Iran's been unable to do anything more impressive that throw poorly guided missiles in miniscule amounts.
To be fair to Iran, for ballistic missiles with that kind of range they aren't that inaccurate, more or less par for the course.
It's less that angry sand people can't build missiles, its more that the only type of missiles they can seem to hit Israel with are the kind where landing within 100m of your target is considered "good enough".
If Iran fires missiles at the US what's the over under on an intercept? On one hand its far away so there is more time to stop them and the US is huge with plenty of empty space so it would be hilarious if they hit nothing or like a cow. On the other hand we don't have an iron dome.
On paper, possible but highly unlikely.
If Iran were gonna reach the mainland US the only things they'd have that could do it would be cruise missiles launched from either its Kilo-class submarines (of which they have 3) or its like 2 frigates.
Now the launching ship would probably end up turbo-fucked by US aviation in under 24hrs tops, but because they'd be launching cruise missiles which fly low to the water/earth only airborne radar would pick them up.
This is of course assuming the US Navy & US Air Force aren't tracking all 5 (ish) of Iran's potential missile carrier vessels already and just waiting for an FA/FO.
Then why the fuck shouldn't we bomb them while they are without air defenses? What is the strategic advantage of not doing so?
So before you call me a Muzzie-lover and/or hippy liberal peacenik fag keep in mind I probably lean more towards the "fuck Iran" side than not.
Basically
1) Iran can still hit US bases in the region. Can they kick the US out of the Middle East? LOL NOPE, but they can still directly cost American lives and get millions to billions worth of equipment blown up.
2) Iran can still hit infrastructure that affects America, i.e. oil pipelines in Saudi Arabia
3) Iran can hypothetically "shut down" the Persian Gulf and the Bab-Al Mendel Strait, disrupting global trade
4) Iran can get other Shiites to go chimpout and shoot rockets at US bases, and hypothetically may have sleeper cells in places like Dearborn or New York where they can cause terror attacks domestically
This is assuming the US goes the more logical and moderate route of "bomb them and be done with it".
Actually launching a full-scale invasion (
while I think people who honestly believe a draft is on the table are delusional) is fucking retarded though and accomplishes very little and has a much higher risk of casualties and long-term commitments that would impair our readiness against Russia or China in another theater.