This is going to continue to escalate to that point because Iran is run by fuckin’ ideologies who don’t understand surrender and Trump doesn’t relent until someone says uncle.
This will get significantly worse if Iran decides to close off their oil reserves. Trump will not fuck around, he will put boots on the ground and invade with Israeli support. Trump is already speaking as if we’re poised to go to war.
The problem is that this idea is that if you bomb enough, it will "FIX" the problem in Iran. It is not possible.
Yes, key infrastructure is being destroyed, yes, the Nuke might be slowed down, "maybe".
However, this does not change the fact that Iran can still get the bomb, attack US bases, hit Israel, and so on. Perhaps not today, but over time, they can still pursue these options, and as I have said before, I believe that Iran has two options it might pursue.
1. Wait it out and hit back when they can.
2. Try to get boots on the ground from the US/Israel, as that allows Iran to attack and hurt them.
There has never been a single instance in history when bombings alone have been effective.
Even World War 2 and Japan. The nukes were a significant contributing factor, but they were not the only factor that led to that surrender.
The Soviets had denied the Japanese peace deals and negotiations and were planning to invade.
They suffered from starvation and were spent entirely militarily.
From what I read, the Japanese initially only believed the US had 1 nuke, but when the second nuke hit. This scared the Japanese as they did not know how many bombs the US had, and they could not stop them.
It was also known that in time, the Allies would invade Japan. It was not a question of IF, but WHEN!.
They also believed they could save a lot of Japanese culture, institutions, systems, and so on by surrendering to the Allies rather than the Soviets.
Remember, there was still a military coup against the Japanese emperor, as there were die-hard Japanese officers and personnel who wanted the war to continue, no matter what.
In other words. I would be extremely surprised if Iran were to surrender or return to the negotiating table on this.
There are not enough external factors to compel them, as was the case with Japan.
