2025 Israel vs Iran War

John Roguelike said:
God willing, the internet in Iran goes back up soon so I can call some family and see if they're alright.
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Report back with how the energy is like inside iran ? Are there any protests against the regime happening? Or most of the population is pushed into supporting the regime?
 
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Do it faggot, or dropship them directly to Israel. (source)
A number of countries are ready to directly supply Iran.webp
 
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Frankly I've always felt the USS Liberty attack was a grand scale extended fuck up on Israel's part rather than anything intentional. The claimed motives for the attack (hiding Israelis killing Egyptian POWs, trying to false flag the Egyptians, etc) hold no water. Israel could have just asked the US to move the ship and they probably would have, there was no appetite in the US for a war with Egypt, and the Lyndon B. Johnson administration gave exactly zero fucks about dead Soviet aligned sand niggers. None of those are worth pissing off the US for; Israel was far more reliant on US aid than today and couldn't risk pissing them off.
 
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merpalerpaherp said:
Aside from the foreplay in this thread, no major developments yet? No statement from Khamenei is a little weird, they might be moving to do something and then put out a statement mirroring Trump.
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He's locked up without comms access to prevent his location being revealed.

The IDF is, at this stage, more likely than not (maybe 60/40) to drop a comically large sized anvil on his head than to keep their caged pet around. Trump is just as likely thinking the same thing if there's no movement on capitulation.

The Iranian military as an institution is essentially strangled, what resistance is possible cannot be coordinated without risking assassination of key leadership.

I suspect the next stage of this will be some sort of coup/revolution, likely from some non-regime aligned groups in the Artesh, likely also with support of IDF/Mossad agents in contact with them. There's only so much time Khamenei can stay bottled up before regime legitimacy collapses and the IRGC members simply refuse to show up to work. Given enough stress, the military is likely to save itself, as happened in Romania.

That's essentially the best case scenario for the IDF, assuming they want to keep the tempo of operations up rather than simply withdrawing. Even an authoritarian Islamic military junta can be worked with, as the Israelis did with Egypt, the Saudis, and half the rest of the Arab world.
 
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Dana scully said:
Report back with how the energy is like inside iran ? Are there any protests against the regime happening? Or most of the population is pushed into supporting the regime?
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Unfortunately, I am not in Iran. Energy is likely becoming scarce, with blackouts becoming more common. From what I can recall, internet in Iran is still up, but any traffic between Iran and the rest of the world is not. I don't know about protests, but there probably arent many right now. I seem to recall, probably from this thread, that there is a solidarity among Iranians due to this war. If any protest against the regime happens, it will likely happen after this war ends and stability resumes. I do think this war will push people further against the regime. Pretty much any Iranian under 50 has a negative view of the regime, so a revolution is definitely not off the books, I imagine. I wish I could tell you more, but I don't know much either. All my knowledge is likely regurgitated from this thread, which is my primary news source.

My hope is that if regime change does occur, it leads to secular Islam or at least non-jihadi Islam becoming bigger in the Middle-East.
 
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India has increased their supply of oil from Russia as they are a major importer of Iranian oil. Haven't heard anything from Chyna yet (they are the largest importer of iran's oil). Will be interesting if Iran blockades the strait and tries to force international intervention. Given the statement from iran's atomic department, it does seem they're trying to force international intervention.
 
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It's getting tiring being woken up early by alerts, with my parents phoning a minute later with "X happened, NOW things are dangerous".

I get the worry by Americans of another clusterfuck in the Middle East, but the main goal (hopefully) is putting the Iran nuclear project back to 0. Actually invading the country is pointless for that goal. It will take them decades to get their army to full capacity, and any attempt to restart the program will result with yet another tag team fucking.
Combustion Engine said:
Do it faggot, or dropship them directly to Israel. (source)
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He pretty much makes the point for Israel why retarded superpower wannabe having nuclear weapons is bad. "I just so happened to give a proxy a weapon explicitly to be used against you, I dindu nuffing".
 
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Mrs. Sai Moon said:
India has increased their supply of oil from Russia as they are a major importer of Iranian oil. Haven't heard anything from Chyna yet (they are the largest importer of iran's oil). Will be interesting if Iran blockades the strait and tries to force international intervention. Given the statement from iran's atomic department, it does seem they're trying to force international intervention.
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Can their oil fields/terminals/refineries be destroyed in a way that thoroughly cripples their supply, or are there too many?
 
Null said:
Medvedev is a retard and even Russians I've spoken to believe his job is to say incredibly retarded things specifically to make Putin look more reasonable in every situation
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the bit about Putin checks out as I'm listening to some interviews he did this morning and he seems quite chill on the whole matter and mostly interested in trying to play a role of mediator between the US, Iran, and Israel
 
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Catch The Rainbow said:
Speaking plainly, it's been incredibly upsetting for me to put in a ton of hours finding neutral news sources, working with OSINT, scouring twitter, and reading long IAEA reports to understand the nuclear problem then come back to report on it only to get called a kike and have people brag about ignoring my posts because they don't like the commentary/explanations I give that's separate from the news. I intended to do this as a service to help people stay informed and seeing people shit on me for that is a very frustrating experience.

I really miss 2020 KF where we could analyze shit and talk it out instead of self segregating into circlejerks because of da jooz.
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Im really late on this, but how effective even is the IAEA? Dont they let countries designate their inspections, and the ethnicity of inspectors?

I was always under the understanding that the IEAE, while good in concept, is rather weak in practice.
 
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LOWERCASE LETTERS said:
Frankly I've always felt the USS Liberty attack was a grand scale extended fuck up on Israel's part rather than anything intentional.
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The motivation for such an attack makes no sense from a risk-based point of view. I can't agree with the idea that Israel is simultaneously shady and clever enough to do perfect false flags, but also dumb enough to immediately blow their cover attacking a US vessel near their own shore in an attempted false flag against Egypt.
 
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Null said:
these niggers really think that israel bombarded a fucking us ship for 2 hours and nobody noticed after two flag replacements. i give up. this is the shittiest area of the entire fucking site and always has been.
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And you are contributing to the enshittification. I always agree with your comments when you feature a happening, keep it on topic, don't shit it up with dumb sperging, yet here you are throwing a shit fit because people aren't agreeing with you, or they are agreeing but come to this thread for 2025 war happenings rather than a happening from almost 60 years ago now.

CTR, while a Jew so does have a certain perspective on this happening, has been a consistent provider of good information in this thread. This is where critical thought comes into play, it's up to you to be a heterosexual and form an opinion from the available facts without turning into a Reddit user.

Anyway, back on topic. Now the US have got involved, if Iran decide to launch a few missiles at the nearest US bases, how fucked are they? Israel have the iron dome, do US bases have something similar or was it seen as a big expense for something that would probably never happen?
 
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