That's assuming that trumps successors don't win more terms, or also that it's more stable to be in this flux vs just having tariff free simple domestic manufacturing.
Recent elections in Florida had republicans underperforming, and they got destroyed in the special election in Wisconsin despite record spending from Elon Musk.
it's an assumption, yes, but also a probable one:
1. Republican voter turnout has dropped in these elections compared to in 2024; they've gotten complacent since the presidential win
2. Dems are more energized than ever and are overperforming in many districts; they're protesting and holding rallies like they're life depends on it, boosting their base even more while the MAGA movement slowly weakens
3. Republicans barely have a majority in the House and Senate, its so tight that Trump had to recall his UN nominee because he didn't want to risk losing a seat to a dem.
there is one way to fix this.
Trump Fuhrer.
MAGA not beating the cult allegations anytime soon
But if you make it in the US it can't be tariffed in the US, and that's a certainty.
Yes, but at what cost? the cost difference between US and foreign manufacturing is substantial, for more than just whatever trumps tariffs would be on imports. Energy costs, labor costs, raw materials- these would all eat away at a business's profits, some businesses fundamentally unprofitable due to how they've been designing their systems for the past 30-40 years.
This also ignores the bigger picture, the U.S. currently doesn't have the infrastructure or workforce to support large-scale manufacturing like it did in the 1900s. its not like we just offshored factories; we outsourced skill-trained labor, logistics networks, and mineral processing. stuff like steel, aluminum, semiconductors, etc aren't just going to reappear within a couple of years - it'll take decades.
and if tariffs just disappear, companies that rushed to build all of these things in the U.S. would be at a competitive disadvantage against imports. making it likely for outsourcing to happen again.