Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

Copeatollah or is Trump cucking out?

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Per the BBC, the Ford has left naval station Souda Bay in Crete. She was heading East.

Should know by tomorrow if the Ford is heading for the Levantine Coast or Suez.


USS Gerald R Ford, the largest aircraft carrier in the world, has left the Greek Island of Crete and appears to be heading towards the Middle East.

Video filmed from a beach near Souda Bay where the US warship had been for several days shows the Ford sailing north-east into the Mediterranean this morning.

BBC Verify’s analysis indicates that, if it travels at a cruising speed of about 20 knots, the vessel will take about a day to reach the eastern Mediterranean near Israel’s coast.

Justin Crump, CEO of risk and intelligence firm Sibylline, told BBC Verify it is also possible the Ford’s carrier strike group could travel through the Suez Canal in Egypt and enter the Red Sea.

Separately, we have also identified the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and six other warships in satellite imagery taken on Wednesday, 25 February, about 200 km (125 miles) off Oman’s coast.
 
Copeatollah or is Trump cucking out?

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"The United States delegation acknowledges the Iranian delegation's initial position and the Iranian delegation acknowledges the initial position of the United States. Each party agrees that the negotiating teams should be supplied with chilled water and comfortable seating."
 
I dont think so. The Ford having to make port at Souda Bay to fix its toilets has probably delayed things. They could be moving on station off of Israel and Lebanon, but if they turn south for suezz we are getting blue balled for another week.
 
The Ford shipped out for Haifa in the middle of last night (morning local time)
 
In the latest of a string of suspicious Iranian fires, a petrochemical unit of Abadan's industrial complex has suddenly & inexplicably caught on fire just now. Could be an accident, or it could be another case of sabotage by a nascent anti-mullah insurgency ahead of the bombs dropping. Worth noting Abadan is one of Iran's main oil hubs and that its refinery was at the center of the disputes which eventually led to the toppling of Mossadegh back in the early '50s.





Also a couple days ago, five Kurdish guerrilla factions declared they were forming an official coalition against the Ayatollah. (Archive) Unfortunately they're also all long-time separatists and 3 out of the 5 are also open commies of some variation (most notably PJAK, the PKK's Iranian affiliate). This is obviously unacceptable to Pahlavi, who considers the indivisibility of Iranian territory to be one of his red lines, and he has said as much. (Pahlavi has long expressed support for treating the Kurdish minority better but is strenuously opposed to them fucking off to carve their own country out of western Iran, which funny enough puts him in alignment with no less than Syria's AJ on this issue; that guy also just finally gave the Syrian Kurds citizenship and gave their language official status, but at the same time buckbroke their secessionist militia & destroyed pretty much all hope for an independent Rojava in two weeks' time.)

Dear compatriots,

In recent days, several separatist groups—some of whose records include collaboration with both Khomeini and Saddam—have made baseless and contemptible claims against the territorial integrity and national unity of Iran. As I have emphasized time and again, the preservation and defense of Iran’s territorial integrity is an inviolable principle. We will neither negotiate nor concede even an inch on Iran’s unity and territorial integrity to anyone.

Such claims merely provide the Islamic Republic—the greatest enemy of the Iranian nation and of the country’s territorial integrity—with an excuse to falsely present itself as the defender of this principle; whereas this regime, from the very first day it came to power, has been the primary agent of all forms of discrimination and division within Iran.

Iran’s territorial integrity is the ultimate red line of our great and united nation. Any individual or group that crosses this red line, or collaborates with those who do, will face the resolute response of the Iranian nation.

In the days and weeks ahead, along with the complete dismantling of the Islamic Republic and the driving of this regime from the country, we will be more vigilant, more resolute, and more diligent than ever in defending Iran’s national unity and territorial integrity. By remaining committed to this fundamental principle, we can expect the Iranian army to fulfill its national and patriotic duty, to stand with the people, and to defend Iran against both the Islamic Republic and separatists.

Only in a united and democratic Iran, under the rule of law, can individual freedoms and equal rights for all citizens—regardless of belief, religion, language, or ethnicity—be guaranteed.

Long live Iran,
Reza Pahlavi

Naturally the online Kurdish crowd has taken a break from seething about Rojava going down in flames to pitch a tantrum about this, calling him a fascist oppressor and whatnot (they've been calling the entire Pahlavi dynasty that for a while BTW, if you just search 'Pahlavi' on their subreddit you can find similar sentiments going back well before this moment), saying that Kurds are clearly unwanted in and have no business helping this revolution, etc. Nevermind that basically no other Iranian opposition figure, to my knowledge, would support their aspirations either (as it's tantamount to treason against Iran, same thing which has rendered the MEK universally hated even among the opposition basically) and that these people have also been sperging out about using an Iranian civil war to establish Greater Kurdistan with sea access for months now...
 
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14 F-35s are heading to the Gulf currently.

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As well as 12 F-15s. No word if they're Strike Eagles or not.

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AOC is against the war and pro-Ayatollah.

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Four KC-135s are currently at Ben Gurion airport to support fighters that will be intercepting missiles and drones.

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Tasmin News conducted a poll in Iran that found 69.5% of Iranians believe they could withstand a war with the US. lol

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Chinese satellite imagery shows all 11 U.S. Air Force F-22 Raptors at Ovda Air Base in Israel.

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Here are the US demands for this round of note passing.

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It's doubtful the Ayatollah will agree to any of the terms.


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These fires are completely normal! Iran's future is so bright that its buildings spontaneously combust!
 
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14 F-35s are heading to the Gulf currently.

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As well as 12 F-15s. No word if they're Strike Eagles or not.

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AOC is against the war and pro-Ayatollah.

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Four KC-135s are currently at Ben Gurion airport to support fighters that will be intercepting missiles and drones.

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Tasmin News conducted a poll in Iran that found 69.5% of Iranians believe they could withstand a war with the US. lol

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Chinese satellite imagery shows all 11 U.S. Air Force F-22 Raptors at Ovda Air Base in Israel.

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Here are the US demands for this round of note passing.

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It's doubtful the Ayatollah will agree to any of the terms.



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These fires are completely normal! Iran's future is so bright that its buildings spontaneously combust!

Yeah this shit ain't happening tomorrow or anytime this weekend lmao. I lost 50 but you win some you lose some.

Might put down 20 next weekend for the sake of maybe it happening. But I got like 100 put in for last weekend of march.
 
Yeah this shit ain't happening tomorrow or anytime this weekend lmao. I lost 50 but you win some you lose some.
March 20th is what I'm feeling right now but don't take betting advice from a dude an offensive username on the tranny killer forums. March 13th maybe but I don't know how superstitious the planners are.
 
March 20th is what I'm feeling right now but don't take betting advice from a dude an offensive username on the tranny killer forums. March 13th maybe but I don't know how superstitious the planners are.
I got 30 on the 20th, that just still seems to soon for it to happen.
 
Question. Does anyone actually believe this?

I remember back in the early 2000s, people believed the WMD lies. Blind faith in authority, herd mentality and lack of critical thinking lead to that.

Does that take place with this stuff now? I feel like it doesn't, but I don't know. To me it seems like everyone knows this is bullshit but people who support toppling Iran just go along with it because the lie supports the end goal.
Apparently so many of our fellow kiwis do believe that... somehow. I personally do not believe it. The explanation that makes the most sense to me is Iran isnt actively trying to build one, but theyre positioning their program in such a way where if they as a regime were on the brink of destruction from a hostile power, they are then able to rush to a nuclear deterrence.

From all previous data there hasn't been any solid proof they were actively building a warhead, they kept their stockpile around 60% enriched which isnt weapons grade, and they dont have any aircraft that could deliver a dumb bomb to their enemies.

Their main rival in the area has like 200 nukes so I can see why they'd want some of that nuclear ambiguity/M.A.D.
 
Why would you need proof when they are not using that enriched uranium for anything else, they tried already in the past and they refuses to negotiate about it ?

But yeah, the nuclear threat is the official justification. The reason Iran will be destroyed is because it will makes Russia lose an ally, it will make more oil in the international trade, it will make the US looks like the ones who liberated Iranians from their tyrannic Islamic regime and it will allow a better control of the Middle East.
 
Something I've noticed is that Iranian nuclear denial usually has several stages:
1) Iran isn't building nuke
2) ...but they'd be justified if they were building nukes
3) ..and they'd be wise to do so, after what happened to Saddam & Gadaffi
4) ...and America couldn't stop their nuclear program if they tried
5) ...and soon a nuclear Iran will be a net good for the multipolar world and a major bulwark against Zionism and American imperialism!
Case in point:
From all previous data there hasn't been any solid proof they were actively building a warhead, they kept their stockpile around 60% enriched which isnt weapons grade, and they dont have any aircraft that could deliver a dumb bomb to their enemies.

Their main rival in the area has like 200 nukes so I can see why they'd want some of that nuclear ambiguity/M.A.D.

Death to Islam, death to Ayatollah, nukes or no nukes.
 
Lots of refueler traffic heading in, looks like a couple returning CONUS from refueling along the US - UK route and a couple two-ship refueler flights as well as singles mixed in with the lift traffic.

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Possibly helping to ferry fighters into theater.
 
From a Diplomacy standpoint, it seems that the United States is laying the groundwork to explain why they're about to bomb Iran. Notice how the talk has shifted from nuclear to more so. ICBM, I think it's because icbms might be easier to sell to the American public. We're bombing Iran. It's just that to do it legally (like actually legally, not the cucked shit the uk or icc claim) we have to actually give some explanation. So we are going to take every option to the end, the question is how fast are we going to do this. The Democrats took their time and that's how we got here, it seems that the Trump administration is just going to do pedal to the metal and crash this diplomacy car right into the wall at 190 mph (as opposed to the 12 under the dems).
 
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