Science More Marriages End When Wives Get Sick Than When Husbands Do

Key points​

  • Research published in February investigated the vow to stand by a marriage in times of sickness.
  • Marriages are about seven times more likely to end when the wife becomes ill than when the husband does.
  • Most marriages do not end in divorce after a spouse becomes ill, even when the wife is the patient.
People who love being single and want to stay single, such as the single at heart, are often taunted with the question, “But who will be there for you in later life? What if you get sick?” The assumption seems to be that married people have nothing to worry about. After all, they made the vow to be there for each other “in sickness and in health.”

Research just published in February (2025) in the Journal of Marriage and Family shows that the vow to stand by a marriage in times of sickness is not so sturdy when it is the wife in a heterosexual couple who becomes ill.
The Italian social scientists Daniele Vignoli, Giammarco Alderotti, and Cecilia Tomassini, in an 18-year study, tracked more than 25,000 heterosexual couples, ages 50 and older, from 27 European nations. The participants were surveyed repeatedly and asked each time about their health, depression, whether they had limitations on what they could do in everyday life without help, and whether they were still together. The findings were reported in “Partners’ health and silver splits in Europe: A gendered pattern?

Vignoli and his colleagues looked separately at the couples who were between the ages of 50 and 64 and the couples in which at least one partner was 65 and older. Their results were stronger for the younger couples.

Couples between the ages of 50 and 64​

For the 50- to 64-year-olds, when the wife was in poor health but the husband wasn’t, their marriage was more likely to end than when both were in good health. When the husband was in poor health but the wife wasn’t, they were no more likely to split than when both were in good health.

The same pattern emerged for everyday limitations. When the wife was severely limited in her ability to perform the tasks of everyday life but her husband wasn’t, the couple was more likely to divorce than when neither experienced severe limitations. Again, if the situation reversed and it was the husband who had severe limitations, the marriage was no more likely to end than if neither partner had severe limitations.

When a wife was depressed but her husband wasn’t, the marriage was more likely to end than if neither partner was depressed. But a marriage was at least as likely to end when the husband was depressed and the wife wasn’t.

Couples in which at least one partner was 65 or older​

For the older couples, depression mattered more than physical health or activity limitations. For depression, the gendered pattern emerged: If the wife was depressed but the husband wasn’t, the marriage was more likely to end than if neither was depressed. But if the husband was depressed and the wife wasn’t, the couple was no more likely to divorce.

Why is a marriage more likely to end when a wife gets sick than when a husband does?​

The researchers did not test any explanations for their findings, and they discuss them only briefly. They suggest that it is typically the wife who has the role of the caregiver and that it is more stressful for the couple when the wife is ill than when the husband is. They also note that women are often more financially dependent and economically vulnerable; those challenges could pose barriers to the wives who might want to exit a marriage.

I'd add that men may be more likely to go into a marriage expecting to be cared for. When the tables are turned and they are the ones who need to do the intensive caring, some will leave rather than step up.

Other important considerations​

This was not the first study to show that a heterosexual marriage is more likely to end when a wife becomes seriously ill than when a husband does. In a study of married people diagnosed with a brain tumor or multiple sclerosis, the partner was more likely to be “abandoned” (in the authors’ words) when it was the wife who was ill. In those cases, 21 percent of the marriages ended. When it was the husband who became seriously ill, just 3 percent of the couples divorced.
That’s a big difference—marriages are about seven times more likely to end when the wife becomes seriously ill than when the husband does. But those numbers also show that most marriages do not end in divorce after a spouse becomes ill. Even when the wife is the patient, only about 1 in 5 marriages end in the next couple of years.
 
Maybe someone with more experience in reading these things than me can have a look but the numbers look infinitesimal to me.,
hasn't this study been deboonked like a million times already
Yes, the men just died instead. If I remember correctly; if the woman was sick, ~6% ended in divorce; if the man was sick, ~1% divorce, ~6% deceased. I don't believe that there was any data on who initiated the divorce either, or why, it was just presented as the husband abandoning his wife.
The original study didn't just have questionable conclusions, its core calculations turned out to be flawed due to a coding error which included everyone who left the study in the "divorced their wives" numerator, dwarfing the actual thing they were measuring.

Despite being retracted in 2015 (and you really can't miss it, with RETRACTED in the title and stamped on every page), Shitlib publications like HuffPo and the usual ilk continue to cite it 10 years later.

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Family diversity at older ages is growing in wealthy countries
"Family diversity" as euphemism for "widespread no-fault divorce" is one I haven't seen before...
 
I skimmed and didn't see a mention of which partner initiated each divorce. Is that notable?

I have heard that women initiate the majority of divorces. Assuming that, some guesses:
A. Woman-initiating amount is lowered by the woman falling sick (moving the ratio towards men initiating more even if men do it the same amount of times).
B. Men initiating amount goes up even higher than the woman-initiating amount, so men initiate more in this scenario.
C. Women become more likely to initiate divorce when they themselves are sick vs. when the man is sick. This would also make that divorce rate number go up.

I think the information on which partner initiated would add helpful context.
If I missed it in my skim, lol mb.
 
One major problem already.
What methods would have been better for obtaining the data? I see the problem that what is "healthy" is different to each person, what is "limiting" is different for each person, some will play down their problems, some will over-exaggerate. And then of course you have different countries with their own cultural influences, beliefs, etc.
 
I looked at one of the studies mentioned. The conclusion seemed to be that while the actual overall rate of divorce in these situations was rather low, when divorce did happen, there was a gender split in the data.
That doesn't allow one to make a conclusion about the populations as a whole. But rather it only allows one to make a conclusion about the sub-population that would consider abandoning a sick partner.
 
deeper in the research if you bothered reading.JPG
ah yes
because a research article about research articles somehow makes their conclusions anymore modern
What methods would have been better for obtaining the data? I see the problem that what is "healthy" is different to each person, what is "limiting" is different for each person, some will play down their problems, some will over-exaggerate. And then of course you have different countries with their own cultural influences, beliefs, etc.
First, differentiate those with chronic illnesses from those with sudden life threatening ones. Look through official records if possible, don't engage in fucking surveys unless you really believe Biden was popular for his first few years. I imagine getting actual information is more difficult than asking randos though, so it explains why there's so much reliance on them and old data, especially in the modern age where no one wants to do actual research anymore and lies to get more funding.
 
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Married men live longer than unmarried dont they? The effect is attributed to ‘good nagging.’ Which is ‘honey I’ve told you a million times go get that dodgy mole looked at/you really need to go and see the doc about that cough..’
Seriously, men. You all have a ticking time bomb in your bum. Go to the doctor. I don't care if you're not sick. You think we like getting mammograms? No.
 
Married men live longer than unmarried dont they? The effect is attributed to ‘good nagging.’ Which is ‘honey I’ve told you a million times go get that dodgy mole looked at/you really need to go and see the doc about that cough..’
I think it's more likely just the effect of feeling unwanted. Hard to fend off unhealthy habits and lifestyle when deep down you don't really have anyone close in your life. That's probably offset for women somewhat because women form closer relationships outside of their partner than men do, typically.
 
Married men live longer than unmarried dont they? The effect is attributed to ‘good nagging.’ Which is ‘honey I’ve told you a million times go get that dodgy mole looked at/you really need to go and see the doc about that cough..’
Survivorship bias perhaps. Married men tend to be more well adjusted. Being unmarried past your 50s tend to be a sign of either red flags or a stressful life
 
Seriously, men. You all have a ticking time bomb in your bum. Go to the doctor. I don't care if you're not sick. You think we like getting mammograms? No.
And be gay? Hell no. I don't put the shopping down until it's in the house, I don't slow down unless the traffic light is red - not amber - and I don't get fingered. Why? Because I'm straight.
 
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I think it's more likely just the effect of feeling unwanted. Hard to fend off unhealthy habits and lifestyle when deep down you don't really have anyone close in your life.
It’s the same thing I suppose . A decent marriage = CARE of each other. Making healthier habits, a bit if a reminder about that doctors appointment, noticing a dodgy mole on your back you can’t see yourself.
That's probably offset for women somewhat because women form closer relationships outside of their partner than men do, typically.
I keep getting told this, that women have these massive supper circles and I feel deficient in this aspect.
 
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