2025 Israel vs Iran War

[merpalerpaherp]

I don't think its a massive issue for the IDF *Haifa Power plant explodes* because you can quickly find out *Weizzman Institute burns down* what tactic they are using and adjust your system *Nevatim Airbase gets hit again* to prioritize. Guarantee you the US is helping them analyze and adapt. *Haifa refinery goes up in flames* Combine that with the fact that the Israel AF has air superiority *IAF planes stay away from Iranian space altogether* over the Persian skies and are playing wack a mole *gets hit with a 7th wave of missiles* with missile erectors and it will quickly take the bite out *Israeli ministry of defence building gets leveled* of whatever missile tactics they are using. *27 US tankers panic rush over to Israel to help*

Here, because I'm lazy I'll just drop you the ISW's bullet points.

Key Takeaways

• The IDF expanded its air campaign into Iran by beginning to strike regime institutions, including some related to internal security and social control. This comes the day after the IDF began striking energy infrastructure. The degradation of the Iranian coercive apparatus coupled with energy shortages could destabilize the regime.
• The IDF conducted its furthest strike eastward as part of its efforts to establish air superiority over Iran. The IDF specifically struck an Artesh airbase around Mashhad in northeastern Khorasan Razavi Province. Most of the Israeli strikes targeting air defenses have been around western and central Iran thus far.
• Iran has continued its missile campaign targeting Israel, having launched 10 total barrages at the time of this writing. Two of these barrages occurred in recent hours. The IDF has intercepted around 92 percent of the missiles that Iran has fired at Israel thus far, according to an Israeli official speaking to Reuters.

 

[Hectic Heckler]

AMERIBUTTS PREPARE YOUR ANUS. YOU ARE ABOUT TO DIE FOR JEWS AGAIN

We're in Canada, bro. We're already dead.

 

[ViM]

Israel used like 1/3 of its entire Air Force on Friday night, that's not sustainable for sure. Iran has fired fewer missiles in each barrage from their first one too, ~150 to ~100 to in between 50 and 100 now

Okay, but they're firing fewer missiles yet landing more hits. That just sounds like they're being more efficient and demonstrating the ability to inflict more damage at a lower cost. As someone else said, it looks like Iran is calibrating it's strikes for a long serious war of attrition whereas Israel is just blowing through its expensive air to ground missiles without much plan for what happens if this lasts longer than a week or two.

Iranian air defense appears to be at a lower level than the Houthis rn. You don't see any SAM videos from Iran, it's all AA cannon tracer rounds looking pretty in the sky. Houthis always had SAMs still operating vs the US. From how many places in Iran are getting hit looks like Israel scaled back to a few dozen planes (which can still hit one target very heavily each) in each attack since the first one

From what I've seen they're mostly shooting down those Mossad drones. It's pretty common practice in Russia-Ukraine to use cannons for drones to avoid the practice of wasting expensive missiles on cheap drones. It might have a lower interception rate but Iran has always been able to sustain hits, just ask Saddam Hussein.
Thinking that the Houthis have a more sophisticated air defense network than Iran is certainly a bold thought. I guess we'll see!

 

[draggs]

btw the video of the interceptor unit malfunctioning at Nevatim is legit, the videos of 8 gorillion Iranian missiles hitting Nevatim is from 2024. You can tell because multiple accounts posted them two days ago and now they're being posted again this time being presented as having happened in the last hour

 

[Catch The Rainbow]

Looks like BM had a direct hit on a safe room and destroyed it. Also may have hit an embassy

 

[draggs]

Thinking that the Houthis have a more sophisticated air defense network than Iran is certainly a bold thought. I guess we'll see!

That isn't what I said. I said Houthis air defense is probably in better shape right now. It didn't get hit in the last 48 hours by dozens of planes and glownigger ground ops like Iran's did

As someone else said, it looks like Iran is calibrating it's strikes for a long serious war of attrition whereas Israel is just blowing through its expensive air to ground missiles without much plan for what happens if this lasts longer than a week or two.

None of us niggers know how many missiles of any kind each side has. It's all CIA estimates and conjecture

 

[Screamer_2]

The jews need to do something they are getting hit hard.

That's by design. If they don't quickly succeed, the US will have no choice but to step in to protect them from hornets nest of ballistic missiles they kicked.

The whole thing is genuis levels of retarded. Israel starts a war, where if they don't quickly win, America will step in to bomb Iran for them. While ending diplomacy and creating an existential threat to Iran where they now have no choice but to get nuclear weapons, which will also then be used for America to directly bomb them and get into the war.

Israel tries to topple the Iranian regime and win the war quickly. If that doesn't happen and they start to lose, America will step in to destroy the Iranian regime to protect Israel.

Iran has no choice in this situation but to try and get a nuclear weapon. So if US doesn't step for Israel, they will get involved to stop them from getting a nuke. Complaining that Iran won't engage in diplomacy. It's all designed to only escalate.

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

Iranian air defense appears to be at a lower level than the Houthis rn. You don't see any SAM videos from Iran, it's all AA cannon tracer rounds looking pretty in the sky. Houthis always had SAMs still operating vs the US. From how many places in Iran are getting hit looks like Israel scaled back to a few dozen planes (which can still hit one target very heavily each) in each attack since the first one

I really really really really can't stress enough how "Houthis have better air defence cause I haven't seen SAM videos from Iran" is a terrible argument.

 

[Stoneheart]

Israels AA isnt working so well. 2 major hits in Haifa that will sting for months.
repairing a refinery and a power plant will take alot of time.
The port attack was just stupid, ports are giant with very few vital parts

 

[Welfare Bum]

The port attack was just stupid, ports are giant with very few vital parts

Cargo ships cost an insane amount of money and no company is going to want to put their ships into a port that is likely to be bombed, and insurance companies are not gonna wanna cover ships that try. Saw that with the Red Sea.

 

[draggs]

I really really really really can't stress enough how "Houthis have better air defence cause I haven't seen SAM videos from Iran" is a terrible argument.

We have many videos of Iranian ballistic missiles launching, Israeli drones getting acked by AA cannon, and AA cannon tracer rounds over Iran, but no videos of Iranian SAMs. Very weird. Israeli planes are flying over Iran, in addition to the stand-off strikes they're using GBU-28s and other bombs that have a range measured in single digit miles, and glide bombs that have a double digit mile range. Iranian SAMs aren't not firing because there's no Israeli planes to shoot at. You can't reach a place like Mashhad with missiles and bombs from a plane all the way over in Iraq. Even the shortest distance from the Iraqi border to Tehran is over 400 miles, the longest range air to surface missiles Israel uses max out at around 200 miles

 

[bread n circuses]

Well a populace that's only used to 1 or 2 missiles coming from an open air prison is in for a shock when they've got hypersonics and ballistics coming down like Rods from God out of the sky. Still I don't see BiBi getting impeached, the Gaza War is too critical and I don't think anyone wants to rock the boat.

Netanyahu is not the problem, the paranoid mass hysteria of the Israeli population is. Whatever ghoul replaces him will be just as evil.

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

We have many videos of Iranian ballistic missiles launching, Israeli drones getting acked by AA cannon, and AA cannon tracer rounds over Iran, but no videos of Iranian SAMs. Very weird

Iran is a HUGE country, and they are likely to concentrate their most valuable AA assets in the middle of bumb-fuck nowhere, where no cameras will be filming.

The thing about AA is, if it works well, you never hear about it.

 

[JayseeDenton]

View attachment 7509865
IRON DOME is confused!
It hurt itself in its confusion!

Gonna be honest, after three fucking years of Russia and Ukraine doing this pussy WW1 shit where you plink at each other with ancient busted garbage, it's nice to see two countries firing missiles at each other with pinpoint accuracy from 2000km away.

I actually find the WW1 shit more interesting but I do get the sentiment.

 

[Myrtle the Turtle]

Looks like BM had a direct hit on a safe room and destroyed it. Also may have hit an embassy

Update:

 

[merpalerpaherp]

We have many videos of Iranian ballistic missiles launching, Israeli drones getting acked by AA cannon, and AA cannon tracer rounds over Iran, but no videos of Iranian SAMs. Very weird

You're not going to use SAMs on drones, and probably not going to use them on planes if using them means your SAM site gets blown up. It is likely they have SAMs still, they're just not going to use them until they see a favorable or desparate situation. One plane at the cost of it for PR is not worth it at this stage.

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

Gonna be honest, after three fucking years of Russia and Ukraine doing this pussy WW1 shit where you plink at each other with ancient busted garbage, it's nice to see two countries firing missiles at each other with pinpoint accuracy from 2000km away.

What do you mean? Ukraine gets hit by Ballistic/Cruise missiles on the REG. People just don't bother to film it anymore cause it must be boring by now to them.

Last attack happened less than 12 hours ago, you just don't pay attention.

 

[Rootless Cosmopolitan]

What do you mean? Ukraine gets hit by Ballistic/Cruise missiles on the REG. People just don't bother to film it anymore cause it must be boring by now to them.

Last attack happened less than 12 hours ago, you just don't pay attention.

There’s been a ton of propaganda in the West saying that Russia has only got old equipment, Russian shit doesn’t work, Russia is surely going to at any minute lose, etc.

I’m not surprised that a lot of people aren’t aware that Ukraine is frequently being hit with high tech/precise modern missiles

 

[Day of the Cope]

I did not know they made F-35s that are 600 feet long and can fit 30 people in the cockpit

Your mom can fit 30 people in her cockpit.

 

[Catch The Rainbow]

IDF Spokesperson:

*The Air Force attacked Quds Force headquarters in Tehran*

Air Force fighter jets attacked headquarters of the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guards and the Iranian army, under precise intelligence guidance from the Intelligence Department.
In these headquarters, Quds operatives planned terrorist acts against Israel through the Iranian regime's branches in the Middle East.

Attached is an illustration of the attack on the command and control structures of the Revolutionary Guards' Qods Force throughout Tehran: https://bit.ly/3HBj1aH

Urgent Fuel crisis strikes fuel stations throughout Iran after the Israeli attacks on oil refineries and fuel stores.

https://x.com/MohamadAhwaze/status/1934461919575900192