US US Politics General 2 - Discussion of President Trump and other politicians

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Should be a wild four years.

Helpful links for those who need them:

Current members of the House of Representatives
https://www.house.gov/representatives

Current members of the Senate
https://www.senate.gov/senators/

Current members of the US Supreme Court
https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/biographies.aspx

Members of the Trump Administration
https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/
 
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I cope by pretending the explanation is that the lib ladies slowly get radicalized until they can’t take it anymore.
Whitepill: I can assure you this happens all the time.

I have five fairly close friends, all lifelong liberal white women, who have been redpilled via exposure in recent years.

A paramedic.
A radiology Tech.
One who moved to a bad neighborhood.
Two teachers.

All starry eyed optimists who were going to change the world 10 years ago and are now at the very least fatigued and on bad days outright hateful.

Anecdotal examples aside, you can feel it in the air.
 
Doesn't that say more about the shit quality of the "real" products? That people are just paying for the brand?

I'll tell you secret about modern Chinese "fakes": they're made in the same factory by the same workers as the real ones now. Whether it be running an unauthorized third shift after-hours and selling that product out the back door or the quality-control rejects that Nike et al also sell themselves in their factory outlet stores at a pittance discount. That's one of the consequences of outsourcing manufacturing to Asia. Put a $350 NFL Pro Shop jersey side-by-side with a $50 "knockoff" from DHGate and aside from maybe a stray thread they are identical. Same materials, stitching, everything. Because it's made by the same person on the same machine in the same factory. Why does the Pro Shop version cost $350? So Reebok execs can pay themselves obscene salaries and bonuses.

50 years of selling fake Rolex and Omega watches allowed China to develop watch movements that are actually superior to Rolex and Omega movements today and once decorated they are indistinguishable by authorized resellers. The "fakes" are that good.
That's all part of the intellectual property theft as well. By offshoring manufacturing, these designer-label companies provided the right equipment and taught the Chinese how to make these goods. But did the Chinese shut down shop at 5 pm and let the workers go home? No, of course they didn't. They kept the luxury brand's equipment running for a night shift and made knockoffs of the exact same product they were contracted to make during the day. In addition, they had Chinese engineers come in and make knockoffs if the equipment so that the luxury brand couldn't shut the factory down by canceling the contract and taking the equipment back. Losing the contract means they just go to making knockoffs 24/7.

I saw a video the other day about counterfeit products being sold in Facebook Marketplace, Letgo, etc. The counterfeit supplier includes a fake receipt for the item along with the product. The American reseller gives the receipt to the mark to imply the item is not a fake, they bought it a year ago, and the fake receipt has a luxury brand store name on it, as well as a high price. That way, the American reseller can offer a "deep discount", but it's not really a discount, because the item is fake.

Sorry I couldn't archive the video, I just get errors any time I try to archive or download anything from JewTube lately.
 
Trump's administration is talking about cutting all HUD funding to sanctuary cities, and though that would affect a lot of people here legally, I see the necessity of it.

They only want HUD funds going to housing people here legally, and if they want to enforce that, they can't keep handing sacks of money to Democrat cities saying "This is only for people with the right to be here, promise?" while the Democrat mayors say with their fingers crossed behind their backs "Sure, sure, not that we'd tell you if they weren't here legally! Teehee!"

Why should legal immigrants receive any welfare via HUD at all? Fuck off back to your country if you can't support yourself.
 
That's all part of the intellectual property theft as well.
What intellectual property is in a purse? The Gucci logo? Who gives a shit beyond Gucci shareholders?

It's a good thing trademark and patent attorneys didn't exist back when that first caveman discovered fire or the wheel. We'd all be fucked. Human advancement couldn't have happened without humans copying shit others humans did that worked better. Evolution.
 
How was it "free trade" before when we were getting tariffed out the ass and just accepted it? Doesn't this issue go two ways? Libertarians really think free trade means everyone gets to impose crazy tariffs on the US, and the US can't react to that at all? This is why I'm so confused, the tariffs Trump is enforcing didn't just come out of nowhere, the US was being cheated and the Libertarians should be more aware of that than any other party but I guess holding todays libertarians to the standards of their very distant past is pretty nonsensical.
Libertarians are useful idiots for the Uniparty that are allowed even less control than the greens.
 

To summarize:
  1. Multi-trillion basis trade is blowing up and countless funds and banks are unwinding positions, but...
  2. There is not nearly enough liquidity in the system
  3. The lack of liquidity shockwave is rampaging across all markets, sending stocks plunging (liquidation panic), bonds crashing (yields up 50bps in 2 days), and a flight to safety in FX (yen soaring... but at some point the inflection point will get hit and there will be an acute shortage of dollars as the global synthetic dollar short at around $6 trillion is even bigger than the basis trade).
  4. We have critical liquidity drainage events as soon as tomorrow (the 10Y auction followed by the 30Y auction on Thursday), and if there is not enough liquidity in the system, we may have an unofficially failed auction - yes Dealers would in theory take down the whole thing, but if we get a 40 or 50% dealer award, it's the same as a failed auction.
Meanwhile, if this were happening at any other time, the Fed would be rushing to bail out the system. After all Powell cut a jumbo 50bps in Septemebr 2024 when there was zero stress in the market plumbing... But he can't do anything now because he would be seen as aiding Trump, especially since the narrative now is that yields are surging because of stagflation fears. Only, that's not the case at all - indeed, yields were tumbling until Friday, when the basis trade started to get unwound, at which point they shot straight up.

And the biggest paradox is that the more liquidity is drained, the higher yields will rise, the more the Fed will misinterpret the signal sent from yields as one of stagflation ("let Trump fix that, he just needs to undo tariffs") instead of what it really is: imploding liquidity and an imminent market crisis.

Oh and lest we forget, if Powell were to cut tomorrow, or launch QE, the Democrats would never forgive him as they would see such an action as bailing out Trump.

Only Powell no longer has a choice, because if he lets Trump crash and burn, the Fed Chair will also be allowing the entire financial system collapse!

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In retrospect little did we know how prescient this tweet from more than a year ago would prove to be...

btw this is where the next really big crash will start https://t.co/XcK2RezYEk
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) February 1, 2024

And now we wait to see what the Fed will do because the next 48 hours may well be the most important in the recent history of the US.

  • Liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset, or security, can be converted into ready cash without affecting its market price.
  • Cash is the most liquid of assets, while tangible items are less liquid.
  • The two main types of liquidity are market liquidity and accounting liquidity.
  • Current, quick, and cash ratios are most commonly used to measure liquidity.

tldr to the tldr
within the next 24-72 hours.

edit: I wouldn't be surprised if J Powell just says fuck this I'm out.
 
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Libertarians are unironic pedophiles and want limited government so they can diddle children freely.
I realized in hindsight that Libertarians stretched the concept of "leaving people alone" into shameless promotion of all sorts of degeneracy. Some people don't deserve to be "left alone" (pedophiles). And not worrying too much about two guys fucking in the privacy of their own home is a lot different from defending a tranny flashing their balls in a little kid's face at a Drag Queen Story Hour, which is the Libertarian interpretation of "Leave people alone". Some people and some behaviors NEED to be shamed, otherwise they'll start forcing their perversion into mainstream society and doing it in public. I know that now.

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The Biden Admin and the various powers that be in it knew that COVID came from Wuhan because our troops caught it in Wuhan months before it spread out from China.

And they illegally hid this.
I'll go one step further with this: Covid-19 was circulating in the US as early as late December 2019 in communities with military bases. The soldiers came home for a Christmas leave, and their families got sick and spread it to others by the end of the month. I wonder if they'll ever admit that. They still insist that it didn't hit the US until March of 2020, but I KNOW that's a lie.
 
China is the biggest exporter of counterfeit goods; there's a 50/50 chance those overpriced kicks and pricy handbags they're buying from legitimate sites are FAKE because China cheated the retailer, and only Nike and Louis Vuitton can tell if the product is real or fake a first sight. That's how good China is at counterfeiting.
Whatever happened to the days of real investigative journalism?
 
What intellectual property is in a purse?
The pattern, materials, logo, and the entire design? The construction processes? Kind of a weird question honestly unless your mind processes all purses as unrendered containers each exactly the same. Some of these things go for like $20k and it's not because the girl heard the name of the brand once before
 
The pattern, materials, logo, and the entire design? The construction processes?
Pretending any of that is special is a fairly recent development in human history. It's also why such "IP theft" is so widespread in Asia: their culture has never been programmed to value such meaningless things. To them people want to buy this thing that looks a certain way so let's make that thing that looks a certain way and sell it to them.
 
What intellectual property is in a purse? The Gucci logo? Who gives a shit beyond Gucci shareholders?

It's a good thing trademark and patent attorneys didn't exist back when that first caveman discovered fire or the wheel. We'd all be fucked. Human advancement couldn't have happened without humans copying shit others humans did that worked better. Evolution.
A great deal of engineering goes into high-end bags. They're not just gunny sacks with a zipper and a logo. You can't make them with an awl and a piece of rawhide string. They're almost as complicated as handmade shoes, with the exception of the custom fit. It takes a lot of research and design work and specialty machinery to make the first designer bag come out right. Then you can copy the first one endlessly to make the rest (unlike custom shoes). But if they're copied endlessly, they're no longer exclusive, and idiots who will pay used-car prices for a single exclusive handbag won't buy them at all. The whole market is stupid, just like the collector shoe market, but it was lucrative, and the Chinese have stolen it.

The Chinese used to make pleather gunny sacks, and now they make highly structured and engineered bags that they sell for a couple hundred dollars instead of a couple of thousand--because Louis Vuitton and Coach taught the Chinese how to make them, and the Chinese ripped off the R & D, the leatherworking techniques, AND the specialty equipment along the way.
Profound.
 
From the millitary intelligence department that brought you "Why Arabs lose wars" comes growing evidence that Asians do not have souls, are not purestrain human, and have more in common with insects than monkey.

Chinese culture values replication as the same or higher level that original innovation. Like other doppelganger races they survive by mimicry and deception. To them being able to paint an exact copy of the Mona Lisa proves you have the same skill and ability as Leonardo da Vinci.

This has such widespread implications for their society that it indicates a deep flaw in their genetics and interpersonal relationships. The dumb chink that works at the Louis Vuitton or Rolex factory thinks they are equally as skilled as those creators. Thus they believe Americans are too stupid to replace them because only 1 of them managed to do what an entire room of "people" do every day right in front of them.

This also carries into and distorts their perceptions of value. A high quality product that looks the same as a cheap knock off is stupid to purchase even if it would last longer. This is responsible for the race to the bottom in quality that has infected every production line on earth.

It also taints their feelings on the environment and conservation. You can pour toxic chemicals and polloute the shit out of the environment as long as it looks clean afterwards. It doesn't matter to them if they extinct a species they can just paint another to look like it.

Combine the utter lack of humanity and morality with a country where each person looks largely the exact same as the other and you get a culture that places very low value on life. If their child becomes injured they will often opt to kill them and replace them with a healthy copy. When they run over and injure someone they will back over them to finish the job because a funeral is cheaper than ongoing medical care. Every aspect of life, culture, and liberty is replaceable with a cheap copy.

Japanese suffer from this same problem to a lesser extent. Through their embrace of American culture they have come to realize how truly broken and flawed their own is which is why they stopped breeding.
 
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