absurd and irresponsible one at that. Canada’s conservatives were poised to win the next election, and now that’s been endangered, and for what? Canadians would never give up their sovereignty, they hate America!
Well, it’s not so crazy as all that. There are compelling reasons for Trump to make a play for Canada. And it is not so unrealistic to expect that Canadians will change their mind about this.
Buckle in. This is a long thread, in which I’ll explain why Canada has become a security threat to the US, and how Canada can be probably be bloodlessly conquered by colour revolution.
2/37 Full disclosure: this is an adaptation (but not a copy-paste, this is largely OC!) of a much longer essay on this subject which I published a few days ago. You can find the link on my profile in my pinned post.
While I’m at it, I want to emphasize at the outset that I’m not advocating for annexation, but simply explaining the logic behind it, and the strategy Trump appears to be pursuing to achieve it. Whether or not union with the United States of America is in Canadians’ interests is an entirely separate discussion.
3/37 The ‘why’ of annexation is straightforward. Canada’s elite have placed Canada at the exact intersection of the Monroe Doctrine and Manifest Destiny at the absolute worst possible time.
4/37 America has had an eye on Canada from the very beginning. That’s what the War of 1812 was all about. That’s why America tried to get British Columbia and Newfoundland to join, before they joined Confederation.
This is just Manifest Destiny: one unified Anglo empire stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific, and from the Gulf of Mexico I mean America to the Arctic Ocean. That’s been on hold for a couple hundred years north of the 49th, because the US wasn’t strong enough to beat back the British, and because they seem to have figured that Canada was friendly, stable, prosperous, and white, so good enough, eh?
Only Canada is no longer friendly, stable, prosperous, or white. Which brings us to the Monroe Doctrine.
5/37 The Monroe Doctrine is simply that the US treats the Americas as its backyard, and will not tolerate foreign powers establishing beachheads on its property. This started all the way back in 1823 when President No. 5 James Monroe declared that no new European colonies would be permitted, and initiated a policy of steadily pushing the European empires out of the Western hemisphere. Political interference is considered a hostile act under the Monroe Doctrine. This was expanded by President No. 25 Teddy Roosevelt in 1904 with the Roosevelt Corollary, which legitimated direct military intervention in Latin America in order to maintain stability.
So how is Canada in violation of the Monroe Doctrine? In so many ways...
6/37 Canada has been demographically vandalizing itself for decades now by importing Chinese and Indians in absolutely staggering quantities, motivated by the silly idea that Canada can also become a great power if only it can increase its population to 100 million by the year 2100, the ‘Canada 2100’ plan. This has been disastrous for Canadians, who increasingly see themselves marginalized in their own country.
7/37 More seriously, this massive immigration has led to Canada’s state apparatus being thoroughly penetrated by foreign influence operations, right up to the parliamentary level. China and India have been influencing Canadian elections, putting their agents in parliament (something like a dozen Members of Parliament are suspect of being de facto foreign agents), bribing government officials. The Canadian government investigated itself and found that there was no problem, which is very reassuring.
8/37 Lax Canadian immigration – it is simply impossible to vet people when you’re bringing in over a million of them annually, a few percent of the country’s population, all ‘legally’ – has led to a higher incidence of encounters with persons of interest on terror watch lists at the US-Canada border. Obviously not all of them will be intercepted; furthermore, not everyone with ill intent is on a watch list. So how many terrorists have entered the US thanks to Canadian airports?
9/37 Canada has allowed itself to become a global hub for the fentanyl trade: importing precursor chemicals from China, manufacturing the chemical weaponry in criminal laboratories, smuggling the poison across the US border, and allowing the proceeds to be laundered through its overheated real estate market.
10/37 China has been heavily investing in Canadian natural resources, with significant stakes in some of the largest Canadian mining companies. In the last couple years the Canadian government has started to put limits on this, blocking sales to certain mines and in other cases ordering Chinese investors to divest. Still, China remains a major player, and enabling it to corner the market in various strategic minerals is not in US interests.
11/37 The Canadian Armed Forces have become an absolute joke. It’s a fraction of the size it should be given NATO commitments, but size isn’t everything. The CAF used to be known as one of the best-trained militaries in the world, small but professional and lethal. Following decades of social engineering by the Liberal Party, complete with systematic political purges of the officer corps, training and fitness standards have collapsed. The CAF is a joke now: not only small and poorly equipped but also fat, slovenly, and badly trained.
On the one hand this means the US could conquer Canada over a long weekend.
On the other, this drops responsibility for defense of the arctic against Russian and, yes, Chinese ambitions into the already overstretched arms of the US military.
12/37 The Canadian people are almost totally demoralized following a decade of Trudeau’s malign sabotage of the country. The economy is crap: per capita GDP has fallen below Alabama’s, housing is some of the most expensive in the world, taxes chew through most of people’s paychecks in order to keep public sector parasites (who account for 1/4 of the workforce and eat over half the economy) in the good life. The once-vaunted public healthcare system is in shambles, with the MAiD euthanasia program being the only thing that seems to function. Even more taxes have been piled on by a ridiculous carbon tax.
13/37 While Canada’s economy has been rotting away, its ruling elite have been putting the country’s identity and heritage to fire and sword. Canada is multicultural, a post-national state with no core identity, in which anyone can be Canadian because a Canadian is a Canadian is a Canadian, bud ... except white Canadians, who not really Canadian because they are guilty of settler-colonialism and genocide against the first nations (a claim for which zero proof has been offered), and must therefore recite ritual land acknowledgements before every public gathering, fly their flag at half mast, and provide public sector workers with an extra day off every year on Truth and Reconciliation Day ... while the statues of the country’s founder Sir John A. MacDonald are torn down, vandalized, or hidden, and his face is taken off of the money ... while their churches are burned to the ground ... while the government imports New and Improved Canadians at such an incredible pace that the Old Bad Canadians can watch themselves be ethnically cleansed from their cities in real time ... while the government gives the New and Improved Canadians preferential access to economic opportunity via mandated diversity hiring initiatives...
14/37 The COVID years should absolutely not be forgotten. As bad as things got in some of America’s Blue States and cities, the entire country of Canada was far more tyrannical. Canadians were locked in their homes, interprovincial travel was blocked, police went house to house making sure no one had unauthorized guests over, vaccine passports were imposed for access to businesses, the media drove Canadians into an absolutely insane state of mass psychosis, Canadians who refused the shot were kept prisoner within their own borders by being banned from boarding airplanes...
15/37 It is not accidental that the Freedom Convoy happened in Canada. Canadians are usually a very placid people, happy to let the government govern. It takes a lot to push Canadians to the point where they will organize a logistically challenging vehicular process spanning the length and breadth of the world’s second-largest country in the dead of an infamously savage winter. It takes a lot, and the Canadian government did a lot.
And how did the government respond? By declaring martial law, freezing bank accounts, and beating the ever-living-shit out of the protesters with riot cops.
16/37 Canadians have been driven to such a state of despairing rage that they have been hoisting the black flag of F
ck Trudeau all over the country as an indication of their intention to start slitting political throats the next time they’re allowed to vote.
There’s just one problem with this: that has so far failed to cohere into anything resembling a populist insurgency.
17/37 The total absence of any meaningful populist opposition to the ruling Laurentian elite is quite amazing when you consider that such parties have either already taken power, are on the cusp of taking power, or at the very least have a significant foothold in the national legislatures of essentially every European country, despite all the demonization ('far right Nazi' etc), cordon sanitaire tactics, lawfare, etc. Even the Yookay has the Reform Party, an upstart anti-immigration party that grabbed a handful of seats in the first election it entered, mere weeks after the party formed.
18/37 The only anti-immigration nationalist-populist party in Canada is the People’s Party. They’ve been around for several years already, have not once broken single digits in polling, and have not taken a single seat in parliament. For whatever reason – and there are several – they have utterly failed to connect with the Canadian people ... despite being the only party to take a hard line on immigration, which is a wildly popular position amongst the Canadian electorate.
19/37 The current favourite to win the next election are the Conservative Party of Canada, led by Pierre Poilievre. Well, great, right? They’re based conservatives, what’s the problem here?
The problem is that Poilievre is a squishy globalist stooge whose only selling point is that he is Not Justin Trudeau.
Pictured: Pierre Poilievre, who is Not Justin Trudeau.
20/37 Poilievre is ‘conservative’ insofar as he wants to get rid of the carbon tax, eliminate interprovincial trade barriers (which, yes, those are insane), and get the ball rolling on northern resource development projects that have been strangled with red tape and First Nations whining. That’s all great. Unfortunately, he’s also gung-ho on Ukraine and enthusiastic about continuing mass immigration.
Recently Poilievre was bullied into announcing that he’d reduce mass immigration to ‘only’ a quarter million per annum, still close to 1% of the country’s population. However, this was after several months during which, believe it or not, the Liberal Party had actually tacked to the right of the conservatives on immigration. No one really believes he’ll keep his word on this.
Pic related is still online at the Conservative Party of Canada website by the way.
21/37 On the other side, the favourite to win the Liberal Party leadership race is Mark Carney, a central banker and self-described globalist elitist. The boomers seem to like Carney, and he’s arguably more charismatic than Poilievre, who shares Pete Buttigieg’s pathic affect but lacks the charm. Since he entered the race the Liberal Party’s polls have improved, and the Conservative’s have weakened, both quickly and dramatically. Poilievre’s only real strength is that he is Not Justin Trudeau, so now that Justin is out of the running, Poilievre has been kneecapped.
22/37 From the perspective of MAGA, it doesn’t much matter whether Poilievre or Carney ultimately takes over the prime minister’s office. It’s a choice between globalist stooge number 1 and globalist stooge number 2.
23/37 As it stands, Canada seems to be trying to turn itself into Yookrainada: all of the insane multicultural globalist woke nonsense of the Yookay, and all of the artificially whipped up nationalism and massive systemic corruption of the Ukraine.
The goal would be to turn Canada into the same kind of security nightmare for the US that the Ukraine was turned into for Russia: a culturally indistinguishable border state worked up into frothing hostility for its much larger neighbour, which will happily set about sabotaging that neighbour’s economy by e.g. playing games with natural resource flows.
Medium-to-long term, a hostile Canada in hock to globalism would be a very nice staging ground for foreign militaries, nor is it at all out of the question that the Canadian military could itself be rapidly built up via a combination of Chinese investment and massive recruiting of the absurdly large surplus population of foreign fighting-age males that the country has been busily filling itself with.
24/37 That might seem over the top, but Canada’s ruling elite is universally, deeply hostile to Red America. They are ideologically committed to the most extreme forms of globalism.
Globalist influence – at least of the left variety (I know some of you will complain about this characterization) – has been excised from the executive branch of American government, and the new management are following up their hostile takeover of central office with a rampage through the state apparatus, tearing up the enemy’s tendrils by the roots. It’s nothing less than a catastrophe for WEFoids. Having been defenestrated from the imperial core, their next best option is to retrench in the imperial provinces, fortify them, build them up, and use them as a staging ground to apply external pressure to the revolutionary usurpers.
25/37 It seems that Trump’s team understands all of this perfectly well. Canada has turned into a corrupt narcostate that hostile foreign powers are wearing as a skinsuit, there’s no possibility for meaningful internal political change on the necessary timescale, and if things continue on their present course the country could rapidly evolve from a minor annoyance to a major security threat.
At the same time, as it stands the country is defenceless and demoralized. It has never been more ripe for the plucking.
Canada is in violation of the Monroe Doctrine ... and Manifest Destiny calls.
26/37 If Trump pulls it off, and turns Canada into the 51ststate (or the 51st through 61st states, depending), 47 will become the president who unified North America under the stars and stripes, at a single stroke more than doubling the country’s landmass, establishing a New Colossus that is now the single largest country by landmass on the planet, with a combined area of 19.8 million square kilometres (22 million square kilometres with Greenland) ... even larger than the Russian Federation, with a mere 17.1 million square kilometres ... an essentially impregnable continental fortress surrounded by ocean on three sides, with its only land frontier a heavily fortified wall stretching across a brutal desert.
That is the kind of thing they carve your face into mountains for.
27/37 The only thing that really stands in the way of this New Colossus is that the only shred of identity that Canadians really hold onto is that they are Not-Americans. Canadians have defined themselves as Not-Americans since before Confederation; the country was founded by United Empire Loyalists who left the United States rather than betray the Crown and join in the liberal revolution, and Canadians have jealously guarded their independence ever since. Decades of Liberal Party social engineering have steadily stripped away every form of ethnic particularism, but the old words We Stand On Guard For Thee still carry some resonance in Canadian hearts.
28/37 Now, the simplest way to annex Canada would be to just send in the military. However, this is clumsy and hamfisted. It makes you look like the bad guy. The international community would shriek, not that anyone cares, Margaret, but still. It would also plant the seeds for generational resentment, risking Canada turning into a vast, frozen Northern Ireland, in which the Canadian Monarchist Army wages a dirty war of assassination and sabotage. Canada’s infrastructure is spread out and hard to defend; such a situation could rapidly turn into a quagmire.
29/37 If you’re going to avoid a quagmire, you need to make Canadians WANT union.
To go back to the Ukraine analogy, Ukraine was ripped away from Russian influence by fomenting a colour revolution, the Euro-Maidan, which placed a proxy government favourable to the West, and hostile to Moscow, into power. This ultimately resulted in a very destructive war, because obviously, Russia wasn’t happy about having a NATO puppet on its doorstep.
In the case of Canada, the government is already in the hands of people hostile to the US – or, at least, to the revolutionary element that the American people have rammed into the heart of Washington, which is busy remaking the country. Ironically, the solution for the US turns out to be the same: a colour revolution to peel a country out of the sphere of influence of its adversaries, and into its own. Also ironically, fomenting a colour revolution may be the best way to prevent a war.
30/37 The plan seems to be to precipitate a Maple Maidan with a two-pronged approach.
First, tariffs are used to put extreme pressure on the Canadian economy. Even the THREAT of tariffs will do a lot of damage, just by panicking investors. The Canadian economy is already on very shaky grounds, and the Canadian people are already in great financial distress. Crack the economy, and you’ve got massive inflation, unemployment, mortgage defaults, homelessness. It could turn into a severe crisis very quickly.
In isolation this would just piss Canadians off, and indeed, this has already happened, as you can see from the anthem-booing at Hockey Fight in Canada.
So in addition to economic pressure, you need psychological operations.
31/37 You accompany the tariffs (and the threat of tariffs) with a full-spectrum assault on the legitimacy of the Canadian ruling class, attacking them on all of the grounds laid out earlier in the thread – economic mismanagement, corruption, mass immigration, the contempt they show for Canadian culture and heritage, the deplorable state of the Canadian military – and really just a whole bunch of other things, you’re actually spoiled for choice because the Laurentian elite really are one of the most feckless, incompetent ruling classes in history. You attack along all available vectors, exploiting the deep-seated disillusionment of the Canadian people with their leadership.
32/37 Of course the propaganda offensive also includes a positive vision: the prosperity that will be generated by union, the freedoms Canadians will enjoy, the possibility of finally settling the north.
Naturally the Laurentian elite will reject all of this out of hand. They will then start desperately casting around for alternatives, especially as the tariffs have caused a very real economic emergency.
33/37 The reaction of Canada’s ruling clique to the crisis is all part of the comedy.
First, the no-core-identitarian post-nationalists wrap themselves in the flag they so recently flew at half mast, beating their chests in declarations of undying patriotism for a racist settler-colonialist genocidal imperialist project, proclaiming the absolute sacredness of the sovereignty of a country built on stolen land that anyone can belong to because a Canadian is a Canadian is a Canadian (but an American cannot be a Canadian, only Chinese and Indians can become Canadians).
Second, they start proposing treacherous stuff like intensifying ties with China, or downright goofy ideas like joining the European Union. Because clearly, there is a world of difference between giving up sovereignty to the unelected European Commission in Brussels, and giving up sovereignty to the elected government in Washington (the pic is from The Economist btw).
34/37 So now the Canadian elite are floundering around making themselves look ridiculous. For a time you’ve got a sort of patriotic dead-cat bounce, as Canadians instinctively rally to the Maple Leaf, but the Canada First rhetoric rings very hollow to a lot of Canadians who have watched in disgust for decades as the very same people have repeatedly betrayed the country for decades.
35/37 The ultimate goal is to move enough Canadians from No to Yes, such that a referendum on union can receive a clear democratic mandate. Is this possible?
Well, look at this recent poll. When asked if they’d ever vote to join the US, 77% of Canadian youth said “fuck you, no.” Pretty clear, right? It’s a non-starter.
But look at the final question. When the pot is sweetened with full citizenship and conversion of all loonie-denominated assets into greenbacks on a one-for-one basis, suddenly 43% of the same demographic are saying “ah, you bastard, you got me, I’m in.”
36/37 That poll result suggests that Canadians are, in actual fact, just haggling over the price. Trump sees that, and he intends to grab Canada by the beaver.
And remember, we’re still in very early stages here. So far all of this is just rhetoric in the legacy press, posturing by politicians, discourse on social media. It hasn’t taken to the streets yet. But already, just in the last couple weeks, I’ve watched sentiment shift hard on social media. Canadian uniparty politicians cannot say anything without getting absolutely plowed in the replies by people saying fuck you, you don’t care about Canadians, you people have ruined this country, we want to join America.
This party’s just getting started.
37/37 Man, this thread is already way longer than it should be, so I’m going to leave it there. If you’d like to read more about this, I have a whole essay about Maple Maidan which goes into a bit more speculative detail about how it could all play out. Very little of this thread is directly copied from that article, this is mostly OC – see how I spoil you – so you won’t be reading just the same stuff you’ve already read.
Stupid regressive leftists.
