Again. We have proven to the world that the key to beating the West is to wait us out.
All they have to do is hold onto power internally and eventually the West won't have enough political capital to spend on the effort. Even if cabals of warhawks do. Just like in Vietnam, Iraq 2003, Afghanistan 2001, and so on.
They will inevitably get proxy groups up and running again. But sure it bought some breathing room.
Afghanistan and Vietnam are at best pyrrhic victories.
Following their victory which saw deaths in the low 7 figures for Vietnam, and about 60k for Americans, Vietnam experienced decades of food shortages, political violence, and sanctions that left them peaceable and with a strategic openness to markets and America. They won the war, and then lost at peace. America stayed winning overall, went on to win the Cold War. Vietnam is now strategically reliant on American market access for balancing against China.
Following the withdrawal of American forces in 2022, the Taliban replaced the government which the US had instituted and propped up for 20 years. A big wash for America. Afghanistan remains a poor pariah state. To say the Taliban won is to invite the question--what did they win that was of any value? Ethical or moral goods like 'sovereignty' or 'freedom from more advanced societies' sexual mores' are in strategic terms dumb and gay. They got a catbox that no one wants to dig for treasure in, on account of the place being full of the human equivalent of cat turds.
While America makes mistakes and its political class loses focus and interest over time--there's a lot of evidence to indicate that the Americans' rivals are subject to the same tendency towards retardation, and that 'waiting America out' isn't viable unless you have no aspirations greater than the mountain cave you must hide from drone strikes and bunker busters in. Surviving American military action may mean, yes, the leadership and core cadres mostly keep their heads. In the meantime, they have lost almost everything that could make them a threat for quite a long time, and the scars of their wars they will never recover from.
In the same year as the US' disastrous failures in its withdrawal from Afghanistan, its rival China managed to economically handicap themselves with a ridiculous lockdown ordered by their leader to preserve the lives of a few retired heads of state in Shanghai, for the purposes of trotting them out to give him power for life. Their policies from 20-22 devastated their economy, demolished the real estate bubble and the massive developer Evergrande, and put them on the back foot economically. The government has become more opaque and more plainly dishonest in economic data.
That same year, unforced, Russia miscalculated with its SMO and launched a little forever war of its own with no reasonable win condition that doesn't make them more vulnerable. Should Russia expand to Poland, won't NATO and the EU be even closer to them? Say they get to Odessa, what's next, Transnistria? Russia technically lost all of its strategic aims in the war immediately when Sweden and Finland joined NATO and put Petersburg into the 'comically easy to strike' range. In 23, Iran's proxies escalated their cold war/dirty war with Israel, and then quickly lost the initiative and most of their combat capabilities over the course of nearly 2 years of intermittent air and covert warfare.
Strategic patience is only viable if you are prosperous, wise, capable of disproportionately large retaliation, and avoid making mistakes at the same rate and schedule as your adversaries. America has been blessed by god to never have had a rival that wasn't at a fundamental level more retarded.